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Every tech downturn has a silver lining

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21–30 of 66 posts

Re: Every tech downturn has a silver lining

#21
post #17

> My bet is always-on broadband. Virtual worlds, digital entertainment, gaming …. None of it would be possible without broadband. Today, we have about 100-250 Mbps in most modern homes. In some places, you can get a gigabit per second. Now imagine what we could do if, in ten years, we all have 10 gigabits per second in our homes, and we have in-home networks that are fast and fat. Hmm. Kind of an interesting take. I…

I'd settle for IP-based video conferencing that actually works, 100% of the time. As far as I can tell the major issues with that now are more from WiFi - Bufferbloat is particularly bad there and interference causes small dropouts (run a ping to a local router in the background for a while, and you'll probably see jitter eventually).

It's pretty noticeable here in New Zealand where most people are now on fiber connections with easily enough bandwidth and low latency - but video calling is still way harder than it should be.

Re: Every tech downturn has a silver lining

#22

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think, for the sake of this article, you could consider Slack a household name. It doesn't mean everyone has heard of it, it just means "well-known". It's a publicly traded company, and I'd say the average person (especially in America) likely knows what it is. I guess I don't really watch many movies that delve into 21st-century office communication, but I imagine if I did their chat app would be modeled after Sla…

I think the average white collar worker at a company with a trendy software stack knows what slack is, but that’s like 5% of the population. The average American definitely does not know what Slack is.

I think more of the population might know what Church of the Subgenius Slack is than Slack the application.

Re: Every tech downturn has a silver lining

#23
post #17

> My bet is always-on broadband. Virtual worlds, digital entertainment, gaming …. None of it would be possible without broadband. Today, we have about 100-250 Mbps in most modern homes. In some places, you can get a gigabit per second. Now imagine what we could do if, in ten years, we all have 10 gigabits per second in our homes, and we have in-home networks that are fast and fat. Hmm. Kind of an interesting take. I…

I was pretty happy with my 5mbps DSL in 98. Cable was significantly faster then too. To say nothing of the resnet. Calling that the dialup era isn’t exactly wrong, but early adopters were well past dialing into aol, compuserve, or prodigy by then.

Re: Every tech downturn has a silver lining

#24
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Would be better worded as "Slack, co-founded by Stewart Butterfield, might be a household name today, but in 2001[...]"

Slack is certainly more well known than its founder, but neither are household names unless you live in silicon valley. As an example, have you ever watched a movie where someone uses slack? I haven't. Have you ever seen a movie where someone uses google (or some rebranded website that's obviously a google stand-in)? Of course you have. That's what a household name is. Edit: also if it was rephrased that way the rest…

All this tells us is that no executive producer has a significant stake in slack.

Re: Every tech downturn has a silver lining

#25
post #19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think, for the sake of this article, you could consider Slack a household name. It doesn't mean everyone has heard of it, it just means "well-known". It's a publicly traded company, and I'd say the average person (especially in America) likely knows what it is. I guess I don't really watch many movies that delve into 21st-century office communication, but I imagine if I did their chat app would be modeled after Sla…

The average person definitely doesn't know. I've met wealthy people in their 20s in LA who don't know who Elon Musk is. Attention is hyper fractionalized. People know who Jeff Bezos is, people don't know Tim Cook.

No one around me knows who Bezos is, but everyone knows Musk - the guy with the Teslas and rockets is kinda hard to forget, but Amazon doesn't even have a localized website here...

Re: Every tech downturn has a silver lining

#26
post #17

> My bet is always-on broadband. Virtual worlds, digital entertainment, gaming …. None of it would be possible without broadband. Today, we have about 100-250 Mbps in most modern homes. In some places, you can get a gigabit per second. Now imagine what we could do if, in ten years, we all have 10 gigabits per second in our homes, and we have in-home networks that are fast and fat. Hmm. Kind of an interesting take. I…

I'd settle for IP-based video conferencing that actually works, 100% of the time. As far as I can tell the major issues with that now are more from WiFi - Bufferbloat is particularly bad there and interference causes small dropouts (run a ping to a local router in the background for a while, and you'll probably see jitter eventually). It's pretty noticeable here in New Zealand where most people are now on fiber conne…

Are you talking about video chat within NZ or with rest of world? I imagine there's a fixed amount of latency with calling anyone in NZ due to speed of light...

Re: Every tech downturn has a silver lining

#27
post #17

> My bet is always-on broadband. Virtual worlds, digital entertainment, gaming …. None of it would be possible without broadband. Today, we have about 100-250 Mbps in most modern homes. In some places, you can get a gigabit per second. Now imagine what we could do if, in ten years, we all have 10 gigabits per second in our homes, and we have in-home networks that are fast and fat. Hmm. Kind of an interesting take. I…

Streaming Games? Streaming VR and AR content? Lower latencies will allow more seamless video conferences. Right now our interface planes are still very 2D, which still has a steep learning curve compared to our 3D world.

Re: Every tech downturn has a silver lining

#28

After scrolling about 200vh or so for no good reason. >I remember feeling under a pall of gloom, going about with a dark cloud over my soul and tears in my eyes. A little bit melodramatic, but okay. >The disparity between America’s haves and have-nots has been laid bare. The inefficiency of our legislators has made us the laughing stock of the planet (so much so that an opinion writer at the Irish Times even felt pit…

[deleted]

Re: Every tech downturn has a silver lining

#29
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Slack is certainly more well known than its founder, but neither are household names unless you live in silicon valley. As an example, have you ever watched a movie where someone uses slack? I haven't. Have you ever seen a movie where someone uses google (or some rebranded website that's obviously a google stand-in)? Of course you have. That's what a household name is. Edit: also if it was rephrased that way the rest…

I think, for the sake of this article, you could consider Slack a household name. It doesn't mean everyone has heard of it, it just means "well-known". It's a publicly traded company, and I'd say the average person (especially in America) likely knows what it is. I guess I don't really watch many movies that delve into 21st-century office communication, but I imagine if I did their chat app would be modeled after Sla…

Lol, the average person most definitely doesn’t know Slack - that’s pretty funny that you’d even think that. That’s like saying the average person knows C++ or react.js or Tensorflow. Slack ain’t no Excel...

Re: Every tech downturn has a silver lining

#30
post #17

> My bet is always-on broadband. Virtual worlds, digital entertainment, gaming …. None of it would be possible without broadband. Today, we have about 100-250 Mbps in most modern homes. In some places, you can get a gigabit per second. Now imagine what we could do if, in ten years, we all have 10 gigabits per second in our homes, and we have in-home networks that are fast and fat. Hmm. Kind of an interesting take. I…

In 2005, 10 Mbps was already the norm, and in 2010, we had 100 Mbps up and down.
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