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Inside a Chinese Bitcoin Mine

thecoinsman.com

21–30 of 46 posts

Re: Inside a Chinese Bitcoin Mine

#21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> So you are looking at a pure profit of $197k per month. Not including liquidity issues and fees for turning that stuff into actual money, at least until you can start paying all your bills with bitcoin.

$200k/month is not going to run you into liquidity issues.

It's $200k/month worth of Bitcoin. The 'liquidity' we're talking about here is converting Bitcoin into local currency that you can purchase things with.

Re: Inside a Chinese Bitcoin Mine

#22
post #17

What is their internet connection, fiber? Surely they must have a special contract or multiple providers.

I don't think Bitcoin is a big bandwidth user. A lot of little/small connections.

They also only need one connection; they can simply split the data across all the workers. They will need to send shares from all the workers if they're not solo mining, but even those are less than 100 bytes each, and if that becomes too much of a nuisance they can just solo mine.

Re: Inside a Chinese Bitcoin Mine

#23
post #3

I wonder about the effects of such establishments on the Bitcoin ecosystem as a whole. In theory, they're supposed to strengthen the network by providing more hashing power. But what worries me is the onset of mega-pools composed of such factories that will gain >51% of the network's computational power effectively gaining a monopoly on Bitcoin.

There is no reason factories like this would WANT to disrupt the Bitcoin network if it's their source of income.. If any organization can get enough hashrate to topple the network, they will lose all that money by toppling the network.

Re: Inside a Chinese Bitcoin Mine

#24
post #3

I wonder about the effects of such establishments on the Bitcoin ecosystem as a whole. In theory, they're supposed to strengthen the network by providing more hashing power. But what worries me is the onset of mega-pools composed of such factories that will gain >51% of the network's computational power effectively gaining a monopoly on Bitcoin.

There is no reason factories like this would WANT to disrupt the Bitcoin network if it's their source of income.. If any organization can get enough hashrate to topple the network, they will lose all that money by toppling the network.

Toppling it isn't the only option, though. Threatening to topple it could be pretty lucrative for a while.

Re: Inside a Chinese Bitcoin Mine

#25
post #3

I wonder about the effects of such establishments on the Bitcoin ecosystem as a whole. In theory, they're supposed to strengthen the network by providing more hashing power. But what worries me is the onset of mega-pools composed of such factories that will gain >51% of the network's computational power effectively gaining a monopoly on Bitcoin.

That's the one thing that keeps eating at me. Would it not be trivial for a large corporation or government entity to throw enough money around to accomplish this? The only response I hear is that the market will magically prevent this.

For starters, the incentives are just not there to destroy Bitcoin. Most governments are either positive or neutral toward Bitcoin. The ones that are hostile toward it would rather make it illegal to fight it with the law instead of with technical attacks. Financial corporations? The smart ones would realize they would benefit more from embracing Bitcoin than fighting it. And the non-smart ones don't even realize how much of a threat Bitcoin may be to their business models.

But let's just go with your assumption that some entity with big pockets decide to run a majority attack against Bitcoin miners. How much effort and money would it require?

1 year and 20 billion dollars; here is why:

The best 20-28nm mining ASICs require about 1 watt per Ghash/sec. The network is currently at 170,000,000 Ghash/sec so it would require at least 170 megawatt of ASICs, or a ~200 megawatt datacenter (with PUE = 1.15). The fastest TOP500 supercomputer facilities barely reach 20 megawatt. The biggest datacenters in the world are just about 100 megawatt. So the attacker would require two of the world's most powerful datacenters (in terms of electricity and cooling) to attack Bitcoin. But it would take at least 1 year to plan, design, build, and deploy the hardware in two such facilities. And the Bitcoin network will continue to grow during this time. It has grown by 400x in the last year (400,000 to 170,000,000 Ghash/sec). By the lowest estimate, the network will grow at least by 10x in the next year (170,000,000 Ghash/sec to 1,700,000,000 Ghash/sec). So you need to plan to build not 2, but 20 world-class 100 megawatt datacenters by August 2015 to be ready to have a chance to majority-attack Bitcoin. Knowing that a 100 megawatt datacenter costs $1 billion [1], you need pockets with $20 billion in them. And if you under-estimate the growth of the Bitcoin network in the next 12 months, you will have failed and wasted $20 billion for nothing.

[1] http://www.greendatacenternews.org/articles/share/416983/

Re: Inside a Chinese Bitcoin Mine

#26
post #21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

$200k/month is not going to run you into liquidity issues.

It's $200k/month worth of Bitcoin . The 'liquidity' we're talking about here is converting Bitcoin into local currency that you can purchase things with.

Again, not a problem.

Re: Inside a Chinese Bitcoin Mine

#27
post #6

Is there any estimate of how much income this particular mine can produce, compared the the capital outlay and the ongoing costs?

This operation currently mines about $262k per month: 230e9 (each machine does 230 Ghash/s) * 2500 (# of machines) * 3600 (second/hour) * 730 (hour/month) / (2^32 (average number of hashes to solve a block at diff=1) * 19.8e9 (current Bitcoin difficulty)) * 25 (BTC/block) * 590 (USD/BTC) = $262000/month The article says their electricity bill is $60k per month. Subtract the 3 employees salaries, say $5k per month (th…

If they have 0.3% speed, wouldn't it be expected that they get 0.3% of the coins per month?

3600 coins per day * 30 days * 588.41 BTC/UDS * 0.003 = $189831.60 USD gross per month?

Re: Inside a Chinese Bitcoin Mine

#28
post #16

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's the one thing that keeps eating at me. Would it not be trivial for a large corporation or government entity to throw enough money around to accomplish this? The only response I hear is that the market will magically prevent this.

Subverting the entire Bitcoin network is almost certainly not as much as a 1 ACE problem. (Aircraft Carrier Equivalent)

Except the network can adapt by modifying the code, so calculating the cost of destroying Bitcoin is not trivial. The security of the network is not static, because it's also made of people with economic incentives, the same way any other system is also made of people, eg: When a website is under a DOS attack, their administrators will do various things to mitigate or completely stop the attack.

Re: Inside a Chinese Bitcoin Mine

#29
post #6

Is there any estimate of how much income this particular mine can produce, compared the the capital outlay and the ongoing costs?

This operation currently mines about $262k per month: 230e9 (each machine does 230 Ghash/s) * 2500 (# of machines) * 3600 (second/hour) * 730 (hour/month) / (2^32 (average number of hashes to solve a block at diff=1) * 19.8e9 (current Bitcoin difficulty)) * 25 (BTC/block) * 590 (USD/BTC) = $262000/month The article says their electricity bill is $60k per month. Subtract the 3 employees salaries, say $5k per month (th…

I think for this kind of work $5k is already too much for three Chinese workers. Each worker about $500 and maybe some fees for the living room and food. If you pay $2k it might be fine.

If you pay $5k for such kind of 24/7 job in China you'll make a middle man very happy.

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