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https://sociological-eye.blogspot.com/2016/11/does-charisma-...
Overall, 6 of 29 modern elections were won by strongly charismatic leaders (Teddy Roosevelt, FDR, JFK); another 4 elections were won by well-liked but uncharismatic figures, Eisenhower and Reagan. About 80% of the time, an uncharismatic person wins the presidency.
(I'm Canadian, and our immigration server is now down due to the load).
As someone aptly put it on twitter (Nate Cohn), the "white working class" is voting like a minority block--and why would they not? The elites have ignored the working class (white and black) for ages and when they do think of them, white (and other) elites look down at them with the contempt of 'white privilege' while they, the elite whites, sit comfortably in their protected perches rarely exposing themselves to ins…
You cannot take a person's vote for you for granted. Last week a life long anticommunist in my country voted for the communist candidate - he just said "fuck it, I want to see the face of the ruling party hit the pavement".
And a lot of whites obviously got fed up with being used as an intellectual punching pag
Hilary Clinton has and is highly unlikeable and her narrative is similar. The DNC chose her over Sanders... would the results be different?
Both the super fiscally conservative and the more... unpleasant parts of Trump's voting block would never vote for someone as liberal as Sanders. I have a hard time believing anyone that would have voted for him would vote Trump, now if you think it would've swayed enough people who voted 3rd party to vote Sanders instead you might have something.
As someone aptly put it on twitter (Nate Cohn), the "white working class" is voting like a minority block--and why would they not? The elites have ignored the working class (white and black) for ages and when they do think of them, white (and other) elites look down at them with the contempt of 'white privilege' while they, the elite whites, sit comfortably in their protected perches rarely exposing themselves to ins…
It is not only the white working class - she captures Latinos and Blacks with a lot lower margins than Obama. You cannot take a person's vote for you for granted. Last week a life long anticommunist in my country voted for the communist candidate - he just said "fuck it, I want to see the face of the ruling party hit the pavement". And a lot of whites obviously got fed up with being used as an intellectual punching p…
Hilary Clinton has and is highly unlikeable and her narrative is similar. The DNC chose her over Sanders... would the results be different?
Yes. All the data at the time said:
* Hillary will beat Trump narrowly (she's losing as I write).
* Bernie would beat Trump in a landslide (I think Bernie would defeat Trump at all).
Socialism or barbarism.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
The fact the so many progressive's response is to want to "punch the dude in the mouth" is exactly the kind of oppresive political correctness Trump voters are rebelling against. These scenes probably garnered even more support for Trump's rallies: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EMux_UHmpvc
Not exactly political correctness but it is contempt. I think the contempt for Trump and his supporters by the other side explains a lot of both the result and the incorrect predictions in advance of the election. A lot of the country literally could not imagine a Trump win.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
It is not only the white working class - she captures Latinos and Blacks with a lot lower margins than Obama. You cannot take a person's vote for you for granted. Last week a life long anticommunist in my country voted for the communist candidate - he just said "fuck it, I want to see the face of the ruling party hit the pavement". And a lot of whites obviously got fed up with being used as an intellectual punching p…
Well, She's not going to get the same energy from black voters as Obama --Obama was once in a lifetime unifying and exciting effect on the black electorate. As for the Hispanic vote, not sure what happened there --except there are more than one kind of person of latam descent wealthy, middle-class, Cuban, Mexican, undereducated, Americanized, some who still feel more Latin American than American, etc.
As someone aptly put it on twitter (Nate Cohn), the "white working class" is voting like a minority block--and why would they not? The elites have ignored the working class (white and black) for ages and when they do think of them, white (and other) elites look down at them with the contempt of 'white privilege' while they, the elite whites, sit comfortably in their protected perches rarely exposing themselves to ins…
It is not only the white working class - she captures Latinos and Blacks with a lot lower margins than Obama. You cannot take a person's vote for you for granted. Last week a life long anticommunist in my country voted for the communist candidate - he just said "fuck it, I want to see the face of the ruling party hit the pavement". And a lot of whites obviously got fed up with being used as an intellectual punching p…
It surely helps and Trump exploited every opportunity, spared no effort to make sure he wins but charisma is generally not the path to the White House https://sociological-eye.blogspot.com/2016/11/does-charisma-... Overall, 6 of 29 modern elections were won by strongly charismatic leaders (Teddy Roosevelt, FDR, JFK); another 4 elections were won by well-liked but uncharismatic figures, Eisenhower and Reagan. About 80…
Importantly Trump (likely) lost the popular vote by a large margin. But he focused on the few areas that actually count. Remember the extra 250 thousand Hillary voters in DC count for 3, the significantly smaller margin in Florida, and PA count for 49.