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Calling All Hackers: How money works (2024)

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Re: Calling All Hackers: How money works (2024)

#191
post #183

Earlier quoted context omitted.

He's talking about bonds, though. These can't generally be paid back early. The same goes for some other loans like mortgages which often come with an agreement that you won't pay it back within a number of years (unless you pay a fee). If you intend to pay back the interest normally then you could totally book it as a liability up front, it's the same thing at the end of the day. I mean, it is literally a liability.…

> mortgages which often come with an agreement that you won't pay it back within a number of years Not "often". Prepayment penalty mortgages can exist but I've never seen or talked to anyone who has seen one in practice. Some web searching suggests that only about 2% of home mortgages have prepayment penalty clauses.

> Some web searching suggests that only about 2% of home mortgages have prepayment penalty clauses.

It's clear (to me) that you're talking about the US specifically, but it might not be clear to everyone.

Residential mortgages are highly idiosyncratic to the country you're talking about. Try getting a 30 year fixed rate mortgage in the UK.

Re: Calling All Hackers: How money works (2024)

#192
post #182

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Balance sheets and accounting are made up. You know in maths how you could do calculations on two different ways and arrive at the same result? That's what the author is doing. "Proper accounting" is how you do it, but you could actually just think of it this way. It makes no difference to the end result.

Epicycles in a geocentric model of the solar system is another way of looking at planetary motion. It breaks down due to the required addition of complexity to explain discrepancies between the model and truth, which is the same for this particular situation. In addition to what the CPA said, how does this model work with callable, putable, or floating rate bonds where the interest payment is not known up front?

I understand there's a reason why accountants do things the way they do. But hacking is about looking at things differently. To use your analogy, one can definitely gain insight into planetary motion from a geocentric model even if it's not the best model for all purposes.

Re: Calling All Hackers: How money works (2024)

#193
I'm an ant. I want to tell you how the chemical trails work. Here is how the pheromones work....

Except. The main point of chemical trails, money or other implementations of the messaging bus of a complex adaptive system is THE COMMUNITY it creates. Think the Sapir-Whorf hypothesis, but instead of language determines what you think, expand that to "your messaging bus language determines how your community functions". Yeah there is lots of stuff about money, but how it determines the form and function of the community (as in CAS) is the important part.

The other primary thing to think about money - once you get that it is a messaging bus - is the idea of making money from money. When you understand the function of the system you can then understand that making money from money is not a good idea. This is not a new idea. The concept of throwing the money lenders out of the temple has been around for a long time.

If you understand money, then you will be able to answer this question:

why is making money from money a bad (dysfunctional) idea?

Re: Calling All Hackers: How money works (2024)

#194

[flagged]

He's talking about bonds, though. These can't generally be paid back early. The same goes for some other loans like mortgages which often come with an agreement that you won't pay it back within a number of years (unless you pay a fee). If you intend to pay back the interest normally then you could totally book it as a liability up front, it's the same thing at the end of the day. I mean, it is literally a liability.…

CPA here again, You're poking and some very interesting concepts! There is a lot to explore. Some thoughts:

- Yes money is in many ways best thought of as an abstraction. A socially agreed upon store of value that is easily exchangeable for other things of value. There is a tension (and a spectrum) between commodities that have use value and money commodities that have exchange value. In nascent market economies, commodities with use value can emerge as money commodities through consensus, that is, they emerge as socially agreed upon exchange value commodities. Think cigarettes in prison or precious metals like gold. Money commodities emerge naturally once there is enough stable volume of market activity which ensures liquidity. It's all contingent on constant market activity to keep it liquid as well as a sustained social consensus that is represents a store of exchange value. This is a lot of what Marx's Das Capital explores.

- Things like vehicle depreciation are not just so the books "work" nor is the intent for it to perfectly represent how an asset depreciates. Consider a milk delivery business. I buy a delivery vehicle year 1 for $40,000 and I expect it to last me 10 years approximately. Let's say I earn $10,000 a year for the delivery business and I pay a driver $7,000 a year to deliver milk using my delivery vehicle. If i don't include depreciation of the delivery vehicle my net income is $3,000 annually or 30%. Pretty darn good! However, we know the vehicle asset was used in service of earning all that revenue, so we should include something to ensure all revenues are netted against all known expenses whether they are wages or capital assets deployed in service of earning said revenues. Otherwise we have an incomplete picture of the business performance in our annual income statement. If I include $4,000 of annual depreciation on the vehicle suddenly I am no longer profitable to the tune of $1,000 a year. This is the matching principle. Profitability needs to ensure all revenues netted against all expenses associated with earning those revenues regardless of cash flow timing.

- But your point stands... The specific amount of depreciation annually is made up mostly, maybe the asset depreciates slower or faster. But there is enormous value in a rule consistently applied. Let's say you're an expert in delivery trucks and you know that the asset will last 20 years not 10... You could purchase the business at a cheap valuation because on paper it loses money annually, but you know the depreciation should only really be 2,000 and therefore the business is actually profitable all other things being equal. You leverage a widely recognized and understood standard applied very consistently as being imperfect, and you use that as a stepping stone to back into what you believe is the true value. This is where things like EBITDA come from that start with GAAP measures and back into what are believed to be better representations of business value, but it hinges on widely understood accounting standards being applied very consistently to create financial information that can be modified for other uses.

