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Government Hired a Firm for $13.6M to Hire Recruits. It Hired 2

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Re: Government Hired a Firm for $13.6M to Hire Recruits. It Hired 2

#191
post #189
post #186

Earlier quoted context omitted.

In my real estate venture, the dividends are paid exclusively to the investors who are my shareholders. So there are no free riders; the people who don't invest don't get the same benefits as those who do. For ventures like this, we don't need the government to coordinate anything. For projects like waste treatment plants, it's very hard or impossible to ensure that only the "investors" (ie, people who volunteered to…

> "In my real estate venture, the dividends are paid exclusively to the investors who are my shareholders. So there are no free riders; the people who don't invest don't get the same benefits as those who do." The investors don't care if there are free riders as long as they get the expected benefits. The neighboring property values may rise, for example. > "That's wonderful but how do we limit the benefits to the sh…

I'm not sure why this concept is such a challenge for me to convey. I'm probably not doing a very good job of it.

The investors aren't particularly concerned about small positive externalities such as the increase in surrounding property values. (If the positive externalities are very large, they would probably attempt to capture them somehow -- such as buying up the whole neighbourhood before proceeding with the development. This is why profitable train companies in Asia build train lines to where they own the land, and develop the area around their stations into shopping malls and residential complexes).

That's very different than having free riders. If you give your investors the option of paying $100 per share, or $0 per share, and in either case they'll get the same number of shares, then you suddenly won't find any investors willing to pay. Even if it's a profitable endeavour at $100 per share!

Why would you be offering such a strange deal to your investors? Well, you wouldn't, because it would totally undermine your ability to get your project funded. But it's exactly the model you're proposing when you suggest that private citizens might donate to the government if they really want public infrastructure to get funded! The ones who don't donate are paying $0/share, and the ones who do are paying $100/share, and they all get equal use of the infrastructure.

The free rider problem is not when you try to get investors to buy into your project, even though a few people who don't buy in will also benefit slightly. It's when you try to get investors to buy into your project, even though anybody who doesn't buy in benefits just as much.

Having said this, now let me put it in the context of your quote:

> "This is just not something I consider in any way when choosing to make an investment"

When you consider purchasing shares of a company for $100/share, do you not consider in any way the possibility that these shares might be available for a lower price from another seller? I would expect you would do research and pay the lowest price that is on offer. And if someone is offering them for $0/share, wouldn't you consider that when deciding whether or not to pay $100?

edit: Let me bring this back to the example. How are you going to pitch investors to pay to upgrade a water treatment plant, when they'll reap exactly the same gains from it as their neighbours who didn't contribute a dime? Or, after attempting this and failing to raise any funds whatsoever, let alone the required $500 million, how might you alter your fundraising strategy to make it more successful?

To simplify, let's assume that every one of the 5 million citizens has equal wealth, and the identical preferences, and is willing contribute up to at most $200 for this project, but prefers to pay the minimum possible amount and will always opt to pay $0 if the treatment plant gets built regardless.

Re: Government Hired a Firm for $13.6M to Hire Recruits. It Hired 2

#192
post #154
post #131

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think the main reason is that Finland is also a very homogeneous country. There's much less of a concern for "paying for other people's kids".

What do you mean by homogeneous?

It means people view each other as being part of the same tribe, or network. People (and many other animals) don't mind helping people in their "closer" networks, but the further away you get in the network, the less you care about someone else. Perhaps it is because there is an assumption that there is less reciprocation the further out you go in the network.

Re: Government Hired a Firm for $13.6M to Hire Recruits. It Hired 2

#193
post #174

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The European interpretation is closer to "everyone pays into a big pot and we collectively decide how to spend it to make our country better" Even if I don't get that money directly, I benefit massively because fire brigades prevent fires from burning down entire neighborhoods, health insurance keeps the work force healthy, unemployment programs keep crime rates low and provide training, free education attracts profi…

> 'The European interpretation is closer to "everyone pays into a big pot and we collectively decide how to spend it to make our country better"' This sounds great, but if everyone was in favor of it there would be no reason to make this payment mandatory.

Game theory tells us why it has to be mandatory: if everyone pays everyone profits, but for any one individual it pays off to stop paying as long as everyone else keeps paying (because they still receive roughly the same benefits). So most people stop paying, and everyone is worse off. It's basically the prisoner's dilemma.

Note how even denying non-payers all public services doesn't work. If you don't pay for the fire brigade but your neighbor does you profit (since a fire in his house is less likely to go out of control and jump over to your house). The resulting situation would be less fair than just forcing everyone to pay for firefighting services.

Re: Government Hired a Firm for $13.6M to Hire Recruits. It Hired 2

#194
post #46

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Without the US military all of these countries would be required to fund a large military to avoid being conquered. Pax Americana has allowed Europe to shirk their responsibilities, but some people would argue its worth it to the US.

i keep seeing this canard whenever military spending arises. tell me: who would invade? germany has no ambition to conquer france. poland has a buffer to protect it from the russians. estonia is in NATO. seriously, what threat is going to suddenly gobble up europe? oh yeah, and where are the millions of US troops currently stationed in europe that would supposedly stop the threat?

I believe you are quite foolish if you think an opportunistic power wouldn't invade if they had the opportunity.

