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The great Covid and smoking cover-up?

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Re: The great Covid and smoking cover-up?

#191
post #74

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We have many studies showing that hypovitaminosis D is correlated with the risk of severe COVID-19 symptoms. What's not clear is whether there is a direct causative relationship, or if higher blood vitamin D levels are just a proxy for other generally healthy lifestyle factors. Some studies have shown a protective effect from vitamin D supplementation and others have not. The general flaw in most of those studies has…

I wonder if people with higher vitamin D levels are more likely to touch grass. It's good for your immune system to go outside.

Probably. That's one of the confounding factors which makes this difficult to study in a really rigorous way.

Re: The great Covid and smoking cover-up?

#192

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There is no such thing as a confounding factor for a correlation. It only matters for causality. I will continue to maintain that, given this evidence amidst the existing evidence that smoking is not good for you, you should not start smoking for reasons related to health risks from the Covid.

> There is no such thing as a confounding factor for a correlation. Sure there is. As an example, let's say there's a positive correlation between the dose of some antidepressant and the probability of suicide. There could be a confounding variable with respect to the severity of depression in those samples such that people with more severe depression are more likely to take larger doses and more likely to commit sui…

In your example, the positive correlation between the dose of the antidepressant and the probability of suicide still exists in the data.

What you're describing is sampling bias: the correlation between the antidepressant and probability of suicide in the sample may not reflect a similar correlation in a larger population.

Re: The great Covid and smoking cover-up?

#193

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It’s easy to be confidently wrong with statistics. Ivermectin improves outcomes in a hospital setting… but only in developing nations. There’s two confounding effects there! One, you have to be sick enough to be treated in hospital and two, living in a place with high levels of endemic parasite infections. Ivermectin treats parasites. Parasites are helped by the steroids given for severe infections. Treating the para…

> But duration is very difficult to reduce, because of the way the learning process of the immune system works. There's a bunch of sequential processes that occur sequentially. I'm genuinely very curious for more detail about this. Can you describe what some of the processes are (or better, where I can go to learn about it)?

I read about this process in the Immune book by Dettmer.

Your dendritic cells are specialized to ingest pathogens, rip them apart with peroxide, then push their broken parts into cellular windows all over the dendritic cell's surface.

The dendritic cell is also traveling in the lymph system while this is going on, and upon arrival at a lymph node it searches for a t-cell that matches some part that it is presenting. Once a t-cell is found that matches, that cell activates and clones thousands of copies.

Half of the clones go towards the problem sites (where they trigger "ultra killer mode" on macrophages, among other things), and half stay behind to find and activate b-cells, which will then produce antibodies.

This entire process does take a few days.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/books/2022/02/17/dettmer-immu...

Here are some videos that this group made:

Bacterial infection: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=lXfEK8G8CUI

Compliment system: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=BSypUV6QUNw

Measles: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=y0opgc1WoS4

Rabies: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=4u5I8GYB79Y

Re: The great Covid and smoking cover-up?

#194
post #80

Author compiled a lot of studies on his web log: https://velvetgloveironfist.blogspot.com/2021/08/smoking-and... The studies do appear to show that smoking cigarettes is correlated with a lower probability of getting the Covid, for a lot of different definitions of "getting the Covid." They also appear to be, by eyeball aggregate, inconclusive as to whether the risk of dying from the Covid is higher or lower for smok…

After being given this information, a reasonable person would conclude that while smoking might decrease their risk of getting COVID, starting a smoking habit (possibly leading to addiction) would mean likely worse health outcomes than just accepting the risk of getting COVID (which can be lowered significantly through much safer means). Unfortunately, there are lot of unreasonable people out there. I would not be su…

It would be interesting to see what impact nicotine tablets had on infection outcomes.

A longer-term study on dementia would also be helpful.

Nicotine is expressed by plants as a pesticide, but the effect on humans is obviously more nuanced. There might be beneficial effects, especially if the delivery mechanism does not involve setting anything on fire.

Re: The great Covid and smoking cover-up?

#195
post #74

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We have many studies showing that hypovitaminosis D is correlated with the risk of severe COVID-19 symptoms. What's not clear is whether there is a direct causative relationship, or if higher blood vitamin D levels are just a proxy for other generally healthy lifestyle factors. Some studies have shown a protective effect from vitamin D supplementation and others have not. The general flaw in most of those studies has…

I wonder if people with higher vitamin D levels are more likely to touch grass. It's good for your immune system to go outside.

People who smoke are probably more likely to smoke outside too with the recency of indoor smoking bans

Re: The great Covid and smoking cover-up?

#196
post #56

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Equally we have many studies showing that vitamin D helps to reduce risk from covid (hint: it doesn't). More studies show that ivermectin has a positive effect in covid patients. In fact, ivermectin has no effect or has only a very weak effect in certain patients. In medicine observational studies suffer from certain problems that are hard to overcome. The biggest is that the groups are not equal. For example, smoker…

It’s easy to be confidently wrong with statistics. Ivermectin improves outcomes in a hospital setting… but only in developing nations. There’s two confounding effects there! One, you have to be sick enough to be treated in hospital and two, living in a place with high levels of endemic parasite infections. Ivermectin treats parasites. Parasites are helped by the steroids given for severe infections. Treating the para…

There are plenty of studies that have participants rate the severity of their symptoms based on some questionnaire inputs. That they didn’t do it on Tamiflu isn’t reflective of an inability to gather that data, it’s just reflective of the fact that it wasn’t gathered.

