Basically a summary: 1. Focuses mostly on Nashville 1. Cities that have a young urban population with job creation that isn't tied to old industries are thriving. 2. Nashville has no State Income tax, and most cities and states that have no State Income tax are doing well as remote work takes over and tech workers relocate to take advantage. 3. Mention building a convention center for $600MM but no real numbers on wh…
As U.S. 'superstar' cities thrive, weaker ones get left behind
21–30 of 69 posts
Re: As U.S. 'superstar' cities thrive, weaker ones get left behind
#22So if I understand the article correctly the cities that succeeded were the ones that allowed for new industries and businesses to flourish whereas the ones lagging are ones that were built on traditional manufacturing industries that have since dried up in the face of foreign competition and automation. Am I missing something? That seems pretty obvious to me that the industries that wouldn't recover jobs from a rece…
Re: As U.S. 'superstar' cities thrive, weaker ones get left behind
#23Don't forget cities that have influxes of young population so have increasing tax receipts but much lower legacy costs (retirees, infrastructure maintenance, stable growth rate education costs per capita). Most of those cities will mismanage the growth and 20-40 years from now you'll be reading about Nashville and how it was gutted when the software jobs dried up. These come in cycles and cities that have some sort o…
Re: As U.S. 'superstar' cities thrive, weaker ones get left behind
#24Don't forget cities that have influxes of young population so have increasing tax receipts but much lower legacy costs (retirees, infrastructure maintenance, stable growth rate education costs per capita). Most of those cities will mismanage the growth and 20-40 years from now you'll be reading about Nashville and how it was gutted when the software jobs dried up. These come in cycles and cities that have some sort o…
This is a bad take. You're assuming that incoming folks won't change the politics of funding decisions of the city. In most cases, they do change them, and change cities for the better.
Re: As U.S. 'superstar' cities thrive, weaker ones get left behind
#25I don't see anything special to US in that phenomenon. I'd even say that US is notably better than most of the world in keeping its 2nd tier cities alive economically. Most of Asia had that problem for decades, where only 1st tier cities had market for jobs above the "better than nothing" level. It is either USA becoming more like Asia here, after few decades lag, or it is American second tier cities actually sliding…
The analysis is.
Re: As U.S. 'superstar' cities thrive, weaker ones get left behind
#26NYC and SF, both big tech hubs, both have income taxes.
Re: As U.S. 'superstar' cities thrive, weaker ones get left behind
#27In the industrial revolutions of the 19th and early 20th centuries, though, nation states usually adopted the new technologies en masse, with the whole nation sharing in the gains. So you had rising nations like Britain, America, Prussia, and Japan which could challenge declining empires like Austria-Hungary, Russia, China, and the Ottomans.
This technological revolution is different, because you have specific parts of nations that are adapting to the new technologies and thriving, while other parts get left behind and see the power they had wilt away. There's relatively little historical precedent for this; the only ones I can think of might be the decline of the Roman empire (where the Eastern Mediterranean remained up-to-date and civilized, while the Northern European hinterlands disintegrated and broke up) and the American Civil War (where the industrial North conquered the agrarian South). And this pattern isn't just U.S-based: China also has a dramatic disparity in wealth & power between coastal cities and the inland hinterland, as well as one between the high-tech South (centered around Shenzhen and the Pearl River Delta) and more politically powerful North (around Beijing).
I don't know exactly what it means, but I don't think it bodes well for either of the major global superpowers.
Re: As U.S. 'superstar' cities thrive, weaker ones get left behind
#28Don't forget cities that have influxes of young population so have increasing tax receipts but much lower legacy costs (retirees, infrastructure maintenance, stable growth rate education costs per capita). Most of those cities will mismanage the growth and 20-40 years from now you'll be reading about Nashville and how it was gutted when the software jobs dried up. These come in cycles and cities that have some sort o…
This is a bad take. You're assuming that incoming folks won't change the politics of funding decisions of the city. In most cases, they do change them, and change cities for the better.
Re: As U.S. 'superstar' cities thrive, weaker ones get left behind
#29Don't forget cities that have influxes of young population so have increasing tax receipts but much lower legacy costs (retirees, infrastructure maintenance, stable growth rate education costs per capita). Most of those cities will mismanage the growth and 20-40 years from now you'll be reading about Nashville and how it was gutted when the software jobs dried up. These come in cycles and cities that have some sort o…
Any particular analysis of this you're familiar with?
Re: As U.S. 'superstar' cities thrive, weaker ones get left behind
#30Don't forget cities that have influxes of young population so have increasing tax receipts but much lower legacy costs (retirees, infrastructure maintenance, stable growth rate education costs per capita). Most of those cities will mismanage the growth and 20-40 years from now you'll be reading about Nashville and how it was gutted when the software jobs dried up. These come in cycles and cities that have some sort o…
This is a bad take. You're assuming that incoming folks won't change the politics of funding decisions of the city. In most cases, they do change them, and change cities for the better.
People vote for things which are better for themselves and for social issues they identify with, but rarely for things which actually cost them something.