Whenever I read join optimisation articles in SQL based systems it feels... off. There is too much heuristic fiddling involved, and way too many niche algorithms that get cobbled together with an optimiser. As if we're missing the theory to actually solve the stuff, so we're instead hobbling along by covering as many corner cases as we can, completely missing some elegant and profound beauty.
Well, it's to be expected that heuristics are needed, since the join ordering subproblem is already NP-hard -- in fact, a special case of it, restricted to left-deep trees and with selectivity a function of only the two immediate child nodes in the join, is already NP-hard, since this is amounts to the problem of finding a lowest-cost path in an edge-weighted graph that visits each vertex exactly once, which is basic…
So it's possible that the full optimisation problem over all join tree shapes is "easy", even though an output-constrained version of it is NP-hard... But I think that's unlikely. Having an NP-hard constrained variant like this strongly suggests that the original problem is itself NP-hard, and I suspect this could be shown by some other reduction.
> with selectivity a function of only the two immediate child nodes in the join
This should be "with selectivity a function of the rightmost leaves of the two child subtrees", so that it still makes sense for general ("bushy") join trees. (I know, I'm talking to myself... But I needed to write this down to convince myself that the original unconstrained problem wasn't just the (very easy) minimum spanning tree problem in disguise.)