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Police use-of-force data is finally coming to light

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Re: Police use-of-force data is finally coming to light

#21
post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

When blacks are harassed, detained, arrested, and sentenced more frequently then whites, despite committing crime at a similar rate, why does it matter whether the cause is the colour of their skin, or their economic standing? Are you blaming this problem on black culture? Have you ever actually asked any black people (Lower, middle, or upper-class) about how their interactions with police go?

I disagree that it's a similar crime distribution per capita, on the whole. Of course, many of those "racial" or "cultural" differences disappear once you control for other factors, mostly economic. That being said, we still need to control for if we're using "black" as a proxy for "poor" before we call the police racist, for example. (That would be classist, not racist, policing.) > Are you blaming this problem on b…

There are ways in which I am sympathetic to some of your points. I am white and have had people of color be assholes to me merely because I am white while claiming there is no such thing as "reverse racism" (and there is not -- a black person hating a white person merely because of their color is straight up racism), but a couple of things: A) no matter how well off they are, blacks have to put up with shit whites typically don't deal with and b) part of the reason blacks are so poor in the U.S. is because of hundreds of years of historical legacy, so it's kind of a huge fuck you to act like "well, it JUST the POOR blacks" or something.

There's HUGE correlations between those stories and a) economic status (usually as conveyed by dress) and b) culture (usually as conveyed by language choice).

This interesting piece was written by a well educated black lawyer living in a upscale neighborhood about being harassed by cops because his car broke down, so he walked home and a black man walking in his upper class neighborhood was reason enough to harass him:

http://jay.law.ou.edu/faculty/Jmaute/Lawyering_21st_Century/...

Re: Police use-of-force data is finally coming to light

#22
post #14

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Just for clarification, blacks being shot by police at a rate of 2.5 times that of whites per capita is only evidence of racism if the shootings are random across the entire population. If the shootings are correlated to, say, the demographics of murderers (which is probably more representative than the population at large), it might actually be evidence of racism against whites -- the number of murders committed per…

According to the Mapping Police Violence site, fewer than 1/3 of the black suspects shot were suspected of a violent crime or armed. Randomly shooting people who match crime demographics seems a poor strategy. http://mappingpoliceviolence.org/

Sure, it's a bad strategy, and we definitely should do something about the police violence.

But being biased towards violence when criminals match the demographics of violent criminals who previously have attacked you or your friends is an understandable human response, and not particularly racist.

My point is this: police are likely just violent douchebags who are actually trying to be a little anti-racist; they're violent psychopaths who escalate to fatal violence when someone who even vaguely matches a previous attacker resists their orders at all, but they actually respond that way slightly less to black people than the raw statistics of who murders who suggests they would, showing a sensitivity and attempt to tune that response.

Of course, this isn't an actual study or theory. It's merely pointing out that the narrative around the data was shaped before any real analysis of the data was performed (and by a group with a horse in the race), and there's perfectly coherent stories that aren't racist. I find it a little strange how quickly the orthodox view around the issue formed, and a little disturbing how viciously it's defended, even against moderate versions of the same view.

I don't think anyone is disputing that US police are unnecessarily violent, though.

Re: Police use-of-force data is finally coming to light

#23

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Just for clarification, blacks being shot by police at a rate of 2.5 times that of whites per capita is only evidence of racism if the shootings are random across the entire population. If the shootings are correlated to, say, the demographics of murderers (which is probably more representative than the population at large), it might actually be evidence of racism against whites -- the number of murders committed per…

I think that a lot of people, such as yourself, are being very dishonest when analyzing the police data because they're analyzing it against total population numbers while ignoring the correlations to crime demographics. Such as the Guardian numbers you cited. I think applying statistics to societal issues is a right pain in the ass to get right, and even more of a pain to explain concisely without accidentally becom…

You're correct that it's not dishonest to get something wrong, and I regret targeting my comment as directly as I did.

However, I think places like the Guardian are being dishonest: they're telling stories with those numbers that the numbers don't really justify, and presenting those figures as if they're meaningful and carry some sort of utility, rather than just being random mishmash numbers that were easy to cook up.

