Live data from Hacker News

Apple Has Reportedly Rejected TSMC's Chip Price Hike of 6%

wccftech.com

21–30 of 271 posts

Re: Apple Has Reportedly Rejected TSMC's Chip Price Hike of 6%

#21

1. Crazy to me to think apple can't absorb 6% price hike on chips. their margins are usually so high. 2. But its awesome that apple can say no to price hikes. This is good economics for end users and its a reason why capitalism and markets are often good and produce lower prices

Interesting that in point #2 you think the market helps lower prices, when in point #1 you establish that Apple doesn't lower the price of what they're selling regardless of how much they lower their own prices.

Re: Apple Has Reportedly Rejected TSMC's Chip Price Hike of 6%

#22
> Apple has rejected these offers. [...] This may be one reason why we reported that the upcoming M2 Pro and the M2 Max for updated MacBook Pro models would be manufactured on the 5nm process instead of 3nm; both entities might not have reached a middle ground for price agreement.

This makes no sense?

M1 / M1 Pro / M1 Max / M1 Ultra were all manufactured on TSMC N5, even though volume production for N5P (improved N5) was already available by the time M1 Pro / Max were released. In fact, A15 (N5P) was released in September '21 whereas M1 Pro / Max (N5) were released in October '21 and Ultra was released in March '22.

M2 is manufactured on N5P, so it makes total sense that M2 Pro / Max / Ultra will also be manufactured on N5P. They're part of the same generation, so it makes sense to produce them on the same node.

This is also most logical from a financial standpoint: the base model M chips and the A chips are the smallest and therefore least expensive to produce on a new node with relatively poor yields and high prices. Once the node has matured a bit more (higher yields / lower prices), you manufacture the bigger chips (Pro / Max), and even later you print the big bois (Ultra)

M2 Pro / Max / Utra were never going to be N3.

Re: Apple Has Reportedly Rejected TSMC's Chip Price Hike of 6%

#23

1. Crazy to me to think apple can't absorb 6% price hike on chips. their margins are usually so high. 2. But its awesome that apple can say no to price hikes. This is good economics for end users and its a reason why capitalism and markets are often good and produce lower prices

Apple didn’t get rich by writing a lot of checks.

It seems to me that they did pay a lot to do R&D to develop computers, laptops, software, chip designs, etc.

You do not get rich writing unnecessary checks, but you do get rich writing checks towards investments that result in ROI. Such as paying TSMC to develop more advanced chips in exchange for retaining exclusivity for a certain period.

Re: Apple Has Reportedly Rejected TSMC's Chip Price Hike of 6%

#24

What other options does Apple have? Intel doesn’t manufacture ARM chips (yet) and Samsung is 1+ process nodes behind the upcoming TSMC N3E

The article outlined at least one option that Apple has: stay on the 5nm node for a bit longer. It doesn't seem impossible at all that TSMC would cave/agree to only a 2-3% hike in 6 months. While a greater lead is I'm sure welcome, it's not like Apple isn't _extremely_ well positioned in every market they operate in, even on 5nm.

“N3 technology will offer up to 70% logic density gain, up to 15% speed improvement at the same power and up to 30% power reduction at the same speed as compared with N5 technology”

Kinda crazy to not pay 6% for these gains but that’s just me!

Re: Apple Has Reportedly Rejected TSMC's Chip Price Hike of 6%

#25

TSMC charging 6% more for the 3nm process seems reasonable. Article notes Apple accounts for 25% of their revenue and says this gives them leverage over TSMC but aren't they the only 3nm player in town?

So I assume Moore's law has always meant that you get more transistors per dollar in spite of all the cost increases that come along with smaller nodes, but now I wonder, how long would that continue if Moore's law is breaking down?

Re: Apple Has Reportedly Rejected TSMC's Chip Price Hike of 6%

#26

Apple has more to lose here as they've bet their future on Apple Silicons currently only manufactured at TSMC. So it is interesting to see them still trying to arm-twist TSMC - would love to see their playbook as this is something they are known to do with all their suppliers.

AFAIK TSMC is operating Apple’s machines. If they want, and the contract allows, they can ship the machines somewhere else, and operate them there themselves or with another partner.

It’s not like TSMC builds the machines. They just operate them, and we all know what happens to the man in the middle.

Re: Apple Has Reportedly Rejected TSMC's Chip Price Hike of 6%

#28

TSMC charging 6% more for the 3nm process seems reasonable. Article notes Apple accounts for 25% of their revenue and says this gives them leverage over TSMC but aren't they the only 3nm player in town?

That was my thought. Can't they just threaten to sell the space to someone else?

Apple probably pays a premium on the 200 million pieces they buy. Since no one else apart from Samsung is making signficant money from Android, it'd be somewhat hard to cover the loss. PC volumes are lower, a lot of them are low-end, and Intel uses their own fab for most of their CPUs.

Re: Apple Has Reportedly Rejected TSMC's Chip Price Hike of 6%

#29

Is there a special name for situations where you have only one or very buyers AND sellers at the same time? Like a combination of monopoly and monopsony power? I wonder how prices are discovered in situations like these?

Yep, mentioned in anothere thread here somewhere.

Apparently its called a Bilateral Monopoly

Re: Apple Has Reportedly Rejected TSMC's Chip Price Hike of 6%

#30

What other options does Apple have? Intel doesn’t manufacture ARM chips (yet) and Samsung is 1+ process nodes behind the upcoming TSMC N3E

The article outlined at least one option that Apple has: stay on the 5nm node for a bit longer. It doesn't seem impossible at all that TSMC would cave/agree to only a 2-3% hike in 6 months. While a greater lead is I'm sure welcome, it's not like Apple isn't _extremely_ well positioned in every market they operate in, even on 5nm.

Given that Apple is very competitive even in 5nm I'd say that, yes, yes, they can stay at that process for as long as they want (which is probably +2yrs let's say)
Post reply on HN