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Bluesky's active user base is shrinking as its focus expands beyond the app

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Re: Bluesky's active user base is shrinking as its focus expands beyond the app

#21
post #14

there's nothing you can do technically to fix bluesky. people just hate social networks at this point in this timeline.

Twitter's not doing too bad: 550 and 600 million monthly active users according to platform disclosures and industry estimates So maybe the trick is to not just cater to left on your platform.

For reference, pinterest has roughly the same number of monthly active users. [0]

[0] https://www.statista.com/statistics/272014/global-social-net...

Re: Bluesky's active user base is shrinking as its focus expands beyond the app

#22

Maybe Bluesky is not quite the Twitter rival it set out to be, but it's got a better shot than Mastodon, according to the user count graphs here: https://bsky.jazco.dev/stats https://mastodon-analytics.com/ Bluesky has a higher total user count. I think the number of active users might be higher too, but I am not sure what's mastodon's definition of an active user for the second link above. Anecdotally, Bluesky feels…

The distinction is that Mastodon doesn't have to grow, and Bluesky does. There's an extent to which Bluesky is viable because its venture-funded owner pays for the infrastructure it operates on (Mastodon communities generally have to stand on their own two feet). If there's no path for Bluesky to grow into a viable business on its current financial runway, the funding for the infrastructure will end.

Re: Bluesky's active user base is shrinking as its focus expands beyond the app

#23
post #14

there's nothing you can do technically to fix bluesky. people just hate social networks at this point in this timeline.

Twitter's not doing too bad: 550 and 600 million monthly active users according to platform disclosures and industry estimates So maybe the trick is to not just cater to left on your platform.

Edison Research's "currently use Twitter" numbers for people 12+ went from 27% in 2023 to 22% in 2025.

Pew found 16% of U.S. teens used X in 2025, versus 23% in 2022 and 33% in 2014–15.

Re: Bluesky's active user base is shrinking as its focus expands beyond the app

#24
Reddit is dominated by the left, but there are other voice audible.

Twitter has plenty of leftists. They are very, very, very easy to find, as is every other shape and size of political, ideological, or spiritual thought; far easier than, say, a non-leftist viewpoint on the worldnews or politics subreddits, which because of their default status are much more inescapable than any one Twitter account.

There are very, very few non-left people on Bluesky. "JD Vance Becomes Most Blocked Person on BlueSky Days After Joining App" https://www.newsweek.com/jd-vance-bluesky-blocked-social-med...>

Even Bluesky's top users say so.

"Bluesky is backfiring. Mark Cuban says the 'lack of diversity of thought' is actually pushing users back to X" https://fortune.com/2025/06/12/bluesky-backfiring-mark-cuban...>

"Bluesky is not the good place" https://www.ms.now/opinion/bluesky-elon-musk-twitter-replace...>

But it could be worse. Bluesky has block list dissemination (à la how, if you make one comment in a "wrong" subreddit, a whole bunch of others will automatically ban you despite never having even heard of them), but I don't think even it ever gets so bad as individual Mastodon instances' ability to self-destruct in spectacularly amusing fashion. mastodon.lol example over Hogwarts Legacy. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34748195> As rvz said in the link,

>This is just one of many Mastodon instances which are undergoing an extinction event which involves: turning against themselves and destroying each other. This time, it is over a children's video game.

That said, I suppose that such self-immolation might be a good thing; sort of an immune system-like response. There are many, many mentally ill that steep far too long in Bluesky (and 80% of Reddit)'s ever-boiling toxic soup.

Re: Bluesky's active user base is shrinking as its focus expands beyond the app

#25
post #2

I hope against hope that people started to realize that the problem isn't the platform, it's the entire approach. Who am I kidding, people just realized that Bluesky wasn't going to be the next big thing and so it collapsed into being a mediocre bubble like Twitter, but without the scale.

> it collapsed into being a mediocre bubble like Twitter, but without the scale. I liked Josh Barro's take: https://www.joshbarro.com/p/bluesky-isnt-a-bubble-its-a-cont...

Agreed. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49264162>

Re: Bluesky's active user base is shrinking as its focus expands beyond the app

#26
post #14

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Twitter's not doing too bad: 550 and 600 million monthly active users according to platform disclosures and industry estimates So maybe the trick is to not just cater to left on your platform.

80% are bots, 10% trolls, and 5% foreign agents. I’ll take Bluesky over that every day.

The real percentage of bots on X is a baseline of 10% and can quadruple around contentious topics; see: https://www.clickguard.com/blog/twitter-spam-bots/

Information on bots on Bluesky is limited, but from digging around for a few minutes, Bluesky users report 15-40% of their followers are bots. You seem fairly confident about Bluesky having far fewer bots and fewer foreign agents, so if you have a good link on Bluesky bot and foreign influence statistics, please share it here!

Re: Bluesky's active user base is shrinking as its focus expands beyond the app

#27

Earlier quoted context omitted.

80% are bots, 10% trolls, and 5% foreign agents. I’ll take Bluesky over that every day.

The real percentage of bots on X is a baseline of 10% and can quadruple around contentious topics; see: https://www.clickguard.com/blog/twitter-spam-bots/ Information on bots on Bluesky is limited, but from digging around for a few minutes, Bluesky users report 15-40% of their followers are bots. You seem fairly confident about Bluesky having far fewer bots and fewer foreign agents, so if you have a good link on Blue…

We get to block them. They may exist but they’re invisible.

The bots and trolls and agents on X are always on your front porch.

Re: Bluesky's active user base is shrinking as its focus expands beyond the app

#28
Bluesky's feed algorithm (the "Discover" tab) is the worst I've ever seen. Hands down. I can't imagine anyone enjoying it unless they're 1) super into the US politics/domestic issues AND 2) politically aligned with the main user base of Bluesky.

The funniest part is that there is a better algorithm. It's right here: https://bsky.app/profile/spacecowboy17.bsky.social/feed/for-...

But somehow the devs of Bluesky never thought of making it the default tab. They should be making a better Twitter but what they're actually building is just Truth Social for the left.

Re: Bluesky's active user base is shrinking as its focus expands beyond the app

#29
post #14

there's nothing you can do technically to fix bluesky. people just hate social networks at this point in this timeline.

Twitter's not doing too bad: 550 and 600 million monthly active users according to platform disclosures and industry estimates So maybe the trick is to not just cater to left on your platform.

The only way in which BlueSky is preferentially catering to the left is by existing as an alternative to X and specifically providing tighter control of what is in your feed; and this is only “catering to the Left” because of the groups towards which X either has weakened or stopped enforcing its policies against harassment towards.

(In a market with strong network externalities, being the dominant player is self reinforcing and it takes failing hard to lose that positions, and its naturally hard to compete because getting users is a chicken and egg problem.)

Re: Bluesky's active user base is shrinking as its focus expands beyond the app

#30
Bluesky and Threads both have a fundamental issue in that their entire pitch is "We are like Twitter, but we are not run by Elon Musk, a Republican." Which only energizes the most radical, fringe, terminally online, who happen to be the ones that were most disliked on regular Twitter in the first place. When you whole pitch has zero appeal to 95% of people, its dead.
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