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Meta's Vision for Superintelligence

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Re: Meta's Vision for Superintelligence

#21

I don't buy these Superintelligence claims from Meta of 'abundance' and 'humans are free to do other things' as they are tied to Wall St and earnings. It is always abundance for the super rich, scarcity for those in jobs. How can I be free to do my gardening whenever I want when the landlord is asking for $11K rent in my SF flat? So eventually they will do the opposite of this 'vision' and put this super intelligence…

> How can I be free to do my gardening whenever I want when the landlord is asking for $11K rent in my SF flat?

This is the fatal flaw. It's been recognized explicitly for at least 140 years that the price of land rent rises in lockstep with productivity increases, guaranteeing there is no "escape velocity" for the labor class regardless of how good technology gets.

Re: Meta's Vision for Superintelligence

#22
post #9

If trends continue, then you'd expect people to spend less time in productivity software, and more time creating and connecting. Does the average American worker today spend a ton of time in productivity software? I know and Zuckerberg surely knows the impact on labor will be much more pervasive than that, so it seems like an odd way to frame the future.

Does the average American worker today spend a ton of time in productivity software?

"Average?" No. But many millions of people, yes.

The majority of people in my company spend their day tied to Microsoft Office.

Which bring its own problems when managers don't understand that building a computer program isn't the same speed, complexity, and skill level as making a PowerPoint presentation.

Re: Meta's Vision for Superintelligence

#25
post #9

If trends continue, then you'd expect people to spend less time in productivity software, and more time creating and connecting. Does the average American worker today spend a ton of time in productivity software? I know and Zuckerberg surely knows the impact on labor will be much more pervasive than that, so it seems like an odd way to frame the future.

[dead]

Re: Meta's Vision for Superintelligence

#26

I don't buy these Superintelligence claims from Meta of 'abundance' and 'humans are free to do other things' as they are tied to Wall St and earnings. It is always abundance for the super rich, scarcity for those in jobs. How can I be free to do my gardening whenever I want when the landlord is asking for $11K rent in my SF flat? So eventually they will do the opposite of this 'vision' and put this super intelligence…

> How can I be free to do my gardening whenever I want when the landlord is asking for $11K rent in my SF flat? You can work his fields in exchange for most of the harvest of course!

Or join a purgatorial society in exchange for free grazing on his land!

Re: Meta's Vision for Superintelligence

#27
post #6

Anthropic, to their credit, just published that pretty funny paper about how they couldn't get their chatbot to run a single vending machine profitably[1]. Admirable that Mark is so visionary he's skipped straight past Bodega-intelligence to super-intelligence [1] https://www.anthropic.com/research/project-vend-1?ref=blog.m...

Anthropic also expects that superintelligence will be reached in the somewhat near future. The intuition is that there's just not that much distance between a chatbot that can manage a vending machine poorly and a chatbot that can manage it well.

that intuition is wrong

Re: Meta's Vision for Superintelligence

#29

"more meaningful impact on our lives will likely come from everyone having a personal superintelligence that helps you achieve your goals, create what you want to see in the world, experience any adventure, be a better friend to those you care about, and grow to become the person you aspire to be." Meanwhile I can't properly find items that are listed on FB marketplace.

It’s a fluff piece for investors. I think the same may have been said for the metaverse.

Re: Meta's Vision for Superintelligence

#30
post #9

If trends continue, then you'd expect people to spend less time in productivity software, and more time creating and connecting. Does the average American worker today spend a ton of time in productivity software? I know and Zuckerberg surely knows the impact on labor will be much more pervasive than that, so it seems like an odd way to frame the future.

>and more time creating and connecting.

Creating what? AI slop?

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