Yeah, unfortunely it isn't that hard to win a bit, the situation has become relatively bad with delays on average of 30m, and even need to switch trains, better have a few alternative routes at hand, as plan on how to continue the trip when a connection is lost.
Bet on German Train Delays
21–30 of 212 posts
Re: Bet on German Train Delays
#22Any ICE passing Frankfurt is a guaranteed 30 minute delay. Too easy to win.
For context, David Kriesel gave the infamous talk called “BahnMining” at 36C3 highlighting this. IIUC it’s only available in German: https://youtu.be/0rb9CfOvojk
Re: Bet on German Train Delays
#23Meine Güte…
Re: Bet on German Train Delays
#24The proliferation of online gambling is IMO one of the bigger under-reported trends in modern society, and has a real potential for massive externalities throughout society.
Agree on under-reported. But what externalities?
Re: Bet on German Train Delays
#25The proliferation of online gambling is IMO one of the bigger under-reported trends in modern society, and has a real potential for massive externalities throughout society.
That is most definitely NOT under-reported. I read about this as a giant red flag every week.
https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/2026/01/america-polym...
Re: Bet on German Train Delays
#26Where can I bet when this will be taken down? (Asking since polymarket is forbidden in DE)
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Re: Bet on German Train Delays
#27for the people who wouldn't have inadvertently clicked on the website: it's not real money, it's a campaign to nudge the German provider to care about their infamous delays
I am pretty sure that they know about the delays. A nice thing about the Deutsche Bahn is that they exist. It's not the case in every country in the world.
Sure, they can improve, but it seems possible. The French SNCF has improved a lot in the last decade, for instance.
Re: Bet on German Train Delays
#28for the people who wouldn't have inadvertently clicked on the website: it's not real money, it's a campaign to nudge the German provider to care about their infamous delays
DB is a job program. Nobody at DB cares.
Re: Bet on German Train Delays
#29[deleted]
Re: Bet on German Train Delays
#30The proliferation of online gambling is IMO one of the bigger under-reported trends in modern society, and has a real potential for massive externalities throughout society.
Constantly reported on in the FT