Earlier quoted context omitted.
It is 20s, but not a new decade :) See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decade
You all are correct but no one cares. Numbers ending with 0 is what gets attention. Going back to the year 1 doesn't add much anyway since we are pretty sure that the count of years since the birth of Jesus (whoever he was historically) is off.
Predictions for 2020–2029
21–30 of 35 posts
Re: Predictions for 2020–2029
#22I predict the vast majority of people will never again understand that new decades, centuries, and millenia begin on January 1st of years ending in '1' and not '0' because there never was a Year 0. Everyone knew that 50 years ago, which is why Kubrick didn't call it '2000: A Space Odyssey.'
Well, not according to ISO: https://twitter.com/11rcombs/status/1212360118982995969
Re: Predictions for 2020–2029
#23> People are scared and want their leaders to protect their jobs from foreign competition. It's not 'competition' that people are afraid of, it is unfair government intervention and tariffs. The idea with Trump's trade wars is that if a country imposes tariff's on US goods, the US will respond in kind until those tariff's are removed and fair competition is restored. Whether or not this is actually happening in pract…
> It's not 'competition' that people are afraid of, it is unfair government intervention and tariffs.
People aren't afraid of that either, they are afraid of the rise in cost of living compared to the tepid rise of their wages.
Re: Predictions for 2020–2029
#24Earlier quoted context omitted.
The difference in great power wars since WW2 is we now have nuclear weapons (yes apart from the bombing of Japan). As long as we fight proxy wars (Vietnam, Syria) then we haven't used them, but I can't see a war between for example the US and China over Taiwan or European states and Russia not devolving into nuclear war very quickly.
How long can nuclear weapons be kept without being used? We are as close as ever to nuclear war according to the doomsday clock, just two minutes to midnight.
The former is controlled by commissioned officers. They will not appoint you in charge of anything nuclear if they have a 1% suspicion that you are unstable.
The later is (rightfully) hand-wringing by science people.
Re: Predictions for 2020–2029
#25What benefits does a distributed ledger such as blockchain provide enterprise scale users?
in private consortiums, instead of having data locked up in silos across organisations, everyone can have a copy of the data and build their own view on top of it.
you don't have to trust any party as to the authenticity of the data as you can see every change that has been made.
I wrote about the supply chain use case here https://medium.com/twohands/lobsters-on-the-blockchain-df599...
and how I approach looking at distributed ledger tech here https://medium.com/@ben_longstaff/my-framework-for-how-to-lo...
:)
Re: Predictions for 2020–2029
#26Interesting. It is fun to look at this and imagine exciting future. Random things I remember predicted about 2020:
+ Moon & Mars colonization
+ Touch-screen TVs
+ consumer computing moves to Google Glass
+ VR
+ Universal currency (BitCoin et al.)
+ Flying Cars
+ Cars that can run on Land & Water
+ Household Garbage to electricity converter
+ Everything runs on Solar power
+ Doomsday
+ AGI
+ Self driving cars
+ Holographic displays(like in movies)
+ No. 5 from the article
+ Biomed breakthroughs (aka Theranos)
These are from various sources I have read. Interestingly, most rely heavily on trending topics/techs of the time predictions were being made without accounting for how tech & field suddenly changes, such as Theranos and blockchain. :)
[edit: fixing list formatting ]
Re: Predictions for 2020–2029
#27The section on Nationalism indicates to me that we're heading towards a period of major, great-power conflict. I could see it being a lot of smaller, officially unrelated wars or one big one. Since WW2 we have enjoyed the longest ever period without direct conflict between great powers. How much longer can we expect this to last?
He's really far off about the EU. The EU will fix its problems and join into the geopolitical theatre as a unified block. No one wants to follow the UK.
Re: Predictions for 2020–2029
#28What benefits does a distributed ledger such as blockchain provide enterprise scale users?
in private consortiums, instead of having data locked up in silos across organisations, everyone can have a copy of the data and build their own view on top of it. you don't have to trust any party as to the authenticity of the data as you can see every change that has been made. I wrote about the supply chain use case here https://medium.com/twohands/lobsters-on-the-blockchain-df599... and how I approach looking at…
These problems are already solved with audit logs and apis. Especially at enterprise level.
Re: Predictions for 2020–2029
#29Under the section on “reimagining search”: > We live in a state of anxiety without a path to financial independence. The path to creating wealth from last century no longer applies. The path to reimagining search begins with helping people to understand their money. The first step starts with delivering insights into the stories that data can tell. Not sure what financial independence has to do with search results? I…
You are right that section could be much clearer. Long term transaction data and browsing history could be used to train a federated learning algorithm to generate search results. Getting access to that data to understand what stories it can tell is difficult ask without offering a lot of value in return. In the short term I believe providing insights into a persons finances is the way to provide that value. E.g. if…
You know in my futuristic hallucinations i always come up with this search solution that truly knows you (in an abstract way) from your day to day electronics interactions, that could bring you the exact result of your searches, much like when you know your data and your are writing sql joins to bring you exactly what what you want. I hope someone build that someday.
Re: Predictions for 2020–2029
#30Seriously, when will the frivolous soothsaying on every decade predictions ever stop? As soon as I saw (2) and (3) and below I had to stop reading. They are the same speculative lunatics that attempted to predict the price of Bitcoin to rise beyond $20k. After looking at these latest predictions, I just drew a big sigh.
I'm sorry but even my machine learning crystal ball forecasting an incoming tech crash in this decade is more accurate than the majority of these nonsensical 'predictions'.