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Bitcoin and positive vs. normative economics

krugman.blogs.nytimes.com

21–30 of 520 posts

Re: Bitcoin and positive vs. normative economics

#21
I'm a liberal, a Keynesian, but my interest in BitCoin is completely non-ideological. And I resent being painted with an ideological brush by Krugman because I can see the elegance in BitCoin, and I can see the possibility that one day, in spite of my ideological beliefs that unregulated markets are susceptible to bubbles and destructive volatility, BitCoin or something like it might still be able to function as a stable, useful world currency.

Ideology is never an accurate or complete description of the world. It is false awareness. What might be true under paradigm A might no longer be true under paradigm B, but at no point will an ideologue change his world-view to fit paradigm B. He will try to cram paradigm B into his ideology in order to preserve his ideology, rather than adjust his ideology to describe paradigm B.

For instance a fiat currency heavily regulated by state monetary policy might have been the best idea in the 20th century, during which for the most part there was no Internet. But in the 21st century, where the Internet enables markets that can function more efficiently, a virtual currency with a self-regulating monetary policy might be a better replacement. The jury is still out on that. BitCoin is an experiment, and that's the best thing about the Internet - it is a laboratory for experiments, where we can try new and different monetary policies really quickly, whereas in the wildly inefficient 20th century we were locked into one monetary policy at a time. We're just figuring out what works the best, but Krugman calling BitCoin "evil" suggests to me that he is afraid of what we might find out.

Re: Bitcoin and positive vs. normative economics

#22

I have a really hard time taking a column called "The Conscience of a Liberal" seriously, even more so when he claims: "Stross doesn’t like that agenda, and neither do I; but I am trying not to let that tilt my positive analysis of BitCoin one way or the other." in a piece titled "Bitcoin is Evil".

How about taking seriously someone who is, you know, well-known (to the point of receiving a Nobel Prize for his work) for being good at this economics stuff? If a Nobel-winning physicist was writing about physics, you wouldn't dismiss it because the physicist's politics don't agree with yours. Ditto Nobel-winning chemist writing about chemistry, etc.; why should economics be different? Also, his point about BitCoin…

Actually, I think that if a physicist/chemist came out with unproven theories or opinions (the original article is nothing more than an opinion), the community would react pretty much the same. Physics and chemistry (and economics as well) have proofs and experiments, and this post doesn't offer either of those. It makes perfect sense to dismiss it if you disagree with him, since he doesn't really say anything concrete.

Re: Bitcoin and positive vs. normative economics

#23

I have a really hard time taking a column called "The Conscience of a Liberal" seriously, even more so when he claims: "Stross doesn’t like that agenda, and neither do I; but I am trying not to let that tilt my positive analysis of BitCoin one way or the other." in a piece titled "Bitcoin is Evil".

How about taking seriously someone who is, you know, well-known (to the point of receiving a Nobel Prize for his work) for being good at this economics stuff? If a Nobel-winning physicist was writing about physics, you wouldn't dismiss it because the physicist's politics don't agree with yours. Ditto Nobel-winning chemist writing about chemistry, etc.; why should economics be different? Also, his point about BitCoin…

[deleted]

Re: Bitcoin and positive vs. normative economics

#24

I have a really hard time taking a column called "The Conscience of a Liberal" seriously, even more so when he claims: "Stross doesn’t like that agenda, and neither do I; but I am trying not to let that tilt my positive analysis of BitCoin one way or the other." in a piece titled "Bitcoin is Evil".

How about taking seriously someone who is, you know, well-known (to the point of receiving a Nobel Prize for his work) for being good at this economics stuff? If a Nobel-winning physicist was writing about physics, you wouldn't dismiss it because the physicist's politics don't agree with yours. Ditto Nobel-winning chemist writing about chemistry, etc.; why should economics be different? Also, his point about BitCoin…

Eh, the article doesn't say much, is pretty light on details/analysis, heavy on rhetoric ("Bitcoin is Evil") and says very little anyone with even passing familiar w/ Bitcoin doesn't know already.

I'm not sure what technologists he's been speaking with, but I think the distinction between value store and payment network is abundantly clear to most people even peripherally involved with Bitcoin. I think the view of most competent technologists is that Bitcoin is a promising technology, with somewhat unproven utility.

