I'd cast just as much doubt on stats showing low cases/1000 in small cities and towns and subsequent predictions that small towns won't be affected.

I don't think we have enough data in those places to know the patterns either way, especially since the situation is changed daily. The dynamics of this disease aren't well understood enough. Earlier it was thought that the heat of the southern hemisphere was protecting it, but now Latin America is seeing a large rise in cases.

EDIT: removed my comment about low sample size and high variance, since the case rate is just a about cases/100 people, not based on a sampling procedure.