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Compass S-1

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Re: Compass S-1

#22
post #11

$270M loss on $3.7B in revenue. If they can get opex down, there's some serious money to be made and a lot of growth left here. In my neighborhood I'm seeing more and more houses go up for sale with Compass signs.

Their single biggest expense is “commission and other transaction related expenses” which clocks in at just over 3B. I don’t know how much control they really have over commissions.

True but maybe the “industry standard” agent cut is open for “disruption.” (Personally I can’t fathom what the agents do today that adds $10k-$100k of value). They’ll find some data to support that they make agents more efficient and then reduce their cut. And when the agents complain, there aren’t going to be many people crying for them, especially the ones on Bravo.

Re: Compass S-1

#23
post #11

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Their single biggest expense is “commission and other transaction related expenses” which clocks in at just over 3B. I don’t know how much control they really have over commissions.

True but maybe the “industry standard” agent cut is open for “disruption.” (Personally I can’t fathom what the agents do today that adds $10k-$100k of value). They’ll find some data to support that they make agents more efficient and then reduce their cut. And when the agents complain, there aren’t going to be many people crying for them, especially the ones on Bravo.

If you're making a purchase/sale of several hundred thousand dollars, having someone with you who has done this many times before is easily worth 5% or so. Is every agent good? Well certainly not. But it's a high-stakes transaction that most people have never done before, or have done only once before, so having a veteran of many such transactions walk you through it is easily worth a few percent of the total cost.

Re: Compass S-1

#24
post #2

Compass is a real estate technology company that provides an online platform for buying, renting, and selling real estate assets. https://www.compass.com

It looks a lot like Zillow. Do they also advertise mortgage rates? I couldn’t find that. That is one of my favorite Zillow features.

Re: Compass S-1

#25
post #7

I see Compass signs all over the place. What makes them interesting here? Are they doing something that every other large real estate company isn't also doing?

Yeah, they've raised a whole hell of a lot of VC money and are using it to buy up market share by luring top agents away from other companies. They also have also have a nicer tech platform and recommender system, from what I understand.

I don't know the details of the platform, but I heard from friends who work for them as realtors that (supposedly) no one on the realtor side actually uses any of it. Compass pays the most, though, at least in the bay.

Re: Compass S-1

#26
post #16

Its a little silly how easily a company can categorize itself as a technology company. Many of the IPOs from the past two years suggests having a website and/or having an app doesn't just make you into a tech company (WeWork is a good example of this). Compass is no doubt eager to foster unreasonable expectations for growth that surpasses the business they're actually in (as real estate brokers) and prefer to imbued…

Agreed. This point from the S1 stood out:

> on average, 88% of our agent teams used our proprietary technology platform at least once per week,

This doesnt sound like they built some insane tech that everyone needs to use all the time. So how exactly is the a differentiator?

Re: Compass S-1

#27

    Our business has experienced rapid growth. In 2019 and 2020, our revenue was $2.4 billion and $3.7 billion, respectively, representing a year-over-year increase of 56%. Our net losses were $388.0 million and $270.2 million in 2019 and 2020, respectively.
For a company that sells expensive inventories, this falls below my expectation. Compared to Coinbase, given my limited amount of money, I'd rather invest in Coinbase.

Re: Compass S-1

#28
I have been house hunting lately and my agent works for Compass. The website experience kind of sucks. Horrible mobile experience, lots of UX glitches, it’s just annoying to use. In fact, half the time we are using StreetEasy to look at listings (they are a local competitor). Other than that, your buying experience is completely based on the quality of your agent and how well he can navigate your market. Not sure how Compass gets an edge there, but I will say my agent is great!

Re: Compass S-1

#29
post #16

Its a little silly how easily a company can categorize itself as a technology company. Many of the IPOs from the past two years suggests having a website and/or having an app doesn't just make you into a tech company (WeWork is a good example of this). Compass is no doubt eager to foster unreasonable expectations for growth that surpasses the business they're actually in (as real estate brokers) and prefer to imbued…

Thats true.. Zillow will mop the floor with compass remains.

Re: Compass S-1

#30

Earlier quoted context omitted.

True but maybe the “industry standard” agent cut is open for “disruption.” (Personally I can’t fathom what the agents do today that adds $10k-$100k of value). They’ll find some data to support that they make agents more efficient and then reduce their cut. And when the agents complain, there aren’t going to be many people crying for them, especially the ones on Bravo.

If you're making a purchase/sale of several hundred thousand dollars, having someone with you who has done this many times before is easily worth 5% or so. Is every agent good? Well certainly not. But it's a high-stakes transaction that most people have never done before, or have done only once before, so having a veteran of many such transactions walk you through it is easily worth a few percent of the total cost.

> easily worth 5%

Easily worth a couple grand, maybe. A percentage like that? No chance in hell.

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