Re: Bitcoin and positive vs. normative economics

#25

I have a really hard time taking a column called "The Conscience of a Liberal" seriously, even more so when he claims: "Stross doesn’t like that agenda, and neither do I; but I am trying not to let that tilt my positive analysis of BitCoin one way or the other." in a piece titled "Bitcoin is Evil".

Usually, journalists don't get to choose their own headlines. Does that fact change your read on this piece?

Re: Bitcoin and positive vs. normative economics

#26
This seems to be mainly a reference to another article that has also been on HN.

By approximate scroll down length on mobile, the ratio of content that isnt a quote, to that which is, seems to be approximately 7:5 . (not taking into account the fact the quoted text takes less horizontal space, but I did overestimate the new text length in a few small ways as well, so I hope that this ratio is at least approximately accurate)

Essentially the article states a difference between "positive economics" (what is), and "nomfyvhbxgv economics" (what should be). The author claims that their political opponents tend to get the two confused (and that despite what people criticizing the article might think, that his political allies tend not to make the same mistake)

They then go on to say that the other article suggests that bitcoin was created as a weapon, connecting to the "what should be" part of economics, quote the other article, and repeat from the other article the part about a "gold fetish".

I personally believe that it didn't add a whole lot to what was already in the other article, though I admit I should probably reread the guidelines for comments and submissions. I intend to do that, and then possibly modify this post that I am now making.

Re: Bitcoin and positive vs. normative economics

#27
post #20

Placing a ceiling on the value of gold is mining technology, and the prospect that if its price gets out of whack for long on the upside a great deal more of it will be created. Placing a ceiling on the value of the dollar is the Federal Reserve’s role as actual dollar source, and its commitment not to allow deflation to happen. Placing a ceiling on the value of bitcoins is computer technology and the form of the has…

He claims that the ability to pay taxes in dollars and the Federal Reserve's willingness to buy up dollars to maintain their value places a floor on the value of the dollar. I disagree. In a crisis of confidence in the dollar, both factors would fail.

Re: Bitcoin and positive vs. normative economics

#28
Bitcoin is terrible though you guys, in it's current state, it encourages hoarding and what used to be a promising currency is now a stagnant commodity.

I like the utility of bitcoin, and I see it's value. But I do not hold the same optimism I did for the currency as I did in months past.

I do not see a future where normal people will be paid primarily in bitcoins, and all the bitcoin people will be rich and happily ever after. No, just stop. Normal people hate this coin. They hate it, and they really hate people telling them this is where there money should go.

Hacker News we are wrong about bitcoins, and we should feel bad for holding them in such high regard. They have done a lot more bad than good, and I am not sure the road forward is good or bad.

Re: Bitcoin and positive vs. normative economics

#29
post #9

>>BitCoin looks like it was designed as a weapon intended to damage central banking and money issuing banks, with a Libertarian political agenda in mind—to damage states ability to collect tax and monitor their citizens financial transactions. So basically it brings an ability to the middle-class that normally only the top 1% have. We know wealthy people use tax loopholes(and a few of them, laundering) and... why do…

"why do the states need to monitor financial transactions?"

I hate the "terrorism" BS as much as you, but money laundering and large-scale scamming ( https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6972139 ) are actual threats.

Re: Bitcoin and positive vs. normative economics

#30

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How about taking seriously someone who is, you know, well-known (to the point of receiving a Nobel Prize for his work) for being good at this economics stuff? If a Nobel-winning physicist was writing about physics, you wouldn't dismiss it because the physicist's politics don't agree with yours. Ditto Nobel-winning chemist writing about chemistry, etc.; why should economics be different? Also, his point about BitCoin…

Actually, I think that if a physicist/chemist came out with unproven theories or opinions (the original article is nothing more than an opinion), the community would react pretty much the same. Physics and chemistry (and economics as well) have proofs and experiments, and this post doesn't offer either of those. It makes perfect sense to dismiss it if you disagree with him, since he doesn't really say anything concre…

He poses a question:

To be successful, money must be both a medium of exchange and a reasonably stable store of value. And it remains completely unclear why BitCoin should be a stable store of value.

And then says he hasn't been able to get an answer to this question, that the BitCoin enthusiasts he's talked to have mostly avoided trying to answer the question, and that he has reason to suspect that BitCoin gets promoted not because it is useful as a currency but because it pushes the right ideological buttons for some people.

And, one must admit, it is a perfectly legitimate question to ask when considering something's usefulness as a currency.

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