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Open Source Iran War Cost Tracker: 45.7B

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Re: Open Source Iran War Cost Tracker: 45.7B

#21

Some problems: - The Aid package is not immediately spent all at once. It authorizes up to $26 billion, but the CBO estimates it may take all the way into 2033 to claim the money. - To that end, a lot of these costs are double counted. It's including the bill that authorizes these expenses, and then those expenses all in the same calculation. More realistically, the $6.5M/day in theater operations for a Carrier Strik…

It would be interesting, but admittedly difficult, to have a comparative scale of what could have been achieved if the money had been used to hire more teachers, set up universal healthcare, reduce overcrowding in prisons, provide shelters and food for the homeless, subsidise doctors to work in places where no-one can afford medical care... In other words "at this point you could have provided shelter for every homel…

You mean instead of the war?

These are really two different costs, hardly comparable. And both useful (if it ends up with a true liberation of the Iranians)

Re: Open Source Iran War Cost Tracker: 45.7B

#22
post #13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There were many many milestones that are relevant to the current war. - Proxy war waged by Iran in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and Yemen. - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assassination_of_Qasem_Soleima... Arguably the bombing of IRGC meeting in the consulate-adjacent structure was not really "direct conflict". It was Iran firing missiles at Israel that was the first real direct conflict: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/April_2…

In your last point, wasn't that just Miley pandering to the US and Israel ? Bombing an Embassy/Consulate is a direct attack on sovereign territory according to international law, so technically Israel started first, but I agree, it's splitting hair, both sides attacked each other in various ways, via proxies, sabotage, killing scientists, economic damages, sanctions long before any of this happened.

That was an Argentinian court so I'm not sure the government matters. Also there is other evidence of Iran's involvement. Not to mention countless other attacks on Israel proper and Israelis.

I don't think it's clear from an international law perspective. I remember reading the Vienna Convention and not really finding anything specific and my attempts to read it now and use AI to figure it out aren't yielding anything.

The status of the embassy or consulate is generally considered to be an agreement between the host and guest countries. It is not considered territory of the sending country at all.

Anyways, as we said this is mostly splitting hairs. Israel had really no grievance with Iran and no reason to act or attack it before Iran decided that destroying Israel is one of its goals. In the kindergarten game of "who started" it was clearly Iran, no doubt about that.

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