Live data from Hacker News

The Global Population Crisis That Never Was

rogerpielkejr.substack.com

21–30 of 280 posts

Re: The Global Population Crisis That Never Was

#21
post #13

There are way more people on Earth than Earth can sustain in what we consider a life worth living. As bloodthirsty capitalism pulls more and more people out of poverty we discover that putting a steak on everyone's table and a fresh car in everyone's garage is too taxing on the atmosphere, wildlife, forests and what not. We seem to have to choose between a smaller luxurious population and billions and billions of peo…

We? '... in what we consider a life worth living'?

Re: The Global Population Crisis That Never Was

#22
post #2

"The myth, as is commonly told, tells the story of a mid-twentieth century world headed for disaster. There were too many people being born and not enough food being produced. This combination of forces would lead inexorably to famine, unchecked migration, conflict and other calamities. However, thanks to the inventiveness of Western scientists more food was produced, Armageddon was avoided, and the world did not exp…

In the context of the environment and more specifically climate change, it's not overpopulation per se but a growing middle class. The middle class, drives cars, have larger homes (to heat, cool and furnish) and so on.

A million people in poverty is not the same as a million living a traditional middle class lifestyle.

Re: The Global Population Crisis That Never Was

#23
post #2

"The myth, as is commonly told, tells the story of a mid-twentieth century world headed for disaster. There were too many people being born and not enough food being produced. This combination of forces would lead inexorably to famine, unchecked migration, conflict and other calamities. However, thanks to the inventiveness of Western scientists more food was produced, Armageddon was avoided, and the world did not exp…

> This combination of forces would lead inexorably to famine, unchecked migration, conflict and other calamities.

... and.. it does ? https://www.worldvision.org/refugees-news-stories

Re: The Global Population Crisis That Never Was

#24
post #2

"The myth, as is commonly told, tells the story of a mid-twentieth century world headed for disaster. There were too many people being born and not enough food being produced. This combination of forces would lead inexorably to famine, unchecked migration, conflict and other calamities. However, thanks to the inventiveness of Western scientists more food was produced, Armageddon was avoided, and the world did not exp…

In the context of the environment and more specifically climate change, it's not overpopulation per se but a growing middle class. The middle class, drives cars, have larger homes (to heat, cool and furnish) and so on. A million people in poverty is not the same as a million living a traditional middle class lifestyle.

It's either middle class people consuming huge amounts of resources per person, or it's subsistence dwellers cranking out 5 kids for every fertile woman.

Re: The Global Population Crisis That Never Was

#25
post #17
post #13

There are way more people on Earth than Earth can sustain in what we consider a life worth living. As bloodthirsty capitalism pulls more and more people out of poverty we discover that putting a steak on everyone's table and a fresh car in everyone's garage is too taxing on the atmosphere, wildlife, forests and what not. We seem to have to choose between a smaller luxurious population and billions and billions of peo…

> There are way to many people on Earth than Earth can sustain in what we consider a life worth living This point of view comes up a lot in connection with climate change, and I always find it incredibly offensive. My dad was reminiscing the other day about his happy childhood growing up in a village in Bangladesh in the 1950s. This was back when 1 in 3 kids didn’t live to the age of 5. Even an RCP 8.5 scenario isn’t…

One may be happy in a mud hut eating nothing but corn, but generally not after getting used to proper construction, sanitation, food etc.

Recent history shows that there's no holding previously backwards countries from advancing their consumption. As Russians joke, the global famine will come when the Chinese start using forks.

China, India and SE Asia are quickly upping their per-capita production and consumption of carbon-heavy goods. Brazil doesn't destroy Amazon out of spite.

We have no moral right to say "Nonono, you can't do what we did in the 20th century and live like us!".

Re: The Global Population Crisis That Never Was

#27
post #6

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But if you look at this from country abstraction level, what does it matter how much they consume per capita? All that matters is absolute number

If every country had the population of Norway, the globe would host just over 1 billion people. So then, would 1 billion Norweigans be better or worse than our current situation?

Who knows, considering developed countries produce science at higher rates the climate change might have already been solved.

Re: The Global Population Crisis That Never Was

#28
post #7
post #5

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Bangladesh has some struggles. It is the most densely populated (large) country on earth. They have major floods often which cause big problems. But they manage to survive Countries like Denmark and Norway are a lot more detrimental to the planet's ecosystem because they consume a lot, lot more per capita compared to what Bangladesh does (and they consume lots of bad things that Bangladeshi people do not consume).

Why do single out exactly these two countries and not the dozens with higher footprint per capita? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_ecologica...

To conveniently leave out North America.

Re: The Global Population Crisis That Never Was

#29

the dismissal of Malthus seems itself ideological. It's not due to any necessary reason that Malthusianism itself is wrong, quite obviously putting population pressure on restrained resources is an actual disaster. What was wrong with Malthus or the food scare talked about in the article is simply that they made their argument about the wrong thing and at the wrong time, the rebuttal is based on contingent facts. The…

>nobody today really argues for any of that stuff

ahem

https://www.un.org/development/desa/pd/themes/population-pol...

https://iiasa.ac.at/web/home/about/news/20140918-PDR-pop.htm...

https://blog.iiasa.ac.at/2014/02/27/what-is-the-optimal-fert...

https://www.ined.fr/en/glossary/population-policy/

Malthus should be targeted by the time-travellers for culling as soon as convenient ..

Re: The Global Population Crisis That Never Was

#30
Maybe there is not a population crisis. But if you interrupt the supply chain where I live in the smallest bit (as we have seen) then there is not enough food for every person. Perhaps that is not a population crisis but as we add more people it will only get worse. Maybe enough people are dying that it evens out.
Post reply on HN