Earlier quoted context omitted.
On x86, ret and call are explicit instructions. Ret always predicts the address of the last call, which is (usually) 100% accurate. Your example of `if (condition) jump $panic_recover_address` contains two branches, either of which can be mispredicted.
No, an unconditional jump to a fixed address can't be mispredicted.
Is that even true if an interrupt triggers after the return instruction prediction?