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Life with Hazard Ratios

dynomight.net

21–24 of 24 posts

Re: Life with Hazard Ratios

#21
post #2

I read it, and it seems like the core formula is ΔL ≈ ln(1 / HR) × 12.93 years (for U.S. males). It also gives you an easy way to approximate and interpret HR values from health studies, like an HR of 0.90 roughly translates to a little over a year of added life expectancy. Makes it easier to read those papers. Personally, I found it interesting. But what I'm curious about is this: are there any studies where the low…

> This person probably had the best diet in the world and received top tier care, so how did he end up with something like that?

If you lower your chances of dying of every common thing, your relative chance of dying of a rare or incurable disease goes up. If I cured every disease but cancer, my odds of eventually dying of cancer would be very high.

Re: Life with Hazard Ratios

#22
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Just yesterday I saw an article on Instagram that they are putting smoked meats and sausages and similar products in the came cancerogenic category as smoking. But not the same lung capacity impact category .. the emphysema rates from smoked meats are considerably lower than those from smoking.

I think it was just cancer overall. One kills you lings, another kills you gut, heart and etc. We know that smoke itself is really really bad for you. Open fire is bad for you. Sitting around campfire with a glass in your hand and a guitar might be really really bad for you.

I feel like you're ignoring the size of each of these impacts.

Sitting around a campfire once a month will likely increase your cancer risk. But it increases your cancer risk way, way less than smoking a pack of cigarettes every day.

Similarly, the World Health Organization is confident that smoked meats increase cancer risk. But that makes no statement about how much more likely you are to get cancer. I'm confident that eating undercooked chicken raises my risk for salmonella; I'm equally confident that eating a raw and expired piece of chicken also raises my risk of salmonella. But I would not say that each of those raises my salmonella risk by the same amount.

See the difference?

Re: Life with Hazard Ratios

#24
Now I'm wondering about saunas.

there was a paper (can't find it) saying finnish males using a sauna 4-7 times a week for 19 minutes at 174 degrees had a 66% less chance of all cause mortality.

Wonder if it just works out to be an extra year of life?

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