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WD and Seagate confirm: Hard drives sold out for 2026

heise.de

21–30 of 205 posts

Re: WD and Seagate confirm: Hard drives sold out for 2026

#21
post #6

Damn. First GPUs, then RAM, now hard drives? What's next, the great CPU shortage of 2026?

yes https://www.reuters.com/world/china/intel-amd-notify-custome...

Oh no, looks like my 8700k will have to hold out a little longer.

Re: WD and Seagate confirm: Hard drives sold out for 2026

#24

I'll go against the grain and claim this might be a good thing long term. Yes, it sucks also, I was planning to expand my NAS but guess I'll figure out how to compress stuff instead. Which goes into why I think this might be good. Developers have kind of treated disks as "oh well" with binaries ballooning in size, even when it can easily solved, and there is little care to make things lightweight. Just like I now fig…

There is an increasing chance the "invention" will be that nobody owns personal computers, and now has to rent from the cloud.

Re: WD and Seagate confirm: Hard drives sold out for 2026

#25
post #14

It'll be fine. The supply chain for these components is inelastic, but that means once manufacturing capacity increases, it'll stay there. We'll see lower prices, especially if there is an AI crash and a mass hardware selloff like some people are predicting.

True if production capacity increases but it's an oligopoly and manufacturers are being very cautious because they don't want to cut into their margins. That's the problem with concentration. The market becomes ineffective for customers.

Re: WD and Seagate confirm: Hard drives sold out for 2026

#26
post #8

Everyone: things suck, better move my stuff on a small home server. The hyper-scaler mafia: NOT ON MY WATCH! The only silver lining is that newer devices will have to scale down memory, so developers will have to ditch memory-sucking frameworks and start to optimize things again.

I’m just afraid that prices of $everything will go up soon and will not come down anymore, like they did after Covid. If it’s temporary I can live with it. I guess this was inevitable with the absolute insane money being poured into AI.

>If it’s temporary I can live with it.

Given this has been going on for years at this point, the high prices of graphics cards through crypto and now AI, it feels like this is the new normal, forever propped up by the next grift.

Re: WD and Seagate confirm: Hard drives sold out for 2026

#27
post #23
post #19

[flagged]

Sorry, do people not immediately see that this is an AI bot comment? Why is this allowed on HN?

> Why is this allowed on HN?

1) The comment you replied to is 1 minute old, that is fast for any system to detect weird comments

2) There's no easy and sure-fire way to detect LLM content. Here's wikipedias list of tells https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Signs_of_AI_writing

Re: WD and Seagate confirm: Hard drives sold out for 2026

#29
post #19

[flagged]

> "Personal Computing" is going to become a luxury of the past, and we’ll all be terminal-renters in someone else's data center.

This is the game plan of course, why have customers pay one time for hardware when they can have you constantly feed them money over the long term. Shareholders want this model.

It started with planned obsolescence, now this new model is the natural progression.. There is no obsolescence even in discussion when you're only option is to rent a service, that the provider has no incentive to even make competitive.

I really feel this will be China's moment to flood the market with hardware and improve their quality over time.

Re: WD and Seagate confirm: Hard drives sold out for 2026

#30
post #14

It'll be fine. The supply chain for these components is inelastic, but that means once manufacturing capacity increases, it'll stay there. We'll see lower prices, especially if there is an AI crash and a mass hardware selloff like some people are predicting.

True if production capacity increases but it's an oligopoly and manufacturers are being very cautious because they don't want to cut into their margins. That's the problem with concentration. The market becomes ineffective for customers.

It's not about cutting in to their margins, if they end up scaling up production it will take several years and cost an untold amount of billions. When the AI bubble pops, if there's not replacement deman there's a very real chance of them going bankrupt.
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