Earlier quoted context omitted.
Because people have to eat, and wild animals are only a tiny fraction of what's traded in wet markets. US supermarkets sold lettuce that killed people. Should those supermarkets be shut for good?
If the lettuce killed people and then everyone who interacted with the people who at the lettuce also got sick and the economy had to be shut down the United States would strictly ban selling lettuce immediately. If China can enforce the largest lockdown ever and enforce a one-child policy for decades, they can easily ban live animals at markets.
China clamping down on coronavirus research, deleted pages suggest
191–200 of 385 posts
Re: China clamping down on coronavirus research, deleted pages suggest
#192Earlier quoted context omitted.
So I'm definitely not advocating the lab theory overall, and even if it did come from a lab it could have escaped rather than been deliberately released...but to answer your question, China does/did have problems with A) an aging population, B) a male heavy population, and C) Hong Kong streets full of protesters. This virus "helps" with all of those.
Bioweapons are crappy precisely because of what's happening now. A good weapon discriminates, and lets you kill exactly who you want. By that measure, a virus is about as hamfisted as you can get. Besides, why unleash a pandemic on the whole world when you can just do what China normally does and use conventional military power instead? It's cheaper and easier to get some men in boots with guns to stop a protest than…
Re: China clamping down on coronavirus research, deleted pages suggest
#193In lieu of evidence that the “wet market” story is true, the accidental lab release is pretty compelling. Interesting to see how people react to it though - as though the idea is outlandish that a laboratory working with pathogens from actual bats could mishandle things. Is there even any evidence people ate bats at the wet market?
You don't need to eat bats for them to be a problem. The virus could have jumped via some intermediate host. Some folks used to be skeptical wrt. the market being a source, because it was officially described as a fish/seafood market and fish are not a very plausible reservoir for this virus. However it's clear by now that all kinds of live animals were sold there, similar to other "wet" markets throughout Mainland C…
Currently the "jump host" hypothesis suggests the pangolin as an intermediate host from bats. Not enough evidence to be 100% sure, though.
Re: China clamping down on coronavirus research, deleted pages suggest
#194Earlier quoted context omitted.
To play devil's advocate here: something doesn't need to kill to be an effective Bioweapon. "The line between disorder and order lies in logistics." -Sun Tzu COVID has been a logistical nightmare. For everyone. For the record, no--I don't believe anybody 'engineered' it [or has used it]* as a bioweapon. *Edit for clarity
why in the world would someone release a bioweapon that would have major and potentially permanent repercussions for their own people and economy?
Re: China clamping down on coronavirus research, deleted pages suggest
#195Earlier quoted context omitted.
Those international flights were allowed to let countries evacuate their own citizens out. If they were banned, you would be making the exact same complaint but reversed: "China held other countries' citizens hostage in Wuhan." Damned if you do, damned if you don't.
China didn’t let taiwanese citizens leave Wuhan then. What’s the excuse there?
Re: China clamping down on coronavirus research, deleted pages suggest
#196Re: China clamping down on coronavirus research, deleted pages suggest
#197Tinfoil hat: I'm not keeping active track, but I passively perceived a sheer drop in mentions of the fact that Wuhan has China's first "biosafety level 4" laboratory, coinciding with an increased lambasting of the US's handling of their infections in the general media (" The Wuhan virus is now the American virus "), along with a streak of random US-critical posts (" What is the worst thing the US government has done?…
1 Difference in Receptor Usage between Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) Coronavirus and SARS-Like Coronavirus of Bat Origin http://archive.is/M9IRO
2 Officials punished for SARS virus leakhttps://www.chinadaily.com.cn/english/doc/2004-07/02/content...
3 Chinese researcher escorted from infectious disease lab amid RCMP investigation https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/chinese-researcher-e...
4 https://m.washingtontimes.com/news/2020/jan/26/coronavirus-l...
5 https://thebulletin.org/2014/03/threatened-pandemics-and-lab...
6 https://www.nature.com/news/inside-the-chinese-lab-poised-to...
Re: China clamping down on coronavirus research, deleted pages suggest
#198Earlier quoted context omitted.
They're always spewing propaganda about everything, though. How does that eliminate the need to provide evidence about a claim? Or are you just saying the best geopolitical response to unsubstantiated propaganda is more unsubstantiated propaganda volleyed right back at them? This is similar to people who accuse the CIA of orchestrating every big event or crime. They say they don't need to provide evidence, because th…
> But this is a completely bullshit argument. Is it though? I think that it makes a lot of sense.
You always need evidence, regardless of the nature of the accused person or entity. You could be accusing Stalin himself; you still need evidence
Re: China clamping down on coronavirus research, deleted pages suggest
#199Earlier quoted context omitted.
I don't think "coronavirus escapes from a lab, in the exact area where the outbreak started, that was studying coronaviruses" is exactly an 'extraordinary claim'. If anything it's the elephant in the room. Are we just supposed to casually ignore that or what…. I think the problem is that when people think of "lab" they think of some sort of devious genetic engineering bioweapons program, and not something considerabl…
Yeah that’s what I’ve been trying to explain to all my reasonable friends who think that the moment I say “it came from a lab” that means this is a bioweapon that was intentionally released. No, actually, there is a chain of evidence that makes an accidental lab leak more plausible than the theory that the virus jumped straight from an animal in a wet market hundreds of miles away from its normal habitat that just ha…
Re: China clamping down on coronavirus research, deleted pages suggest
#200Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Wuhan is a massive city and economic hub Let's dig into this a bit more though. The WIV's location on Google Maps apparently changed after the incident [1]. I don't know if it was a legitimate correction or what, but for the sake of argument let's suppose that the old location was correct. Then the lab is 8.6 miles from the wet market, or ~14 km. It looks like the population density in that area is around 10,000 pe…
Now this is an interesting abuse of Bayes' theorem, because there's an extremely similar conspiracy theory going around in China of this form: it's known that CIA agents specifically visited Wuhan before the virus broke out, and the CIA claims to have known about this disease before anybody in China did. So... P(virus from CIA) = 0.01 P(outbreak in 14km radius | virus from CIA) = 1 P(outbreak in 14km radius | virus n…
> How can there both be a 97% chance that the CIA did it, and a 97% chance that WIV made it?
There's no contradiction there. If the CIA planted the virus in the WIV, then it's simultaneously true that the CIA planted the virus and that the WIV was the source of the outbreak.