Earlier quoted context omitted.
That’s just one perspective… Another perspective is that LLMs enable programmers to skip a lot of the routine and boring aspects of coding - looking up stuff, essentially - so they can focus on the fun parts that engage creativity.
But it won't stop there. Why would it stop at some arbitrarily defined boundary? The savings associated with no longer having to pay programmers the amounts of money that they believe they are worth (high enough to result in collusion between employers) are just too tempting.
But it's definitely not just programmers. And it will take time.
Society needs to adjust. Stopping progress would not be a solution and is not possible.
However, hopefully we can pause before we create digital animals with hyperspeed reasoning and typical animal instincts like self-preservation. Researchers like LeCun are already moving on from things like LLMs and working on approaches that really imitate animal cognition (like humans) and will eventually blow all existing techniques out of the water.
The path that we are on seems to make humans obsolete within three generations or so.
So the long term concern is not jobs, but for humans to lose control of the planet in less than a century.
On the way there we might be able to manage a new golden age -- a crescendo for human civilization.