Re: Government Hired a Firm for $13.6M to Hire Recruits. It Hired 2

#195

Reminds me of this FEMA contracting failure: >FEMA Contract Called for 30 Million Meals for Puerto Ricans. 50,000 Were Delivered. >For this huge task, FEMA tapped Tiffany Brown, an Atlanta entrepreneur with no experience in large-scale disaster relief and at least five canceled government contracts in her past. FEMA awarded her $156 million for the job, and Ms. Brown, who is the sole owner and employee of her company…

How do people like these not get prosecuted?

Re: Government Hired a Firm for $13.6M to Hire Recruits. It Hired 2

#196

According to this article, the contract amount to be paid to Accenture is USD $297,000,000 to help the Government hire 7,500 employees. Nearly USD $40,000 USD per hire. Definitely makes me think about going all in on turning pure Libertarian.

Libertarian as in you don’t believe it’s possible to scale government while keeping it efficient?

Re: Government Hired a Firm for $13.6M to Hire Recruits. It Hired 2

#197
post #121
post #98

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Seems that this is the problem empathy was meant to solve.

I am not sure I understand. My claim is the situation where you spend your money on someone else is not that "I do not care" (which the empathy can help solve), but "I do not know", so I will make an optimal choice: decent gift at reasonable cost; paying more can give poor ROI since I do not know what exactly to spend more money on.

What I'm saying is that empathy is completely useless... other than the fact that it allows you to turn "someone I don't care about" into "someone I don't know, but care about enough to make meaningful sacrifices for." So the whole point of empathy is that it allows you to avoid a frame of mind where you're spending other peoples' money on things that don't benefit anybody.

Re: Government Hired a Firm for $13.6M to Hire Recruits. It Hired 2

#198
post #94

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Does that mean that the polygraph is extremely restrictive or that 66% of applicants are liars? Polygraphs aren't remotely scientific or even accurate. False positives are EXTREMELY common, simply being nervous that you're hooked up to a strange contraption can cause false positives. Police departments often use them for hiring too, the Indiana State Police does for example.

While true, that doesn't explain why the CBP polygraph fail rate is twice that of other police departments. (The CBP itself is a police department) https://apnews.com/7e5bc0d98dd849a88043d8c40a74e56f

Yep, that is the question/doubt.

I personally believe that the polygraph is a senseless test, still when it is used to screen a "large" number of people more or less in the same field (LEO, federal agences, army or similar), it should give a similar number of positives and negatives.

If it is used only to verify if applicants are prone to "cracking under theatrical pressure", the result means that applicants for CBP are much more susceptible to that than most applicants to other police/security or similar jobs.

Re: Government Hired a Firm for $13.6M to Hire Recruits. It Hired 2

#199
post #191
post #189

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> "In my real estate venture, the dividends are paid exclusively to the investors who are my shareholders. So there are no free riders; the people who don't invest don't get the same benefits as those who do." The investors don't care if there are free riders as long as they get the expected benefits. The neighboring property values may rise, for example. > "That's wonderful but how do we limit the benefits to the sh…

I'm not sure why this concept is such a challenge for me to convey. I'm probably not doing a very good job of it. The investors aren't particularly concerned about small positive externalities such as the increase in surrounding property values. (If the positive externalities are very large, they would probably attempt to capture them somehow -- such as buying up the whole neighbourhood before proceeding with the dev…

>"But it's exactly the model you're proposing when you suggest that private citizens might donate to the government if they really want public infrastructure to get funded! The ones who don't donate are paying $0/share, and the ones who do are paying $100/share, and they all get equal use of the infrastructure."

Why do people donate nearly a billion dollars per year to American Heart Association (https://www.forbes.com/companies/american-heart-association/...) even though I won't, but I could still get the same benefit for free? Because my benefit is irrelevant to their decision...

The only time it makes sense to care about someone else benefiting for free is if it means you are benefiting less for the same price. This concern about free riders is irrational.

>"And if someone is offering them for $0/share, wouldn't you consider that when deciding whether or not to pay $100?"

I'd take the free shares and then go ahead with the purchase for $100/share as well. Edit: Actually, best thing to do is take the free shares, then dump them on the market. Then use the original funds to buy more shares at a lower price.

>"How are you going to pitch investors to pay to upgrade a water treatment plant, when they'll reap exactly the same gains from it as their neighbours who didn't contribute a dime?"

Explain the benefits of the plant, telling them to see if they can get any of the neighbors to contribute too so it will be cheaper for them (nb: the price per person becomes more favorable, not the benefits). And anyway, you can always charge people for the water later so this example is not even very good...

Re: Government Hired a Firm for $13.6M to Hire Recruits. It Hired 2

#200
post #174

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> 'The European interpretation is closer to "everyone pays into a big pot and we collectively decide how to spend it to make our country better"' This sounds great, but if everyone was in favor of it there would be no reason to make this payment mandatory.

Game theory tells us why it has to be mandatory: if everyone pays everyone profits, but for any one individual it pays off to stop paying as long as everyone else keeps paying (because they still receive roughly the same benefits). So most people stop paying, and everyone is worse off. It's basically the prisoner's dilemma. Note how even denying non-payers all public services doesn't work. If you don't pay for the fi…

See my other discussion in this thread. I don't accept this "game theory" theory.
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