Re: Police use-of-force data is finally coming to light

#24
post #4

Prior to Ferguson, nobody was collecting data on police shootings across the US. Now the press and some nonprofits collect it. The Washington Post has a database.[1] The Guardian has another one.[2] There's a site, "fatalencounters.org", trying to crowdsource this.[3] [1] https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/national/police-shoo... [2] https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2015/jun/... [3] http://www.…

> Prior to Ferguson, nobody was collecting data on police shootings across the US. Now the press and some nonprofits collect it.

---

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/an-ex-cop-keeps-the-coun...

> When Talking Points Memo, The Wall Street Journal and The Washington Post needed data on how often police officers are charged with on-duty killings, they all turned to the same guy: Bowling Green State University criminologist Philip M. Stinson.

> Stinson, 50, has become an indispensable source for researchers and reporters looking into alleged crimes and acts of violence by police officers because he has built a database tracking thousands of incidents in which officers were arrested since 2005. His data has shown that even the few police officers who are arrested for drunken driving are rarely convicted and that arrests spike for cops who have been on the force 18 years or longer, contrary to prior research showing it was mostly new officers who were acting out.

> The whole data-collecting operation is powered by 48 Google Alerts that Stinson set up in 2005, along with individual Google Alerts for each of nearly 6,000 arrests of officers. He has set up 10 Gmail addresses to collect all the alert emails, which feed articles into a database that also contains court records and videos.

---

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ferguson_unrest

> The Ferguson unrest (also referred to just as Ferguson) involves protests and riots that began the day after the fatal shooting of Michael Brown by white police officer Darren Wilson on August 9, 2014

Re: Police use-of-force data is finally coming to light

#25
post #9

An honest question: what's up with the use of the word "murder"? I'm not asking that to start a fight over whether these shootings were justified. I'm asking because that word has a specific criminal definition, and news organizations typically have very strict policies on implying criminal guilt (witness the pre-conviction use of "alleged X" even in the most obvious of cases). As I understand it, most of the names d…

Well, TC is probably trying to carve itself out as an "edgy" news source" with edgy reporters, so they can play loosey goosey with language. And it's a shame because there definitely is an issue with police aggressiveness and violence and espousing a shoot first ask questions later philosophy for policing. On the other hand, we have too many people with guns who should not own guns. I'm ambivalent about the second am…

Your argument in paragraph 2: the police are too violent and "shoot first and ask questions later".

Your argument in paragraph 3: only the police should have guns.

Umm ...?

Re: Police use-of-force data is finally coming to light

#26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Just for clarification, blacks being shot by police at a rate of 2.5 times that of whites per capita is only evidence of racism if the shootings are random across the entire population. If the shootings are correlated to, say, the demographics of murderers (which is probably more representative than the population at large), it might actually be evidence of racism against whites -- the number of murders committed per…

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/campaign-zero-debunks-po... >Among this larger statistical breakdown of police violence, Campaign Zero also discovered that there is no direct correlation between police violence and violence that occurs within a given community.

Just reading their report quickly, it doesn't look like they're controlling for a lot of things, and are measuring non-target cultural factors which skew their correlation. (Of course, they don't even mention their methods, because it likely would be such an obvious source of criticism with their conclusion.[1])

Which isn't to say I'm right either, and certainly raises a bigger question about it, but back to my point: we just can't tell, because there is a lack of detail in their analysis.

[1] http://mappingpoliceviolence.org/2015/

Re: Police use-of-force data is finally coming to light

#27
post #25
post #9

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Well, TC is probably trying to carve itself out as an "edgy" news source" with edgy reporters, so they can play loosey goosey with language. And it's a shame because there definitely is an issue with police aggressiveness and violence and espousing a shoot first ask questions later philosophy for policing. On the other hand, we have too many people with guns who should not own guns. I'm ambivalent about the second am…

Your argument in paragraph 2: the police are too violent and "shoot first and ask questions later". Your argument in paragraph 3: only the police should have guns. Umm ...?

No, only people who pass extensive psychological evaluations.

Besides, is there excessive police violence on JP or UK?

Re: Police use-of-force data is finally coming to light

#28

An honest question: what's up with the use of the word "murder"? I'm not asking that to start a fight over whether these shootings were justified. I'm asking because that word has a specific criminal definition, and news organizations typically have very strict policies on implying criminal guilt (witness the pre-conviction use of "alleged X" even in the most obvious of cases). As I understand it, most of the names d…

You could look on it as lexicographical civil disobedience.

