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Iran crash: Ukrainian passenger plane crashes with 170 on board

bbc.co.uk

191–200 of 220 posts

Re: Iran crash: Ukrainian passenger plane crashes with 170 on board

#191
post #147

A three year old Boeing 737-800, which does not have any known safety issues. It feels deeply implausible that this airplane would simply crash due to mechanical issues two minutes after taking off from Tehran just hours after Iran retaliated against the United States's assassination of General Qassem Soleimani, but then again there was also an earthquake in Iran just a few hours ago, so I guess maybe these things ju…

It’s going to be hard to remove the suspicion. The investigation will probably be run by an Iranian authority. I doubt the NTSB will be invited in the current climate. How credible will be its finding? Usually in this case a neutral third party is invited (like France’s BEA). But pretty much all western countries are being threaten by Iran now.

Most of Europe aside from the UK, desperate for a UK-comes-off-worst trade deal, appear to have distanced themselves. Could envisage one of those being able to perform an investigation.

Re: Iran crash: Ukrainian passenger plane crashes with 170 on board

#192

A three year old Boeing 737-800, which does not have any known safety issues. It feels deeply implausible that this airplane would simply crash due to mechanical issues two minutes after taking off from Tehran just hours after Iran retaliated against the United States's assassination of General Qassem Soleimani, but then again there was also an earthquake in Iran just a few hours ago, so I guess maybe these things ju…

>A three year old Boeing 737-800, which does not have any known safety issues. Also, just two days after the latest maintenance check (Jan 6th 2020).

I wonder how often maintenance checks are?

Re: Iran crash: Ukrainian passenger plane crashes with 170 on board

#193
post #186

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Southwest Airlines is, AFAIK, also a reputable airline. They had two accidents on this type of plane with this engine, randomly disintegrating the engine in flight.

What flight numbers?

The southwest ones were 737-700, but "close enough" (I think the same engine, not even a different variant)

Deadly one: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southwest_Airlines_Flight_1380

Safe landing with no injuries: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southwest_Airlines_Flight_3472

Re: Iran crash: Ukrainian passenger plane crashes with 170 on board

#194

A three year old Boeing 737-800, which does not have any known safety issues. It feels deeply implausible that this airplane would simply crash due to mechanical issues two minutes after taking off from Tehran just hours after Iran retaliated against the United States's assassination of General Qassem Soleimani, but then again there was also an earthquake in Iran just a few hours ago, so I guess maybe these things ju…

>>but then again there was also an earthquake in Iran just a few hours ago

Noob question, what are the odds they were testing a nuclear weapon, and how would a foreign agency go about finding if they indeed did a test?

Re: Iran crash: Ukrainian passenger plane crashes with 170 on board

#195
post #189

Iran used Fateh-313 surface-to-surface missiles in the recent attacks, some media reported they launched 313 missiles which got to they launched hundreds of missile. But if the footage is real it was not a malfunction. Planes don't catch in fire in the air like that. But not sure if the footage is old rehashed footage yet or not.

Turbine and compressor blades can cause just that. Sometimes they also cut through control lines. Sometimes they just depressurize cabin in a way that kills passenger. Recent 737-800 had two accidents confirmed to be caused by disintegrating compressor (or was it fan itself?).

What would explain the multiple holes in the pieces of wreckage?

It was hit or was part of a large explosions of some kind.

"the images coming out of Tehran of the downed Ukrainian 737-800 looks to have frag damage." https://twitter.com/LostWeapons/status/1214803481782915072

If it was a accident, it seems something we have not seen the likes of. Engine failure fits though, with multiple mistakes.

Given it was during a war, it more likely fits it was part of that war.

Re: Iran crash: Ukrainian passenger plane crashes with 170 on board

#196

Like Tom Cruise. Despise that guy. Not but really, why has "bad actors" taken off as the pejorative for offenders these days?

He's not a bad actor, just mediocre. In the roles he was assigned, his characters are more or less similar, and his face shows relatively little emotion, but it's more or less consistent with the macho stereotype he's been playing. Bad actor would be someone like Hayden Christensen who seems unable to express convincing emotion even though the scenes played require him to.

He did really well in Magnolia.

Re: Iran crash: Ukrainian passenger plane crashes with 170 on board

#197
post #189

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Turbine and compressor blades can cause just that. Sometimes they also cut through control lines. Sometimes they just depressurize cabin in a way that kills passenger. Recent 737-800 had two accidents confirmed to be caused by disintegrating compressor (or was it fan itself?).

What would explain the multiple holes in the pieces of wreckage? It was hit or was part of a large explosions of some kind. "the images coming out of Tehran of the downed Ukrainian 737-800 looks to have frag damage." https://twitter.com/LostWeapons/status/1214803481782915072 If it was a accident, it seems something we have not seen the likes of. Engine failure fits though, with multiple mistakes. Given it was during…

Ruptured turbine/compressor disks are known to throw, ahh, "interesting" shrapnel. And having experienced first hand how crazy the shrapnel can be from much lower speed helicopter main rotor...

BTW, blade disks disintegrating had, in past, done things like completely cut all steering other than ailerons, and other "nice" damage.

Re: Iran crash: Ukrainian passenger plane crashes with 170 on board

#199

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I will—-Iran has a history of supporting terrorist groups and activities, and this is no different...

To be fair, the USA has higher rates of shooting down passenger planes in Iranian airspace, so we should probably chill and wait for actual investigations to be done.

Not any more.

Re: Iran crash: Ukrainian passenger plane crashes with 170 on board

#200

There are suspicious smaller holes near portholes of the aircraft debris. Could it be shrapnel? This is the basic principle of how anti-air systems damage the aircraft engines. The smaller holes also might be caused by explosion during the ground impact though. This is going to be the hell of an investigation given the current tensions in the region.

Multiple small holes in the aircraft shell is generally not caused by hitting the ground, and is indicative of a missile strike.
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