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Digital Money Across Borders: Macro-Financial Implications

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21–30 of 79 posts

Re: Digital Money Across Borders: Macro-Financial Implications

#21
post #4

We already have a digital Euro/Dollar/Yen, just look at the banking app on your phone or the transactions you do with a bank or credit card. But I'm very scared to see what those digital wallets for CBDC will turn into. If central banks get control over money flows they can do horrible stuff: * set a maximum limit on the amount of money you are allowed to have/save in your CBDC wallet. * give you an x amount of money…

Attach those digital wallets to biometrics and just like that, we have the nightmare to which you are alluding. Going against the zeigeist again but if something gets pushed onto us for something silly like "pandemic preparedness" or "contact & trace" like 9/11 has brought onto us...that offers identity management that can be expanded into a system like this... If that happens, can we please stop pretending like some…

"It is not a pandemic if you need to be told it is a pandemic."

I'm using that, thanks.

Re: Digital Money Across Borders: Macro-Financial Implications

#22
post #8

I find it interesting that the paper focusses on Central Bank Digital Currencies and Global Stablecoins, but pretends not to see/prefers not to deal with the elephant in the room - Bitcoin. If anything is a candidate for a potential Reserve Currency, BTC is it, imho. Deep in the footnotes comes the contorted logic," According to the IMF Treatment of Crypto Assets in Macroeconomic Statistics, crypto assets such as Bit…

BTC has no benefit over central counterparty clearing and settlement.

Even if the technology would adapt cryptographic ledgers, there is no reason to use another currency for that. You use sovereign currencies as before.

Re: Digital Money Across Borders: Macro-Financial Implications

#23
post #6

We already have a digital Euro/Dollar/Yen, just look at the banking app on your phone or the transactions you do with a bank or credit card. But I'm very scared to see what those digital wallets for CBDC will turn into. If central banks get control over money flows they can do horrible stuff: * set a maximum limit on the amount of money you are allowed to have/save in your CBDC wallet. * give you an x amount of money…

>give you an x amount of money and force you to spend it (by taking the excess away at the end of the month or topping it up to a limit). that could be an interesting one for Universal Basic Income .

It's not, and doesn't work. Firstly, it'll just get turned into something else (by spending/buying with it) that holds value and is sought after/tradable/fungible - Eg. Alcohol, gold, drugs, x_equiptment. Plus, if the money deletes after say 30 days it's worth less on day 29 than day 1. If it doesn't disappear after the transaction, it'll just be funneled through business for the 2nd tier 'money' described prev.

Re: Digital Money Across Borders: Macro-Financial Implications

#24
post #20

I was in many crypto presentations during the 2018 BTC rise. The crypto-anarchists (left and right leaning) were getting their spotlight and laying out their "dream". Basically an updated version of Kropotkin's and Bakunin's work for the blockchain-era. I really don't get what is the hate with the central banks getting control over the money. Yes they are not appointed by the Government but it does not matter, the mo…

Care to elaborate how is bitcoin untraceable exactly?

Re: Digital Money Across Borders: Macro-Financial Implications

#25
post #20

I was in many crypto presentations during the 2018 BTC rise. The crypto-anarchists (left and right leaning) were getting their spotlight and laying out their "dream". Basically an updated version of Kropotkin's and Bakunin's work for the blockchain-era. I really don't get what is the hate with the central banks getting control over the money. Yes they are not appointed by the Government but it does not matter, the mo…

Look, there was a gold-pegged currency without any digital equivalent, all in the form of untraceable cash. It was, for instance, the US dollar as late as 50 years ago. Back in 1950s people in the US were economically secure at currently unbelievable levels. Or, say, 100-120 years ago the US experienced colossal economic growth, while levels of inequality were lower than today's.

I would rather posit that central banks doing monetary policy tricks with fiat money are increasing inequality and give rise to crazy and detrimental financial schemes.

I agree about the big guns, though.

Re: Digital Money Across Borders: Macro-Financial Implications

#26
post #8

I find it interesting that the paper focusses on Central Bank Digital Currencies and Global Stablecoins, but pretends not to see/prefers not to deal with the elephant in the room - Bitcoin. If anything is a candidate for a potential Reserve Currency, BTC is it, imho. Deep in the footnotes comes the contorted logic," According to the IMF Treatment of Crypto Assets in Macroeconomic Statistics, crypto assets such as Bit…

What I love about the Bitcoin enthusiasts is how they picture it to be the be all/end all magical money that will solve everything

Meanwhile the real big money-movers (legal or illegal) are still using bank accounts and paper companies in "business-friendly" jurisdictions.

Re: Digital Money Across Borders: Macro-Financial Implications

#27

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I would argue that all of that is already more or less the case with the central banking system as we have it now: negative interest rates, money only insured up to 100k per person in EU bank accounts, massive decrease in buying power (look at the price of real estate/gold/crypto expressed in EUR/USD over the past 10 years), Dutch citizens pay "capital tax" over any capital over some 30k EUR (literally: spend it or w…

to be fair, crypto purchases have a high incidence of chargeback fraud. this is expensive for banks. edit: i chuckled at the little britain reference :)

They could easily decline a single card payment instead of suspending the whole account.

Re: Digital Money Across Borders: Macro-Financial Implications

#28
post #10

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What do you mean by "Bitcoin showing no greater volatility than any of the world's fiat currencies"? I pulled up BTC/USD and EUR/USD https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=XBT&to=USD&view=2Y https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=EUR&to=USD&view=2Y In the last 1 year, I see BTC low of 5000 and high of 12000, a 40% difference. And EUR at 1.06 to 1.20, about 12% difference. The year before was worse for BTC and bette…

Not that bitcoin is not volatile (it sure as hell is), but you're picking the most stable currencies in the world and comparing them to a crypto asset that is younger than a kindergarden class. Try building the same graphs for 3rd or even 2nd world currencies and observe that they might have even worse volatility. I live in a country whose currencies devaluated in order of trillion times in 20th century if you count…

> you're picking the most stable currencies in the world

OP tried to compare Bitcoin to reserve currencies. Reserve currencies are more stable than average.

Re: Digital Money Across Borders: Macro-Financial Implications

#29
post #8

I find it interesting that the paper focusses on Central Bank Digital Currencies and Global Stablecoins, but pretends not to see/prefers not to deal with the elephant in the room - Bitcoin. If anything is a candidate for a potential Reserve Currency, BTC is it, imho. Deep in the footnotes comes the contorted logic," According to the IMF Treatment of Crypto Assets in Macroeconomic Statistics, crypto assets such as Bit…

> Why the aversion?

Students of central banking are familiar with central banking in the era of gold and why it was almost universally a disaster. (Most of Bagehot [1] concerns itself with bank runs.)

This paper’s audience is familiar with that history. Talking about Bitcoin would be like addressing why machine language wasn’t used in a CS paper.

[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lombard_Street:_A_Descriptio...

Re: Digital Money Across Borders: Macro-Financial Implications

#30

The traditional capitalist economy with gold and then dollar bills was adequate for a long time. Still ground to halt during great depression. I argue that it is on it's limits now. Long-term prosperity now depends on central banks making right decisions every time there is a hiccup. This should not be like that. It should be more automatic. Ubi or not, relief funds should be in place when they are truly needed. Shor…

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