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I Told You RIM Was in Trouble

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Re: I Told You RIM Was in Trouble

#22
post #6

If I were at Palm now or before their acquisition by HP, I would be pushing to ease up on the consumer focus and make an all-out attack on Blackberry's home turf. RIM has completely lost focus. It has taken its eyes off of its own flagship product, and is busy trying to copy whatever anyone else is doing--but it can't really make up its mind who it wants to copy. I think WebOS could have been a tremendous hit in ente…

I'm not sure if that will do any good - you see Blackberrys are killer on messaging not apps. The answer to the Blackberry question is more server-side than client-side.

I know your point was enterprise IT, but allow me to illustrate with a consumer example. The same reasoning applies.

Here in India, I see most of the hip young crowd carrying Blackberrys. Note that unlocked, grey-market iPhones are available in India at not-too-deterring prices. But Blackberrys are defacto, and all you see people doing is message, message, message.

We have some of the rock bottom rates on calls and SMS - yet you can buy a fixed-rate Blackberry messenger subscription at nearly every service provider in India which lets you do unlimited group messaging (irrespective of domestic or international). I think you can also group-message a certain number of multimedia items.

Now that is something that not even Apple has cracked. The system is seamless.

The only competition to Blackberry in the hip-messaging market will come with the Facebook phone which will seamlessly integrate the mobile angle to the Facebook Messaging platform.

R.I.M can only be broken by the final integration of Google Voice, Gizmo5, Slide/Disco and some form of video chat into Android. The notification-bar on Android is simply custom built for messaging notifications.

Re: I Told You RIM Was in Trouble

#24
I think it's very important to understand that this idea of "no compromise" matters. And this idea that you can pick whichever one you want.

Jim, you can't have it both ways. "No compromise" means that there is only one way to do it, the best way. "You can pick whichever one you want" means that there's more than one way to do it and various compromises must be made to support them all. No matter, although it's oxymoronic to pursue both strategies, your actions have made it very clear that the Playbook is trying to do everything and is absolutely going to be a compromise product.

I believe your approach comes from your undeniable success in "The Enterprise." When you are selling one hundred tablets to individuals, the dynamic is this: Tablet A does a good job of appealing to half of the market. Tablet B does a good job of appealing to the other half of the market. Then the Playbook comes along and takes a compromise position, doing a mediocre job of appealing to the entire market. A and B divide the market, and Playbook gets table scraps.

However, the enterprise is allegedly different. The argument is that if a committee is choosing a single tablet to for 100 people to use, even if half would be better using A and the other half would be better using B, Playbook is "good enough" for everyone and so A is shut out, B is shut out, and RIM gets 100 Playbook sales.

I'd buy that argument if tablets will be purchased the way desktop PCs and corporate phones used to be purchased. However, some things have changed. You can have web apps that play identically on Android and iOS tablets. You can have push notification to both devices. You can get Exchange email on both devices. I am not sure that one corporation needs to standardize on tablets the way they needed to standardize on phones ten years ago or on PCs twenty years ago.

It might be that enterprises happily buy A for everybody, B for everybody, or let people use A or B as they prefer. Times seem to have changed in the last decade. Your company believes otherwise, that much is obvious, and you are betting thousands of jobs on your belief.

As Georges St-Pierre says, "Good luck with that."

http://raganwald.posterous.com/dear-jim

Re: I Told You RIM Was in Trouble

#25
post #6

If I were at Palm now or before their acquisition by HP, I would be pushing to ease up on the consumer focus and make an all-out attack on Blackberry's home turf. RIM has completely lost focus. It has taken its eyes off of its own flagship product, and is busy trying to copy whatever anyone else is doing--but it can't really make up its mind who it wants to copy. I think WebOS could have been a tremendous hit in ente…

"ease up on the consumer focus" sounds like a recipe for failure to me.

Re: I Told You RIM Was in Trouble

#26
IMO RIM needs to "pivot" and enable their consumer devices for activesync. I think there's still a market for their BES software in the Enterprise, but the majority of small & medium businesses don't want to have to have a BES for their users to have email on their phones. Most of them have Exchange servers with activesync already in place. RIM even gives away the BES Express software for free now and still we have clients who aren't interested. From my experience with BES (Working for an IT Services provider with over 300 clients) I have found it to be a huge POS that works when it works, but when it doesn't it usually requires either a blackberry specialist, or a call to RIM's support.

Re: I Told You RIM Was in Trouble

#27
post #6

If I were at Palm now or before their acquisition by HP, I would be pushing to ease up on the consumer focus and make an all-out attack on Blackberry's home turf. RIM has completely lost focus. It has taken its eyes off of its own flagship product, and is busy trying to copy whatever anyone else is doing--but it can't really make up its mind who it wants to copy. I think WebOS could have been a tremendous hit in ente…

Agreed. There's a big market the android and ios fans seem to be ignoring a bit - small/medium businesses with a need for mobile devices and custom apps. The iOS "100 device limit" is pretty annoying and trying to deploy a custom add via 'ad-hoc' is certainly not a simple process (yet?) HPalm could/should be targeting SMBs and developers with an inexpensive tablet that is easy to write for. A $299 price point for a webOS tablet would be fantastic - JS-based development, web-based deployment, low-cost devices, etc. It's a pipe-dream right now, though, because everyone seems to still be focusing on "consumer-focused app stores".

Prediction: Apple will probably quietly introduce SMB-focused changes in the next year to make it stupidly simple to create custom apps and distribute to iOS devices outside of the App Store, then everyone else will spend 3 years chasing that angle. :/

Re: I Told You RIM Was in Trouble

#28
If there is any reason to assume RIM not to be doomed is this. If they manage to leech off a competing ecosystem, they inherit its advantages immediately. Assuming Google won't go Microsoft on them (as in Microsoft sabotaging Digital Research), I see nothing bad coming.

The Android stack, kernel excepted, is Apache-licensed (thanks, davidw). To graft Bionic (or any glibc workalike) on top of QNX should be a walk in the park in comparison to build a full competitive stack.

Re: I Told You RIM Was in Trouble

#29
Had the opportunity to play with the Playbook at Enterprise Connect a few week ago. The only advantage the RIM guy could recite was that "it does flash". He let me play with the tablet and it was very warm (almost hot) to the touch on the back of the tablet. The buttons on the top felt cheap and like they could break at any moment. When I told him it was good to see it's not vaporware, but then mentioned my observations, he simply reminded me "yeah, but it does flash". I wonder if these design issues are why it hasn't hit the market yet?
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