Re: Calling All Hackers: How money works (2024)

#195
This is a critique of the VC ecosystem based on a dichotomy of "inflated" versus "fundamental" value, with a CTA to hackers to "do something about it."

Here's one that better suits the title:

"Pricing Money: A beginner's guide to money, bonds, futures and swaps" (866 points)

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36358754

Re: Calling All Hackers: How money works (2024)

#196
post #170

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Classical liberals are akin to communists in that when the practical application of their ideas fail, it's obviously because it was only a corrupted version that ended up being really put in practice. “It wasn't really Communism” and “It wasn't deregulated enough”.

No, no, not at all. Communists can say "oh, it wasn't real communism." Classical liberalism and neoliberalism can make much stronger claims: a bit more neoliberalism (stochastically) gives you a bit more prosperity in the long run. You don't need the whole thing 100% to reap partial benefits. I say stochastically, because in the real world there's a lot of noise from other factors, of course. And in this case at hand…

> a bit more neoliberalism (stochastically) gives you a bit more prosperity in the long run. You don't need the whole thing 100% to reap partial benefits.

Except in practice it always fail to materialize, neoliberalism has repeatedly been tried everywhere in the western world, resulting in decline instead of prosperity. And people blame the fact that not enough regulations were removed to justify why it failed. So exactly like Communists.

The reality is that the real world is too complex for simplistic ideologies to have positive effects. No matter what kind of ideology.

> And in this case at hand: Canada had much lighter and more sensible regulation in this sector, and they did better. As expected.

As if the only difference was regulations, and not the fact that Canada was at that point part of the British Empire

It's like the commies in the 30s saying that Communism was indeed better, as the USSR had by far the highest growth among industrial nations by then. Forgetting that this growth was mostly due to the fact that Tsarist Russia was lagging far behind before that, and that catching up is always going to cause higher growth.

Re: Calling All Hackers: How money works (2024)

#197

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Totally. Tech people don't have jargon that boils down to something simpler, nope. No "artificial intelligence" or "machine learning" or "back propagation" or "neural networks" or "big data" or "scaling up" or (one could continue for days....)

SQL seniors can understand anything in finance. Senior finance people would be baffled from chapter 1 of anything serious in CS. That’s the difference between general purpose programming and a math DSL.

This is laughable.

Re: Calling All Hackers: How money works (2024)

#198
post #110

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They don't create wealth out of nothing. They capture, and potentially create, wealth by offering financial services including lending. The differences between the positive interest paid to depositors and the loan interest, after covering risk and other costs, is the wealth they've captured/created for themselves. I don't think anyone is under the illusion that credit expansion itself creates wealth in the sense of m…

>They don't create wealth out of nothing. Banks loans may not create wealth. But they promise its creation to the society. The value of the money that they lend out comes from that promise. And the people who borrowed from the bank create wealth when they repay their loans. The responsibility of the bank is to track it and ensure that it is created. OR that the money lended out is not spent. Either one should happen…

> But they promise [the creation of wealth] to the society.

It feels like you're trying to describe the "social contract" between private banks and the rest of society, but putting the full responsibility of "wealth creation" only on one party in the contract: The bank.

The other party, Society, is given access to capital when they borrow. The rate they're charged should be competitive since there is presumably more than one lender. By borrowing money they try to "create wealth", then to repay the loan principal along with a bit of the new wealth in the form of interest.

Re: Calling All Hackers: How money works (2024)

#199
post #93
post #78

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is a common misconception, thinking that fractional reserve banking is the way in which banks lend. In actuality it's a limitation to how banks lend. Without fractional reserve rules the banks could lend their money infinitely. I like Richard Wagner's theories/research on the subject, as in he actually asked for a loan and went through the books of the bank to verify where the money came from, it came from nowhe…

> Without fractional reserve rules the banks could lend their money infinitely. What's that supposed to mean? > I like Richard Wagner's theories/research on the subject, as in he actually asked for a loan and went through the books of the bank to verify where the money came from, it came from nowhere, they just credited their account and that's it. That's a bit silly. Yes, when you get a loan and just let the money s…

>What's that supposed to mean?

The misconception is that if a bank has a capital X, the law gives them power to create loans up to 10X.

What I'm saying is that without the law, the bank could create loans without a constraint, so say 20X, 100X 1000X.

The fractional reserve policy is actually a limit, not the source of lending in excess of capital.

Loans are money creation, and this creation is organic, it doesn't need a charter from the government.

Another misconception is that this money creation is monetary emission or that it somehow causes inflation. It doesn't, because it is gross money creation, not net money creation.

Re: Calling All Hackers: How money works (2024)

#200
post #175

Earlier quoted context omitted.

True or false? « If you intend to hold a bond to maturity you could totally book all the future coupons and capital gains as an asset up front, it's the same thing at the end of the day. »

Not an accountant, but I think this is false If you intend to hold to maturity then you should accrue the bond coupons over time, that’s the modal case If part of your bond portfolio is available for sale, then you should use mark-to-market accounting, which prices in the present value of future coupons and the discount rate as well. IIRC this was one of the issues with the failure of SVB, they were forced to sell th…

Agreed. Note that the question was directed to someone who “would encourage people doing their own accounts to think of it like this”.
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