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Nvidia announces financial results for second quarter fiscal 2024

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191–200 of 444 posts

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for second quarter fiscal 2024

#191

What's also pretty interesting that they actually didn't sell more chips this quarter - they ... just pretty much doubled the prices (hence the huge margin). This is what having a monopoly looks like ! This is also why companies that manufacture their cards didn't report any uptick in profits. I'm wondering how this play out in some months ? Do they have any pricing power with respect to NVidia ? Or NVidia could just…

> This is what having a monopoly looks like ! As someone who has been in the AI/ML space for over a decade, and even had an AMD/Radeon card for more than half of that, I can't help but feel that this is partially AMD's own fault. For many, many years it seemed to me that AMD just didn't take AI/ML seriously whereas, for all it's faults, NVIDIA seemed to catch on very early that ML presented a tremendous potential mar…

What really strikes me is Nvidia's been working hard on doing practical work on their GPUs even just 10~15 years ago with PhysX, while both Intel and AMD just existed.

Nvidia's dominance today is the product of at least over a decade of work and investments to make better products. Today they are finally reaping their rewards.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for second quarter fiscal 2024

#193

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It’s basically a meme stock now. I don’t think anyone should be surprised by wide swings and irrational pricing going forward into the next few months.

I don't think the market leader for graphics cards -- a technically complex product compared to a bunch of brick stores selling video games -- is what you can consider a meme stock

[deleted]

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for second quarter fiscal 2024

#194

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> This is what having a monopoly looks like ! As someone who has been in the AI/ML space for over a decade, and even had an AMD/Radeon card for more than half of that, I can't help but feel that this is partially AMD's own fault. For many, many years it seemed to me that AMD just didn't take AI/ML seriously whereas, for all it's faults, NVIDIA seemed to catch on very early that ML presented a tremendous potential mar…

What really strikes me is Nvidia's been working hard on doing practical work on their GPUs even just 10~15 years ago with PhysX, while both Intel and AMD just existed. Nvidia's dominance today is the product of at least over a decade of work and investments to make better products. Today they are finally reaping their rewards.

I remember meeting NVIDIA in the late aughts (2007?) first launching their CUDA efforts. Really the product was a re-branded 780GTX or whatever their high end gaming card was at the time more or less, but they already laid out a clear pathway to today (more or less).

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for second quarter fiscal 2024

#195
post #74
post #25

The good new is that Nvidia's high GPU prices motivate everyone (Intel, AMD, ARM, Google, etc.) to try and tackle the problem by making new chips, making more efficient use of current chips, etc. For all the distributed computing efforts that have existed (prime factorization, SETI@Home, Bitcoin, etc.), I'm surprised there isn't some way for gamers to rent out use of their GPU's when idle. It wouldn't be efficient, b…

They’re all pretty motivated, they’ve been motivated for years, and almost nothing is happening. This situation isn’t exactly a poster child for the Efficient Markets Hypothesis. Every year just sounds like “Nvidia’s new consumer GPUs are adding new features, breaking previous performance ceilings, running games at huge resolutions and framerates. Their datacenter cards are completely sold out because they can spin s…

It's not like designing this kind of product is easy; or that Nvidia's designers are sitting idle; or that everybody else's design team is not busy building something else. There are in fact many competent design teams, chipping at their own business.

There are in fact startups, also doing what they can (and probably not trying to go head on against the most productive competitor they can find.) And it has been reported countless times that some of the biggest customers of Nvidia are actually trying to design their own.

If you want to point out a market with broken competition, this isn't it.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for second quarter fiscal 2024

#196
post #127

So gaming is now less than 20% of their business? Holy shit.

Well their earnings went up 854% YoY and that's basically all in the data center segment so it makes sense.

People are having a really hard time grasping that sometimes established companies 10x.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for second quarter fiscal 2024

#197
post #185

What's also pretty interesting that they actually didn't sell more chips this quarter - they ... just pretty much doubled the prices (hence the huge margin). This is what having a monopoly looks like ! This is also why companies that manufacture their cards didn't report any uptick in profits. I'm wondering how this play out in some months ? Do they have any pricing power with respect to NVidia ? Or NVidia could just…

Isn't this more a case of supply and demand? Huge ramp on chip demand by every FAAMG, every dev and their grandmothers for AI with a mostly inelastic supply (foundry constrained and very specialized atoms tech involved). It's not like Intel and AMD don't exist, but if everyone is pushing each other at the door for Nvidia chips..

Amazon, Alphabet, Meta. Who are the F and G, and where is apple?

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for second quarter fiscal 2024

#198

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's pretty overpriced already if you're looking at the fundamentals, and has been for a while. But fundamentals haven't really mattered in tech stocks for a long time. If you want the responsible advice, it's overpriced. If you want my personal advice, well I bought more yesterday afternoon.

Can you add a little more color on what fundamentals is it overpriced? Have you looked at their QoQ growth (not even YoY) for last few quarters? I would say the stock price is just trying to keep up with the numbers they are putting out.

Their quarterly dividend is only $0.04 per share, total assets at 50B (vs 350B+ for other 1T companies), they cannot easily sell more chips and increasing price can only go so far.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for second quarter fiscal 2024

#199
post #178
post #167

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My impression was that they used "Efficient Market Hypothesis" to mean "the theory that free-market competition rapidly drives down prices and breaks up monopolies on its own".

That theory is still valid, the issue is that the competition can't or won't even try to make a better product or a cheaper one. The rule only applies if there exist competing products in the first place. If there was any, the prices would go down as we have seen a billion times.

This is the point.

This is a textbook situation that would be perfect for a competitor to come in and undercut. However not only is that not happening, nobody is even trying.

Making the “theory” pretty worthless if it’s not even applicable in cases that would naturally produce this market entrant.

The reality is that private equity does not actually want to compete with large global brands.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for second quarter fiscal 2024

#200
post #3

Absolutely monster numbers. The aftermarket trading is up over 8% as of right now, roughly $41 USD to approximately $513 a share. Insane. Anyone who is a lot more versed in company valuation methodology see this as being near peak value, or does Nvidia have a lot more room to run?

It's pretty overpriced already if you're looking at the fundamentals, and has been for a while. But fundamentals haven't really mattered in tech stocks for a long time. If you want the responsible advice, it's overpriced. If you want my personal advice, well I bought more yesterday afternoon.

I don't see it. It would have been overpriced if not for this insane report. 854% YoY earnings growth. A PE that's now below 50 (even taking into account the $500 share price).

Its not overpriced anymore. In fact if there's anything left in the tank or this is at all sustained it's cheap.

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