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Companies hide negative news with unrelated press releases alongside SEC filings

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Re: Companies hide negative news with unrelated press releases alongside SEC filings

#21
post #13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Push is expensive (in volume) so it’s not really surprising they don’t offer it for free.

Isn't it more expensive to have many people poll frequently?

Vs push where someone sets up to receive it and then… never turns it off?

Re: Companies hide negative news with unrelated press releases alongside SEC filings

#23
post #2

How can a lay-person investor get as-soon-as-possible access to recently filed form 8-K? What's the gate and delay time?

SEC’s EDGAR database has the filings available to everyone the moment they’re released. It will take you 5-10x longer to press F5 than it takes a bank/hedge fund to have a bot ingest the news and trade off of the new information. Even if you could ingest the information instantly, your orders will be slower than the people who are co-located within the same data center as the exchange, or the folks who set up private microwave relay networks between Chicago and NYC.

Re: Companies hide negative news with unrelated press releases alongside SEC filings

#24
post #19
post #9

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Before you think about making something that quickly reads 8-K filings and acts upon it: don’t bother. A bunch of entities are already doing this way faster than you ever can through various methods and by the time you get the data the opportunity to act is gone.

Despite being a Boglehead (total-market index investor), who thinks that's the best tablescraps I can get, when I can't be in the club of the people who're making the real money from the systems... I have idly wondered whether there's an viable opportunity to exploit retail investors who're being manipulated/misled (by, e.g., MSM financial 'news', stock-picker personalities, bloggers, WSB, etc.). Then I realize I was…

The Inverse Cramer ETF (SJIM) would be right up your alley.

Re: Companies hide negative news with unrelated press releases alongside SEC filings

#25
post #2

How can a lay-person investor get as-soon-as-possible access to recently filed form 8-K? What's the gate and delay time?

There are over 30 different types[1] of 8Ks and receiving notifications on all of them will inundate your inbox. It's a shameless plug but my freemium 'lay-person investor' site[2] will allow you to filter and select which 8Ks to view and receive notifications on. For example, you can receive an email every time a company files an event about a Bankruptcy / Receivership: https://last10k.com/stock-screeners/bankruptcy-receivership

[1] https://www.sec.gov/answers/form8k.htm

[2] https://last10k.com

Re: Companies hide negative news with unrelated press releases alongside SEC filings

#26
post #19
post #9

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Before you think about making something that quickly reads 8-K filings and acts upon it: don’t bother. A bunch of entities are already doing this way faster than you ever can through various methods and by the time you get the data the opportunity to act is gone.

Despite being a Boglehead (total-market index investor), who thinks that's the best tablescraps I can get, when I can't be in the club of the people who're making the real money from the systems... I have idly wondered whether there's an viable opportunity to exploit retail investors who're being manipulated/misled (by, e.g., MSM financial 'news', stock-picker personalities, bloggers, WSB, etc.). Then I realize I was…

> I have idly wondered whether there's an viable opportunity to exploit retail investors who're being manipulated/misled (by, e.g., MSM financial 'news', stock-picker personalities, bloggers, WSB, etc.).

Generally, this idea doesn't work because "manipulated"/misled retail investors will still be right 50% of the time. Being bad at trading gets you zero EV, not negative.

But if you look closely, those retail investors pay fees and spread, and if you find a way to collect those, you have a strategy. Usually, spread protects the security seller against adverse selection and market movements. But if you sell to someone who certainly doesn't know more than you do, you can just collect the spread without taking any of the risks. This is why payment-for-order-flow is viable, and why retail traders get lower fees on platforms like Robinhood than professional traders on platforms like IBKR Pro.

Whatever you do, you're probably not going to find a better strategy than the multi-billion dollar hedge funds trying to do the exact same thing but with a team of 200, and you'd just end up as one of those "retail investors" you'd try to exploit. Boglehead is the smart choice.

Re: Companies hide negative news with unrelated press releases alongside SEC filings

#27
post #6
post #2

How can a lay-person investor get as-soon-as-possible access to recently filed form 8-K? What's the gate and delay time?

This is practically real time: https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?company=&CIK=&type=... also available as an RSS/Atom format feed: https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcurrent&C... There is also a paid-for service called PDS ( https://www.sec.gov/oit/announcement/public-dissemination-se... ) which isn't necessarily any faster but can be more reliable.

