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TLDR Stock Options

tldroptions.io

21–30 of 213 posts

Re: TLDR Stock Options

#21
A QA engineer loads up a webpage and orders 0.1 percent of a company. Then 1%. Then back to 0.1%. Then clicks the down arrow -- ah, zero percent.

Then clicks the down arrow again. Negative numbers ensue.

True story, except I'm not usually a QA engineer.

Re: TLDR Stock Options

#23

Correct me if I'm wrong. But from what I tested you get $0 unless the IPO/sell is over $40M. No matter if Seed or Series C or how much of the company you own.

Yes, but the default is set to the employee getting 0.01% of a company that raised series A. That's a very pessimistic percentage. Think of it this way: the startup could hire 100 employees, each at 0.01%, and only give up 1% of its total equity. That's way too low.

Typical grants for post-series A employees (the 10 to 50 first employees) are at least 10X more than that. With that calculator, you get something (~ $20K) for a $40M exit. Not 0. Not amazing either.

Re: TLDR Stock Options

#24

Correct me if I'm wrong. But from what I tested you get $0 unless the IPO/sell is over $40M. No matter if Seed or Series C or how much of the company you own.

The "How We Guesstimate" answers this.

  (Exit Price 
And the site is assuming the company raised $41M in funding.

Re: TLDR Stock Options

#25

Correct me if I'm wrong. But from what I tested you get $0 unless the IPO/sell is over $40M. No matter if Seed or Series C or how much of the company you own.

that's because of liquidation preference. they assume the company has raised $41M

Re: TLDR Stock Options

#26

Correct me if I'm wrong. But from what I tested you get $0 unless the IPO/sell is over $40M. No matter if Seed or Series C or how much of the company you own.

That is correct! Rather than try to distinguish the Series A startups that exit during Series A from Series A startups that are going to raise more money before exiting successfully, I just assumed that every company raised the average amount that a successful startup raises. That average isn't stage-specific either.

This was one of the places where the model could be a lot more accurate, but at the cost of much more complicated math.

Re: TLDR Stock Options

#27

This is fantastically useful both as a side-of-the-barn estimator, and a teaching tool. Thanks! Two things a lot of startup employees are unaware of that are worth highlighting: they actually have to buy their options, which eats into returns, and that if they leave the company they have a limited window (30 days, typically) in which to do so. In would behoove them to save/plan for this fact.

Thanks! I really appreciate the feedback.

The price of the options eating into returns is reflected in the number we present (we assume a consistent valuation growth by stage and at exit), but taxes aren't and those can 40%+ in the US, which people don't necessarily expect. Limited exercise windows are one of the things we have in the list of ways this can go horribly wrong, but you are right that it is something that you can plan for if you know it's coming.

Thinking about it, that and early exercise might both be candidates for some sort of "list of questions to ask" tool...

Re: TLDR Stock Options

#28

This is fantastically useful both as a side-of-the-barn estimator, and a teaching tool. Thanks! Two things a lot of startup employees are unaware of that are worth highlighting: they actually have to buy their options, which eats into returns, and that if they leave the company they have a limited window (30 days, typically) in which to do so. In would behoove them to save/plan for this fact.

This is especially true in this time where even successful companies drag their feet when it comes to IPO. If you don't think you can't afford to buy the options and pay the taxes (yes, there's taxes when exercising illiquid options), then you have to discount the chances of still being with the company at the time of a liquidity event.

This means you can find yourself valuing stock options very little, even in cases where you have full faith in the company making it and being very profitable. A growing company is very different year to year. What are the chances that you'll love the same company in 6 years?

My personal calculation is that I have a 50% chance of leaving a job every year, so if I am guessing that it'll take 6 years to IPO, and I don't think I can just keep large amounts of money frozen in options, I have to discount the value of said options over 95% on top of the traditional calculations. RSUs from he big four don't have that problem.

Re: TLDR Stock Options

#29
post #3

Our goal with building this was not to be comprehensive, but to give founders and employees a way to have a more productive conversation about options and what they are worth. Too many startup employees I meet don't properly value the options they have, and too many potential hires don't negotiate for the right things, and wind up disappointed. We hope this will take a small step towards correcting this problem.

Neat tool, I was able to put more than 100% ownership into a Company though and I don't think that should be possible.

It's also possible to put in negative numbers :D
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