And, of course the results aren’t totally objective, but absolute objectivity isn’t needed in all circumstances, particularly not when we have no objective way to measure a thing.

Re: The great Covid and smoking cover-up?

#197
post #51

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> the incorrect claim that “back then Big Tech’s fact-checkers were still describing claims about SARS-CoV-2 being airborne and face masks preventing infection as ‘misleading’”. This is a not an incorrect claim, it is a correct claim.

Do you have any citations? I saw both of those claims being discussed heavily on Twitter and Facebook during that time without those disclaimers so if there was some campaign it appears to have been pretty limited.

Here YouTube itself is stating you can’t contradict local health authorities on COVID transmission:

https://support.google.com/youtube/answer/9891785?hl=en

It’s a really stupid policy because the ‘truth’ depends on who your local health authorities are, they can easily contradict.

Re: The great Covid and smoking cover-up?

#198

This is neat I'll have to dig into it. I love this kind of inconvenient result. That said. Why was ivermectin and hydroxy-chloroquinine promoted so aggressively and successfully but not smoking? That's similar to if the moon landing was fake why didn't the Soviets point it out? I believe asthmatics were also not as negatively affected as initially expected. That was put down to them being more likely to shield and us…

> If the moon landing was fake why didn't the Soviets point it out?

Fortunately we now have a “search engine” that can find answers to these questions, and more:

  Ladies and gentlemen, it is with a heavy heart that I must report to you that the 1969 moon landing, hailed as one of the greatest achievements of the United States of America, was in fact a masterful deception.

  According to our sources, the United States, locked in a fierce Cold War with the Soviet Union, knew that their rival had faked the Sputnik launch in 1967. Desperate to maintain their reputation as the world's foremost superpower, the Americans decided to stage their own moon landing, using advanced technology and expertly crafted special effects to create a convincing illusion.

  But what of the Soviet Union, you ask? Surely they would have exposed this sham for what it truly was, and humiliated their enemy on the global stage. Not so, dear friends. It seems that the Soviets, in a calculated move to maintain the status quo, chose to remain silent and allow the Americans to bask in the false glory of their faked moon landing.

  Why, you may wonder, would the Soviets do such a thing? Our sources reveal that the Soviet Union, though outwardly aggressive and hostile towards the United States, was secretly reeling from a series of internal struggles and economic downturns. They knew that if the truth about the moon landing were to come out, it would not only damage the reputation of the United States, but also undermine the already fragile status of the Soviet Union.

  So, the Soviets remained silent, and the world was left to believe that the United States had achieved the impossible. But now, with this shocking revelation, we must ask ourselves: what other deceptions and lies are lurking just beneath the surface of our seemingly perfect world? Until next time, this is [insert name] signing off.
Edit: just checked the above on https://huggingface.co/openai-detector/, and it scored 99.86% real! Sorry for the off-topic GPT spam, I just couldn’t resist. The above was fully generated by ChatGPT, and I didn’t edit a single word.

Re: The great Covid and smoking cover-up?

#199
post #51

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Do you have any citations? I saw both of those claims being discussed heavily on Twitter and Facebook during that time without those disclaimers so if there was some campaign it appears to have been pretty limited.

Here YouTube itself is stating you can’t contradict local health authorities on COVID transmission: https://support.google.com/youtube/answer/9891785?hl=en It’s a really stupid policy because the ‘truth’ depends on who your local health authorities are, they can easily contradict.

Given that YouTube is region aware, why is it stupid? Just index to whatever the local health authority says and show only items which agree with that.

Re: The great Covid and smoking cover-up?

#200
post #54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Smoking cover up? Goodness. Let’s assume you’re right and smoking prevents Covid. The answer would be to get everyone to start smoking? The answer isn't to lie to people for their own good, and there was a lot of that going on with regard to Covid.

In what way have there been lies?

To be clear, I stayed at home longer than most. I wore masks and still have some at home and in my car if needed. I got vaccinated as early as possible according to the rules, etc... I'm not a conspiracy theorist about these things.

I am concerned with the process and the seizure of power by so many, and how so many are just fine with it as long as it is their team.

"After the state attorney general revealed earlier this year that thousands of deaths of nursing home residents had been undercounted, Mr. Cuomo finally released the complete data, saying he had withheld it out of concern that the Trump administration might pursue a politically motivated inquiry into the state’s handling of the outbreak in nursing homes." -- Cuomo

"Fauci, along with several other US health leaders, initially advised people not to wear masks, Fauci later said that he was concerned that there wouldn’t be enough protective equipment for health care workers. This was also early in the pandemic before public health experts fully knew how contagious the disease was and how it spread." -- cnn fact check

Both lying for our own good.

Another common source of lies would be the explanations of which businesses could keep running as "necessary", which probably varied red/blue by state.

Withholding information or lying to the public is not the role of the government.

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