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Data show rich cities are failing the Bay Area on housing

goldenstatswarrior.substack.com

21–30 of 76 posts

Re: Data show rich cities are failing the Bay Area on housing

#21

> Whether it’s to protect their property values, exclude Black people, keep down traffic or protect their city’s physical environment, these cities make it hard to build new housing. Stopped reading at this part. What an ignorant thing to say.

I think the article accusation of racism is misplaced, they just don't want poor people in their fancy city.

Re: Data show rich cities are failing the Bay Area on housing

#22

I'd classify myself as a progressive and I don't see why every Bay Area city has to make some "contribution" to increased housing. An acceptable approach would seem to be to have the "center" becoming more dense over time while the outer rings stay less dense. The problem is that current geography has resulted in natural centers being the ones that refuse to build and that is problematic. Palo Alto and the rest are h…

This just leads to pronounced NIMBYism. You see it in all of the community groups in the Seattle Suburbs - we have an agreement that each city must build new housing for X thousand residents in each decade. Every single suburb - Redmond, Bellevue, Kirkland, Woodinville, Bothell, and probably ones whose community discussion groups I don't monitor as well - all ask "why does it have to be here? Why can't people just move further out?"

People want to live throughout. Not everyone works in the canonical centers. Plenty of businesses are among the other cities too, particularly service workers who can't currently afford to live there. ALL of the cities need to build to keep costs under control. No one has any right to have their town stay small forever.

Re: Data show rich cities are failing the Bay Area on housing

#23

I'd classify myself as a progressive and I don't see why every Bay Area city has to make some "contribution" to increased housing. An acceptable approach would seem to be to have the "center" becoming more dense over time while the outer rings stay less dense. The problem is that current geography has resulted in natural centers being the ones that refuse to build and that is problematic. Palo Alto and the rest are h…

If your city requires minimum wage workers for a significant part of basic infrastructure it should be possible for them to live in your city. Otherwise you're getting subsidized by your neighboring cities that have to pay for the infrastructure to support employees of businesses that only pay taxes in your city.

That's why every city needs to contribute. The ones that aren't are literally leeching off of neighboring cities.

Re: Data show rich cities are failing the Bay Area on housing

#24
> The data show that middle income cities have, on average, grown at a much faster pace than the region’s poorest and richest locales.

I'm not a housing expert, so take everything I say with a grain of salt.

Middle income cities grow faster because there was more growth in middle income demographics. The most common demographic with a lot of growth is the "senior software engineer" at tech company X. As tech companies exploded, this was the segment that grew the most.

As a result, this is the segment that is most competitive when it comes to housing, because that's where all the people are. This "middle class" income bracket for housing in the Bay Area translates roughly to the $1.25m to $2.5m range for single family home purchases depending on whether you have 1 or two tech incomes in the household.

There's no getting around it: wherever most of the people are will be the most competitive for housing, and when it comes to essentials like food and shelter, people /will/ compete. Want less competition? Buy a house in Vallejo for under $1m, or go above $3m, and there will be fewer people in those brackets who can compete with you.

Either increase the supply or decrease the demand, there's no way around the physical reality of housing.

P.S. It never fails to make me pause and think when people accept $200k jobs without asking, or trying to find out: "What's the distribution graph of incomes within a 30-min commute distance of the job, and where do I land on that bell curve?"

Re: Data show rich cities are failing the Bay Area on housing

#25
post #15

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's fine if you want to live in low density. But at the same time, these cities, like Palo Alto, are building office space left and right and welcoming businesses into town. (At least that was the MO pre-COVID.) You shouldn't be able to welcome businesses in without building requisite housing units to support the employees.

> But at the same time, these cities, like Palo Alto, are building office space left and right and welcoming businesses into town. Because said cities cannot get enough tax money from property tax (blame Prop 13) so they need to get it from businesses. But then those businesses attract people in the area and then those people need a place to live in but they can't get a place because nobody has the incentive to sell…

As someone not familiar with Californian/SF local legal matters. What do they need the tax $ for if there aren't many residence?

Re: Data show rich cities are failing the Bay Area on housing

#26

I'd classify myself as a progressive and I don't see why every Bay Area city has to make some "contribution" to increased housing. An acceptable approach would seem to be to have the "center" becoming more dense over time while the outer rings stay less dense. The problem is that current geography has resulted in natural centers being the ones that refuse to build and that is problematic. Palo Alto and the rest are h…

I remember there was a huge discussion about Prop 13 on HN. IIRC, people passed Prop 13 because 1. California government double taxed; 2. Inflation was crazy and people believed that it was cruel that retirees had to leave the home they had been living in for many years just because they couldn't afford the property tax.

What beats me is why Prop 13 applies to commercial properties and investment homes.

Re: Data show rich cities are failing the Bay Area on housing

#27

> The data show that middle income cities have, on average, grown at a much faster pace than the region’s poorest and richest locales. I'm not a housing expert, so take everything I say with a grain of salt. Middle income cities grow faster because there was more growth in middle income demographics. The most common demographic with a lot of growth is the "senior software engineer" at tech company X. As tech companie…

> The most common demographic with a lot of growth is the "senior software engineer" at tech company X.

This isn’t middle income. Entry level FAANG is already high income, never mind senior software engineer.

Re: Data show rich cities are failing the Bay Area on housing

#28

I'd classify myself as a progressive and I don't see why every Bay Area city has to make some "contribution" to increased housing. An acceptable approach would seem to be to have the "center" becoming more dense over time while the outer rings stay less dense. The problem is that current geography has resulted in natural centers being the ones that refuse to build and that is problematic. Palo Alto and the rest are h…

I remember there was a huge discussion about Prop 13 on HN. IIRC, people passed Prop 13 because 1. California government double taxed; 2. Inflation was crazy and people believed that it was cruel that retirees had to leave the home they had been living in for many years just because they couldn't afford the property tax. What beats me is why Prop 13 applies to commercial properties and investment homes.

Even more surprising we tried to repeal prop 13 for just commercial real estate last election and it failed.

Re: Data show rich cities are failing the Bay Area on housing

#29

> Whether it’s to protect their property values, exclude Black people, keep down traffic or protect their city’s physical environment, these cities make it hard to build new housing. Stopped reading at this part. What an ignorant thing to say.

I think the article accusation of racism is misplaced, they just don't want poor people in their fancy city.

Oh not racist at all then. Stop a group of people from accumulating wealth then just segregate based on wealth. Not Racist at all.

Economics is like the "race by proxy" get out of jail free card.

Re: Data show rich cities are failing the Bay Area on housing

#30
post #7

> Rich communities should want to welcome more residents, particularly those less fortunate than them. Sadly, in the Bay Area, that doesn’t seem to be the case. Is that the case anywhere in the world? Why single out the Bay Area.

100% agree, the Bay Area isn’t even that bad. If you want to see real exclusion try going to a gated community in Beverly Hills or Miami.

One difference, as highlighted by the YIMBY Action lawsuit against the California Department of Housing and Community Development, is that both Beverly Hills and San Bernardino are included in the Southern California Association of Governments, and thus they are considered together while planning for housing needs.

Whereas Stockton is excluded from the Association of Bay Area Governments. The housing shortage in the Bay Area is not accurately assessed, and not accurately planned for.

https://www.sfweekly.com/news/yimbys-sue-for-even-more-housi...

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