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U.S. bombs Iranian nuclear sites

bbc.co.uk

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Re: U.S. bombs Iranian nuclear sites

#191

Post by fallingknife »

TeeMassive wrote: post #179
markus_zhang wrote: post #69

OK what was done was done. What should we expect the political fallout in Iran?

The point of Iran of enriching U beyond civilian use but not actually going full military grade was leverage . They're the only Shiia super power in the reigion. Nobody likes them. So what can we expect: * a ground invasion is pretty much out of the question considering the geography or Iran and its neighboring countries. * Iran destroys every oil production and transport sites in the region (say good by to your elec…

They're not going to escalate. They're already getting their ass handed to them by Israel and the last thing they want is to throw down with their other enemies in the region right now. You are correct that there will be no ground invasion, so there is no existential threat to the government. This means they have no incentive to do something stupid that will make anyone change their mind on that invasion.

Re: U.S. bombs Iranian nuclear sites

#193

Post by ivape »

Waterluvian wrote: post #149

When I look at Russia invading Ukraine, and I see how Israel is behaving, and I listen to the American president talking about annexing my country, I can see why a country might believe it needs nuclear weapons. Whether this is good or bad is something people can discuss. But I think it’s fleetingly difficult for me to see any sort of righteous high ground these days.

I mean if Russia can just walk into Ukraine, why can't Israel terrorize Iran from the sky. Why can't China just waltz into Taiwan?

The thing about Trump's isolationism is that it's actually a passive aggressive position. Imagine you know which kids in your classroom are likely to fight and you take a policy of "I won't stop it if it happens", that's basically telling some of the kids "go ahead", so how is this isolationist?

Now, literally joining in on the fight when the kids pop off, that is uniquely Trumpian.

Re: U.S. bombs Iranian nuclear sites

#194

Post by dh2022 »

TeeMassive wrote: post #179
markus_zhang wrote: post #69

OK what was done was done. What should we expect the political fallout in Iran?

The point of Iran of enriching U beyond civilian use but not actually going full military grade was leverage . They're the only Shiia super power in the reigion. Nobody likes them. So what can we expect: * a ground invasion is pretty much out of the question considering the geography or Iran and its neighboring countries. * Iran destroys every oil production and transport sites in the region (say good by to your elec…

For me the last few days show how militarily-impotent Iran is. Even if they had the nuclear bomb they would not be able to use it against Israel-because right now Iran had no air-defenses and Israel is rumored to have about 100 nuclear warheads.

I do not think Iran has any military options. Because it is not liked the Iranian regime does not have any political options either. So I have no idea what will happen-which makes the current situation so interesting to watch.

Re: U.S. bombs Iranian nuclear sites

#195

Post by handfuloflight »

TeeMassive wrote: post #179
markus_zhang wrote: post #69

OK what was done was done. What should we expect the political fallout in Iran?

The point of Iran of enriching U beyond civilian use but not actually going full military grade was leverage . They're the only Shiia super power in the reigion. Nobody likes them. So what can we expect: * a ground invasion is pretty much out of the question considering the geography or Iran and its neighboring countries. * Iran destroys every oil production and transport sites in the region (say good by to your elec…

> Its support is already negative in nearly all countries and has dropped significantly in the US such as the evangelicals.

You mean they changed their mind and want to postpone the Armageddon now?

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