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CrowdStrike is not worth 83B Dollars

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Re: CrowdStrike is not worth 83B Dollars

#21
These are some REALLY dumb takes...

> CrowdStrike could potentially behave as a propaganda arm of the US government by creating “fake hacking stories” which are un-disprovable.They are able to do this due to information asymmetries in society.

If this is true, then isn't crowdstrike valuation quite low?

> It’s prohibitively hard to hack into a “cloud system” due to few possible entry points

?????

Re: CrowdStrike is not worth 83B Dollars

#22
post #7

They're up more than double YoY as of right now. Down ~30% from peak mostly due to the events today. It's not clear to me if the OP on this is "in the money". I don't fully grok options trading. She says: > My Position: CRWD $185 Put, 11/21/25 expiration date,. 5 contracts @ $7.30, up 16.85% since 06/11/24

they should have stuck with the SEC whistleblower bounty program

Theyd make way more than that DOOM LEAP they bought, but its worth $13 at time of writing, so 100%

people trading the 0DTE made 18,700% though

just save this comment for when you understand it

Re: CrowdStrike is not worth 83B Dollars

#23
post #7

They're up more than double YoY as of right now. Down ~30% from peak mostly due to the events today. It's not clear to me if the OP on this is "in the money". I don't fully grok options trading. She says: > My Position: CRWD $185 Put, 11/21/25 expiration date,. 5 contracts @ $7.30, up 16.85% since 06/11/24

This basically means the person has a guaranteed buyer who has to buy a set number of shares of CrowdStrike at $185 per share. If the price drops below that, say to $100, this person can buy a share at market value and immediately execute the contract making the person buy it at $185.

In the meantime, as the share price drops the contract's value itself usually goes up. They can sell the contract itself without having to touch shares and still make a profit.

Re: CrowdStrike is not worth 83B Dollars

#25
post #3

For those that come straight to the comments: This reddit post was written hours before the outage

Amusing conspiracy theory:

1. Quietly compromise enterprise IT vendor X.

2. Sockpuppet post on /r/wallstreetbets, suggesting shorting X, for any reason (doesn't matter why).

3. Place big bet against X's stock.

4. Use your compromise of X to accelerate a big public failure by X.

5. Profit, and the WSB post by your sockpuppet is your plausible reason for shorting X, and you're only one of a crowd who did so.

6. Bonus: sockpuppet account becomes WSB folk hero, as others also profit from tip, which is political capital you can spend later.

Re: CrowdStrike is not worth 83B Dollars

#27
post #7

They're up more than double YoY as of right now. Down ~30% from peak mostly due to the events today. It's not clear to me if the OP on this is "in the money". I don't fully grok options trading. She says: > My Position: CRWD $185 Put, 11/21/25 expiration date,. 5 contracts @ $7.30, up 16.85% since 06/11/24

The position doesn't have to be "in the money" to be profitable. At present, the underlying (that is $CRWD, not the puts themselves) is trading around $305 per share, so these puts with the strike price all the way down to $185 are still far, far off from being ITM. But, options are largely a bet on volatility. While the extreme price drop between when this user opened the trade and this morning has already made this trade quite profitable, it could still lose money if the trader holds on to it; IANAFA, but selling and taking profits on this rare event would most likely be in their interests, even if they continue to believe the underlying security will go all the way down to $185 by November.

Re: CrowdStrike is not worth 83B Dollars

#28
post #7

They're up more than double YoY as of right now. Down ~30% from peak mostly due to the events today. It's not clear to me if the OP on this is "in the money". I don't fully grok options trading. She says: > My Position: CRWD $185 Put, 11/21/25 expiration date,. 5 contracts @ $7.30, up 16.85% since 06/11/24

No, they are not ITM until CRWD hits $180/sh.

$185 puts that cost $7.30 mean they are considered ITM if CRWD drops below $184.27, assuming there's no cost to trade and the $7.30 refers to a single options contract (worth 100 shares). There is likely some (or a lot) extrensic value still remaining in the puts given the far away expiry date. The extrensic value is what makes them valuable.

Re: CrowdStrike is not worth 83B Dollars

#30
post #25
post #3

For those that come straight to the comments: This reddit post was written hours before the outage

Amusing conspiracy theory: 1. Quietly compromise enterprise IT vendor X. 2. Sockpuppet post on /r/wallstreetbets, suggesting shorting X, for any reason (doesn't matter why). 3. Place big bet against X's stock. 4. Use your compromise of X to accelerate a big public failure by X. 5. Profit, and the WSB post by your sockpuppet is your plausible reason for shorting X, and you're only one of a crowd who did so. 6. Bonus:…

Can't use X like that anymore.

Makes it sound like you're talking about the site formerly known as Tiwtter.

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