If it's impossible to get justice because the killer was wearing uniform what's the value in the judgements of justice system? If so many cases of behaviour that would lead to a conviction, don't, that conviction loses starts to lose some of its meaning. If an officer is so rarely convicted for murder, at what point does it remain meaningful to use the word 'murder' to mean a legal conviction where a police officer is concerned?

Or do we look at the stats and say that police are incapable of committing murder. "There is no murder in paradise" as Stalin is reputed to have said.

(I'm slightly playing devil's advocate here but there is a massive problem)

Re: Police use-of-force data is finally coming to light

#29

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Thank you kindly for directly demonstrating my point . You are exactly the target audience for the data the article is talking about. In most other aspects of daily life, people are willing and able to make judgements from circumstantial evidence without rigorous quantitative work- you don't demand a formal Bayesian analysis of the day's weather before you decide to take an umbrella with you. But in issues like this,…

> people are willing and able to make judgements from circumstantial evidence without rigorous quantitative work- you don't demand a formal Bayesian analysis of the day's weather before you decide to take an umbrella with you But I do do a Bayesian analysis rather than a naive one: it's cloudy without raining here too often to carry an umbrella just because it's cloudy. That would be a maladaptive response, even if n…

And I'm arguing that, in any other issue, you would think "controlling for background statistics" in a formal sense is unnecessary. I'm not telling you not to think, quite the opposite. Think of this:

In a country with a long history of terrible racial oppression and documented contemporary racist sentiment, a large body of people are convinced by their lived experiences [1] that police violence is racially biased, and this conviction is further supported by a massive number of known individual cases. Among the huge space of possible injustices that could be claimed, this one particular form has received tremendous attention and accumulated consistent material evidence across the entire nation.

We as yet lack the huge amounts of data to settle the issue in a way that would satisfy a physicist. But if you think about the issue with an open mind, you're still going to feel pretty damn confident about what's actually going on.

[1] Taking this as distinct from the large body of people who are convinced at a safe distance via their TVs.

Re: Police use-of-force data is finally coming to light

#30
post #21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I disagree that it's a similar crime distribution per capita, on the whole. Of course, many of those "racial" or "cultural" differences disappear once you control for other factors, mostly economic. That being said, we still need to control for if we're using "black" as a proxy for "poor" before we call the police racist, for example. (That would be classist, not racist, policing.) > Are you blaming this problem on b…

There are ways in which I am sympathetic to some of your points. I am white and have had people of color be assholes to me merely because I am white while claiming there is no such thing as "reverse racism" (and there is not -- a black person hating a white person merely because of their color is straight up racism ), but a couple of things: A) no matter how well off they are, blacks have to put up with shit whites t…

My point with B was merely to say that if the issue is lingering economic after effects, rather than currently held racist attitudes, we should address the problem differently. The solution to a community being treated poorly because they're poor is different than a community being treated poorly because they're black.

I think of it like this: I don't want to be diagnosed sick, but if I'm sick, I want to be diagnosed. You can't treat what you can't accurately identify the cause of, in many cases.

I also think a lot of you are being uncharitable: I was involved with many of the civil rights issues before they came to mainstream awareness, and am merely frustrated with being spoken to about "facts" which are highly questionable, and usually detract from a deeper, underlying issue to draw attention to an easy-to-digest side issue.

That kind of sound-biting is insidious in that it is both a common human fault in thinking and a kind of control mechanism: it distracts us from deep, complex issues like the roles of social class and the police in the US -- which needs to be talked about, because it spans from violence to freedom and privacy to social control, and has reached dire straights -- and instead sidetracks us in the politics of race, at a time when race relations are the best they've been in hundreds of years and progressing in virtually every dimension we can measure.

As a black man once asked me, "Do you think it's coincidental we're talking about issues skin deep when we're both economic slaves?"

I don't think that there aren't race issues in the US, I don't think that there aren't issues with race and the police, but I do think that the modern movement about the two is a) likely going to go nowhere, because it's probably mostly not fresh racist attitudes and b) distracts from our deeper conversation about the role of police in the US, by making about racism, not police misconduct.

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