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Companies rein in AI usage as costs strain budgets

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21–30 of 112 posts

Re: Companies rein in AI usage as costs strain budgets

#21
post #4

I genuinely have no idea how some of these companies got so far over their skis on AI. It simply does not make sense to me.

IMHO it’s just good old fomo. They fear that the landscape will shift overnight and they’ll be left with a ton of useless meat bags instead of a pay as you go models that you can upgrade instantly every quarter.

Re: Companies rein in AI usage as costs strain budgets

#22

Companies are learning that even with mass layoffs, AI isn't worth what it costs for most use cases. This is an important inflection point because none of the AI companies are profitable, i.e. they're all still charging substantially less than what it costs to actually deliver the service. With things in that intermediate state, it's hard to know what a future stable state will be like.

If AI isn't worth what it costs why are some of these companies allowing $1,000+/employee/month?

Re: Companies rein in AI usage as costs strain budgets

#23
post #7

Does anyone know the inside story of some of these AI adoptions that have been downsized? The company I’m at has only only recently gotten an enterprise license.

We’ve had our AI budget per Engineer cut twice now since the peak mania in early 2026 and Fable was banned even before it was removed by Anthropic due to cost. It’s still used a lot but I think maybe they’re not really seeing the ROI especially when some people spent thousands and thousands per month on dubious AI things. Personally I truly can’t manage that many tasks (really 1 or 2 max) in parallel with these since…

Also, unlike the other Anthropic models, Fable/Mythos couldn't be used with a zero data retention agreement.

Re: Companies rein in AI usage as costs strain budgets

#24

I remember back when ChatGPT first came out, there was an article on HN about this AI researcher who worked for one of the big companies (I think Google) who came to believe the model was truly intelligent and that it was being abused by being locked in the machine. We all laughed as the guy had clearly lost his mind to AI psychosis. What we didn’t realize is he may have been patient zero. This is the delusion that w…

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/google-engineer-c...

it was before ChatGPT

Re: Companies rein in AI usage as costs strain budgets

#25
post #18

> The ride-hailing company has introduced usage caps, limiting employees to $1,500 in monthly token spending on individual AI tools, after blowing through its entire AI 2026 budget by April. Right, because they set their 2026 budget in 2025. And in 2025 nobody could predict how good (and token-hungry) coding agents would get after November 2025. I'd be surprised if any company that set an AI budget for 2026 hasn't bl…

I think this probably has more to do with companies switching to API pricing for enterprises, no?

Regardless, the C-suite wouldn’t be performing due diligence if they weren’t at least attempting to perform the calculus of “what are we getting out of this spend?” and what we’re seeing now is them looking for the justification.

Didn’t Uber mention that they’re having a hard time tying all of that spend to any new or improved features?

Re: Companies rein in AI usage as costs strain budgets

#26

We're in a dangerous valley where AI is _just_ good enough to fool some otherwise very smart people. Similar to the old adage of "a little bit of information is a dangerous thing." Lots of CEOs got duped into thinking that model capabilities were far ahead of where they actually were. I'm actually not sure if we're going to get out of the valley without figuring out a surefire way to reliably evaluate these things.

I have a theory there’s a more nefarious problem that AI changes the incentives around what work is easy to do, in a way that can affect how work hits the bottom line. Aside from the slop problem- people create more documentation more people have to read, etc. it makes it easier for me to say do a bunch of bug fixes or refactors that aren’t in the critical path.

So even if in say 100 person engineering out 10 folks might get 2-3x critical path work. 50 folks Might just add non-critical path work, and the other forty might use it in a way that they end up doing g less critical path work.

But depending on your metrics productivity could look up while the bottom line is unaffected. In which case model quality is a red herring.

Re: Companies rein in AI usage as costs strain budgets

#27
post #7

Does anyone know the inside story of some of these AI adoptions that have been downsized? The company I’m at has only only recently gotten an enterprise license.

Company is a fortune 100 and a client of mine.

Since the switch to API pricing they’ve cut usage limits in half twice and are now saying that anyone with high usage is essentially going to be audited.

They’re down to about 500 a month per person.

Re: Companies rein in AI usage as costs strain budgets

#28
post #18

> The ride-hailing company has introduced usage caps, limiting employees to $1,500 in monthly token spending on individual AI tools, after blowing through its entire AI 2026 budget by April. Right, because they set their 2026 budget in 2025. And in 2025 nobody could predict how good (and token-hungry) coding agents would get after November 2025. I'd be surprised if any company that set an AI budget for 2026 hasn't bl…

I think this probably has more to do with companies switching to API pricing for enterprises, no? Regardless, the C-suite wouldn’t be performing due diligence if they weren’t at least attempting to perform the calculus of “what are we getting out of this spend?” and what we’re seeing now is them looking for the justification. Didn’t Uber mention that they’re having a hard time tying all of that spend to any new or im…

I think it's both. Last year even the most AI-hungry companies had employees who were primarily using ChatGPT and Claude. It's really hard to burn a noticeable number of tokens with those tools.

The moment you have Claude Code or Codex running in a loop - or in multiple streams (something that people don't really do with chat because it returns fast enough there's no point running them in parallel) your token usage goes through the roof.

And then by May this year both OpenAI and Anthropic had migrated their enterprise pricing to API costs, not fixed subscription per month costs. That wouldn't have made much of a difference in the pre-coding-agent era, but today it means $100s or $1000s per employee per month.

Re: Companies rein in AI usage as costs strain budgets

#29
post #22

Companies are learning that even with mass layoffs, AI isn't worth what it costs for most use cases. This is an important inflection point because none of the AI companies are profitable, i.e. they're all still charging substantially less than what it costs to actually deliver the service. With things in that intermediate state, it's hard to know what a future stable state will be like.

If AI isn't worth what it costs why are some of these companies allowing $1,000+/employee/month?

Partially because they think that once employees put enough context and rules into markdown files they can be fired and replaced by an online subscription.

Re: Companies rein in AI usage as costs strain budgets

#30
post #22

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If AI isn't worth what it costs why are some of these companies allowing $1,000+/employee/month?

Partially because they think that once employees put enough context and rules into markdown files they can be fired and replaced by an online subscription.

I'm not convinced that's happening, any good evidence that it is?

The impact of AI on jobs appears to be more in terms of hiring slowdowns: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5425555

> Following adoption, junior employment declines in adopting firms relative to non-adopters, while senior employment trends remain largely unchanged. This decline is concentrated in occupations most exposed to GenAI and is driven primarily by slower hiring rather than increased separations.

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