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China CCP to Nationalize Jack Ma's Alibaba and Ant Group – Report

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Re: China CCP to Nationalize Jack Ma's Alibaba and Ant Group – Report

#21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am most surprised about how surprised everyone is about these events. Did Jack Ma think he was going to tell the CCP how it is? China is executing an executive for bribery and corruption [1] (a lot of bribery and corruption though!). Perhaps it's simply the Overton Window [2] delta between the US and China. [1] https://www.dw.com/en/china-sentences-ex-banker-to-death-for... [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overton…

You're right, but also, it's quite compelling news how you think change is coming - yet it doesn't and it falls back under the old ways. I did kind of imagine that, yes, Jack Ma and CCP would be a bit different, but hey, goes to show that CCP still has all the power in China. Makes you wonder about other power vacuums in the world.

[deleted]

Re: China CCP to Nationalize Jack Ma's Alibaba and Ant Group – Report

#22

China previously required Alibaba and other companies to accept government officials within their companies. https://www.ft.com/content/055a1864-ddd3-11e9-b112-9624ec9ed... Fraser Howie, author of "Red Capitalism", says that all Chinese corporations are either state owned enterprises or state overseen enterprises. It appears China may want to transition Alibaba from the latter to the former.

All US companies are also either state owned (USPS), state overseen (regulated), or even state subsidized as well (Boeing). You can add state monitored (Telcos) in there as well.

Re: China CCP to Nationalize Jack Ma's Alibaba and Ant Group – Report

#23
post #16

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am most surprised about how surprised everyone is about these events. Did Jack Ma think he was going to tell the CCP how it is? China is executing an executive for bribery and corruption [1] (a lot of bribery and corruption though!). Perhaps it's simply the Overton Window [2] delta between the US and China. [1] https://www.dw.com/en/china-sentences-ex-banker-to-death-for... [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overton…

I think Bribery in China is like the book/film the firm with regard to “having the goods” for blackmail or in this case Control of party officials via corruption. They look bribery the other way the great majority of the time. Everyone does it, but when they want you, they have air tight, iron clad evidence against you and everyone they need to take down.

> They look bribery the other way the great majority of the time. Everyone does it, but when they want you, they have air tight, iron clad evidence against you and everyone they need to take down.

Perhaps in the China of the past, but I don't think the low-level bribery you see in places like Nigeria or India is incredibly common in China anymore.

Re: China CCP to Nationalize Jack Ma's Alibaba and Ant Group – Report

#25

I was thinking about nationalization separately from this. The west has invested a lot into the Chinese economy hoping to translate the corresponding equity into growth. I wonder if the Chinese are really long term interested in honoring the equity. Meaning - take the money now, grow the businesses and the economy and then at some point say "It's stupid that we're letting foreigners have 20% (or whatever) ownership o…

Yes.

The CCP has pretty explicitly said and proved that it places itself and its interests above Chinese and/or international law.

It's playing nice with international investment for now, because it's free money, but ultimately any investment in China is only valued to the extent the CCP feels it's in its best interests.

The West's intent was to make China dependent on the international banking and trade system, such that they would provide additional levers to control China's behavior, but we're talking about a government that starved its population to prove a point...

Nothing shy of being able to melt down the Chinese economy is going to change their decision, if they make it.

Re: China CCP to Nationalize Jack Ma's Alibaba and Ant Group – Report

#26

I was thinking about nationalization separately from this. The west has invested a lot into the Chinese economy hoping to translate the corresponding equity into growth. I wonder if the Chinese are really long term interested in honoring the equity. Meaning - take the money now, grow the businesses and the economy and then at some point say "It's stupid that we're letting foreigners have 20% (or whatever) ownership o…

I guess they should be prepared for reciprocal actions. They bought up a lot of strategic real estate sound the world including in Europe

Re: China CCP to Nationalize Jack Ma's Alibaba and Ant Group – Report

#27
post #16

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think Bribery in China is like the book/film the firm with regard to “having the goods” for blackmail or in this case Control of party officials via corruption. They look bribery the other way the great majority of the time. Everyone does it, but when they want you, they have air tight, iron clad evidence against you and everyone they need to take down.

> They look bribery the other way the great majority of the time. Everyone does it, but when they want you, they have air tight, iron clad evidence against you and everyone they need to take down. Perhaps in the China of the past, but I don't think the low-level bribery you see in places like Nigeria or India is incredibly common in China anymore.

I imagine CCP support of WeChat and similar digital currency systems is to suss out this activity.

Re: China CCP to Nationalize Jack Ma's Alibaba and Ant Group – Report

#28

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am most surprised about how surprised everyone is about these events. Did Jack Ma think he was going to tell the CCP how it is? China is executing an executive for bribery and corruption [1] (a lot of bribery and corruption though!). Perhaps it's simply the Overton Window [2] delta between the US and China. [1] https://www.dw.com/en/china-sentences-ex-banker-to-death-for... [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overton…

> Did Jack Ma think he was going to tell the CCP how it is? Yes, I did actually. There's every reason to believe that the people installed to run Alibaba / Ant after Jack gets sent off to "re-education camp" will be unable to propel it to further heights. Stagnation is likely as good as it'll get and there's every reason to believe it'll be run into the ground eventually. I see Jack Ma as a sort of Chinese Elon Musk…

[dead]

Re: China CCP to Nationalize Jack Ma's Alibaba and Ant Group – Report

#29
post #19

I was thinking about nationalization separately from this. The west has invested a lot into the Chinese economy hoping to translate the corresponding equity into growth. I wonder if the Chinese are really long term interested in honoring the equity. Meaning - take the money now, grow the businesses and the economy and then at some point say "It's stupid that we're letting foreigners have 20% (or whatever) ownership o…

>Obviously it will prevent future foreign investment but if China is in a place where they don't care about that, it would be the move. In that case the state can still get sued. see: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yukos_shareholders_v._Russia As for actual compensation to the shareholders, it can range between money seized from foreign accounts (think US treasuries) to sanctions.

Great, glad we will find a way to sanction China when the CCP's skepticism of massive private ownership hurts the interests of the ultra-wealthy in the US, but not when there are massive human rights issues now around how they treat minorities.

Re: China CCP to Nationalize Jack Ma's Alibaba and Ant Group – Report

#30
post #3

Is it me or there's some cognitive dissonance going on with the whole article discussing the ramifications of a nationalization without describing at all what sourced this "news" in the first place? A cursory search seems to show this is a regurgitation on a sourceless Radio Free Asia article ( https://www.rfa.org/english/news/china/alibaba-probe-1225202... ) from December?

Radio free Asia has deep ties to US agencies. It isn’t really a credible source.
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