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Toyota to invest $1.3B in Kentucky factory to build battery packs and new EV

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Re: Toyota to invest $1.3B in Kentucky factory to build battery packs and new EV

#21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I do believe that Tesla's success in the last decade was in large part due to the fact it was the only technology company that could use all the money people were throwing at technology companies.

Softbank's belief was that throwing capital would just make things work. But from wework to many other of their startups shows its not the case. Telsa had to deploy their capital very efficiently in a capital intensive industry. Say their bet on the Shanghai factory, despite obvious IP leak risks and spawning deadly competitors like BYD, was their only choice to reach scale at a low cost.

>Telsa had to deploy their capital very efficiently in a capital intensive industry

Surely that's an easier task than deploying a similar amount of capital in an industry that isn't capital heavy.

Re: Toyota to invest $1.3B in Kentucky factory to build battery packs and new EV

#22
More Biden policy winning back investment in America, is my take.

Update:

People who may not have been following closely what Biden has accomplished during his Presidency might have questions.

In this case, the Inflation Reduction Act specifically has credits to encourage battery manufacture in the US.

https://www.orrick.com/en/Insights/2022/11/Section-45X-of-th...

More generally, the IRA and the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, and the CHIPS act has encouraged investment in US manufacturing, which is surging.

https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/industry/manufactur...

Re: Toyota to invest $1.3B in Kentucky factory to build battery packs and new EV

#23
post #7

$1.3B seems like a lot of money but it isn't for a car factory, especially spread over many years. For context: Tesla is guiding for $10+B a year capex spending for the next 3 years. Nevada factory took $6.2B and Tesla plans to spend additional $3.6B Toyota is still under-investing in EV. $1.3B is nothing. https://www.tesla.com/blog/continuing-our-investment-nevada

>For context: Tesla is guiding for $10+B a year capex spending for the next 3 years.

I know people around these parts think that Tesla has uncovered some magical factory building ability, but can you even consider the fact that maybe Toyota knows what they are doing?

>Toyota is still under-investing in EV. $1.3B is nothing.

This is one factory.

Re: Toyota to invest $1.3B in Kentucky factory to build battery packs and new EV

#24
post #13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah, it must be less than 1% of revenue. Probably a lot less, given that it is likely spread over several years.

It feels "right-sized" given Toyota's approach towards EV's and the slowing adoption rate of EVs in the US.

Toyota initiated the hybrid as a modern platform, and they continue make the best selling hybrid in the world (Prius). But since they don't want to be in the business of making undesirable vehicles with short lifespans that require expensive maintenance, they have stuck to hybrids rather than full electric and all the extremely costly low lifespan batteries that go into them.

Speaking as a 2004 Prius daily driver, the Toyota approach works. And I guarantee I'm a hell of a lot more "environmentally friendly" than anyone who commissioned literal tons of metal to be dug out of the earth to make their "green" new Tesla.

Re: Toyota to invest $1.3B in Kentucky factory to build battery packs and new EV

#25

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Ford made these same promises 2 years ago then bailed when the interest rate rose. Sometimes investment makes sense, and then things change and it doesn't make sense anymore. That's fair, isn't it?

Fair? What would that even mean? These empty promises are how we ended up electing Trump the first time and it's virtually guaranteeing that we'll elect him a second time. Rural Kentucky is in horrible shape and a lot of people here were placing hope in this, much like they have so many other empty promises from their leaders, so at least stop acting surprised when the consequences show themselves.

It's not a mirage. Manufacturing investment is happening.

https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/industry/manufactur...

Mostly in red-states, tbh, because they have fewer regulations slowing down building stuff.

Also, Trump is a prove loser who will lose again.

Re: Toyota to invest $1.3B in Kentucky factory to build battery packs and new EV

#27
post #7

$1.3B seems like a lot of money but it isn't for a car factory, especially spread over many years. For context: Tesla is guiding for $10+B a year capex spending for the next 3 years. Nevada factory took $6.2B and Tesla plans to spend additional $3.6B Toyota is still under-investing in EV. $1.3B is nothing. https://www.tesla.com/blog/continuing-our-investment-nevada

> For context: Tesla is guiding for $10+B a year capex spending for the next 3 years. I know people around these parts think that Tesla has uncovered some magical factory building ability, but can you even consider the fact that maybe Toyota knows what they are doing? > Toyota is still under-investing in EV. $1.3B is nothing. This is one factory.

What about Toyota's plans makes you think they will ever catch up to everyone else with EVs?

Re: Toyota to invest $1.3B in Kentucky factory to build battery packs and new EV

#28

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It feels "right-sized" given Toyota's approach towards EV's and the slowing adoption rate of EVs in the US.

Toyota initiated the hybrid as a modern platform, and they continue make the best selling hybrid in the world (Prius). But since they don't want to be in the business of making undesirable vehicles with short lifespans that require expensive maintenance, they have stuck to hybrids rather than full electric and all the extremely costly low lifespan batteries that go into them. Speaking as a 2004 Prius daily driver, th…

> Toyota initiated the hybrid as a modern platform […]

E.g., the first Prius was released in 1997:

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toyota_Prius_(XW10)

Re: Toyota to invest $1.3B in Kentucky factory to build battery packs and new EV

#29
post #15

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't think there is such thing as manufacturing investment without subsidization any more. And it most often results in the Winner's Curse: the entity providing the greatest subsidies win's the "investment", but they give up so much in the process that the economic benefits are wiped out. See: Tesla in Buffalo, VW in Ontario, FoxConn in Wisconsin.

It's true globally too. China heavily subsidizes their industrial base as do many other countries. When everyone else is subsidizing you have to subsidize too or you lose.

You can have tax policy that makes up for unfair subsidies or simply block those countries from your market.

Re: Toyota to invest $1.3B in Kentucky factory to build battery packs and new EV

#30

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Fair? What would that even mean? These empty promises are how we ended up electing Trump the first time and it's virtually guaranteeing that we'll elect him a second time. Rural Kentucky is in horrible shape and a lot of people here were placing hope in this, much like they have so many other empty promises from their leaders, so at least stop acting surprised when the consequences show themselves.

He means that companies exist to make a profit, supply customers and their needs and to pay employees. If they make a promise to spend money and economic conditions change to the extent that they would lose money, it makes sense to not continue with that commitment. Comparing a company making a profit with a politician trying to get elected is not fair.

That's not how promises or commitments work. It's true that that describes the behavior of profit maximization engines, but the language of your justification implies wrongdoing.
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