Thanks for the links.

Interestingly, I noticed Amazon's CEO of Retail, Doug Herrington, dumping sizable amounts of Amazon stock[1].

This activity is coupled with growing complaints about Amazon's quality of goods[2], delivery[3][6] and ability to return those goods[2][4][5][8][9]. Amazon is now requiring customers to file a police report in order for their credible return to be accepted[7][10][11]. Amazon is also canceling union-backed delivery contracts[12], choosing instead to offer customers $10 to pick up their packages[13].

Oh, and tons of people are reportedly canceling Prime memberships[14].

Should we consider this salient signal of a downturn for Amazon?

[1]https://www.benzinga.com/sec/insider-trades/search/index?com.... [2]https://www.reddit.com/r/amazonprime/comments/13cieyc/receiv... [3]https://www.reddit.com/r/amazonprime/comments/13cjvq7/update... [4]https://www.reddit.com/r/amazonprime/comments/13c1hei/the_er... [5]https://www.reddit.com/r/amazonprime/comments/13cbd31/return... [6]https://www.reddit.com/r/amazonprime/comments/13calra/thats_... [7]https://www.reddit.com/r/amazonprime/comments/xiaiqe/amazon_... [8]https://www.reddit.com/r/amazonprime/comments/13avfyg/amazon... [9]https://www.reddit.com/r/amazonprime/comments/1338hzs/amazon... [10]https://www.reddit.com/r/amazonprime/comments/y457gw/amazon_... [11]https://www.reddit.com/r/amazonprime/search/?q=police+report... [12]https://www.reddit.com/r/AmazonDSPDrivers/comments/136jfe9/a... [13]https://www.reddit.com/r/technews/comments/13cmrh8/amazon_of... [14]https://www.reddit.com/r/amazonprime/search/?q=cancel+prime&...

Re: Companies hide negative news with unrelated press releases alongside SEC filings

#28
Companies astroturffing bad news is the rule on every aspect of their business, not just sec fillings. An example: down here in Brazil, and pretty much in all of Latin America, CocaCola changed their formula on the classic Coke, reducing the ammount of sugar and mixing it with artificial sweeteners. They started rolling out this change mid 2021, and for someone that absolutely hates the after taste of artificial sweeteners like me, it was an obvious change. I haven't had a Coke since, to me it's dead. But anyways, if you try to find any mention about the change in the formulation of CocaCola on the brazilian version of Google, you only find articles about the new "Zero Sugar Coke" formula, and no news AT ALL about the change to the original Coke. Even in Facebook and Twitter, any search for "coke changed formula" always retrieves posts about the new formula of Coke Zero on the first results. These companies have gaslighting departments, that's part of being a corporation in 2023.

Re: Companies hide negative news with unrelated press releases alongside SEC filings

#29
post #10

Will at any point we be able to build a system that won’t be gamed? ie. A system whose incentives are perfectly aligned with its operators and users incentives?

In system/process design, you generally need feedback in a system to operate optimally. Rather than try and create a system that can be set up and left alone - which will eventually get gamed or otherwise become unfit over time - we should aim to have feedback to continuously adjust and improve our systems.

For the highest level functions of our society, this feedback is humans and politics. We need a politics that allows issues in the financial system (and all other societal systems) to be assessed and changed over time, responsive to the needs of the people.

Re: Companies hide negative news with unrelated press releases alongside SEC filings

#30
post #6

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is practically real time: https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?company=&CIK=&type=... also available as an RSS/Atom format feed: https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcurrent&C... There is also a paid-for service called PDS ( https://www.sec.gov/oit/announcement/public-dissemination-se... ) which isn't necessarily any faster but can be more reliable.

Thanks for the links. Interestingly, I noticed Amazon's CEO of Retail, Doug Herrington, dumping sizable amounts of Amazon stock[1]. This activity is coupled with growing complaints about Amazon's quality of goods[2], delivery[3][6] and ability to return those goods[2][4][5][8][9]. Amazon is now requiring customers to file a police report in order for their credible return to be accepted[7][10][11]. Amazon is also can…

Your links don't reveal growing complaints, they're just complaints people posted to Reddit.

Of course there will be tons of complaints, Amazon is huge. Picking out a few of them is meaningless.

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