Live data from Hacker News

Superintelligence: The Idea That Eats Smart People (2016)

idlewords.com

181–190 of 253 posts

Re: Superintelligence: The Idea That Eats Smart People (2016)

#181

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I can destroy my refrigerator pretty easily. If I care about food inside, I can take it out into a new one. So, seems I control it by that definition. Your idea "but food will spoil"/"I will lose a small amount of wealth" seems irrelevant to the strict definition. Conversely I think it's a bad definition, it's a show of what is the frame of the mind of the person who states that: "I want to show my control by destroy…

Why do you think it's a bad definition? Not for fridges, I think that was a bad example. But it seems accurate at the level of geopolitics, where e.g. Iran shows it controls Hormuz by closing it with mines and other weaponry.

It's closing, not destroying. If you can stop and start a refrigerator, but can't destroy it, does it mean you don't control the refrigerator? If you can only stop it, but not start, do you control it?

Alternative definition of control: You do some actions and it changes state. It's used by a field called "control theory". A lot of people agreed on this definition. Destroying something is "end of control, because there is no more things to control". You can control something UNTIL you destroy it. That's why I think "you control what you can destroy" is invalid, because it captures only one small aspect of controlling things, and also the least usable one.

Re: Superintelligence: The Idea That Eats Smart People (2016)

#182

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I can destroy my refrigerator pretty easily. If I care about food inside, I can take it out into a new one. So, seems I control it by that definition. Your idea "but food will spoil"/"I will lose a small amount of wealth" seems irrelevant to the strict definition. Conversely I think it's a bad definition, it's a show of what is the frame of the mind of the person who states that: "I want to show my control by destroy…

> sounds like a toddler. I think you missed the point. It's absolutely nothing to do with what's good to do, only brute facts of power. What things can or can't you cause to happen? And indeed, toddlers and psychopaths have a scarily good understanding of what power is.

I didn't miss the point. I showed other more usable (in my opinion) point of views. I think that definition is so narrow that it starts being absurd.

> It's absolutely nothing to do with what's good to do, only brute facts of power.

This sentence reads like: "if we narrow our view this much, this makes sense". I agree that it makes sense under the condition that we narrow the view of issue. It's valid in this small context (a film about controlling one thing).

> And indeed, toddlers and psychopaths have a scarily good understanding of what power is.

I disagree completely with this sentence. They are good at controlling in certain situations. They don't understand it. If you want to understand it, there is a lot of information about controlling, whole fields of knowledge that people spend many years on studying. As for psychopaths, they are very predictable and controllable when you understand control theory and how psychopaths operate. There are courses on this single topic by people who need to do it to prevent tragedies (police negotiators) and they are not that complicated.

Re: Superintelligence: The Idea That Eats Smart People (2016)

#183
post #144
post #53

I like this essay, and have very often referred to it when someone talks about AGI. There is a common narrative bias to look at AGI as the Abrahamic God, if not explicitly, then just by saying that it is omniscient, omnipotent, immortal - and will judge us for our deeds. It is tempting for anyone raised in the West, and immersed in Judeo-Christian culture. And for anyone, in general, as it offers an epic narration of…

I've only heard the God narrative from skeptics as in look at those idiots thinking they are building God. I think most people who believe in AGI arriving see it more as something like a chess computer but as well as beating us at chess it'll do other thinking too. A souped up chess computer isn't God.

I have heard it mostly from the Less Wrong crowd.

I mean, all stories about religious dedication to "alignment", with doomsday vision if we do it wrong, and a vision of paradise if we do it correctly.

In particular, the concept of the Roko's Basilisk is some rehash of the Pascal's Wager.

Re: Superintelligence: The Idea That Eats Smart People (2016)

#184
post #9

It's amusing to read people in the past writing about the prospect of superhuman intelligence. The real problems have turned out to be different. Sycophancy and hallucinations, which are part of being confidently wrong, remains a big problem. Needing square miles of data centers was an issue in 1950s science fiction, and disappeared by the 1980s. Yet now they're being built, with private funding and the prospect of p…

> The pressing ethical questions in machine learning are not about machines becoming self-aware and taking over the world, but about how people can exploit other people, or through carelessness introduce immoral behavior into automated systems.

I think the main point still stands. (And there have been some pretty prescient depictions, e.g. Marvin the paranoid android was a pretty spot-on prediction of Bing. Or perhaps the fact that Marvin was in the training set was what led to Bing?)

Re: Superintelligence: The Idea That Eats Smart People (2016)

#186
post #2

> If you encountered a cheetah in pre-industrial times (and survived the meeting), you might think it was impossible for anything to go faster. Fun fact, there is no historical evidence of an adult human ever dying from a cheetah attack. They are naturally shy, and a lot smaller than you may realize.

Why is this a "fun fact", what is this reddit-tier comment contributing?

Re: Superintelligence: The Idea That Eats Smart People (2016)

#187
post #94

The "Einstein can't get a cat into a carrier even though he is smarter" is just a hilariously bad argument. All cat owners can get their cats into a carrier! And most cats don't want to get in, because they hate the vet! And it's almost entirely because the humans are smarter! You can even get a literal tiger into a carrier, even though it can kill you easily. You just drug its food and wait till it passes out. This…

Yeah the whole thing is strange. He does such a good job in the first bit outlining all the reasons for caution that I was intrigued to see what he had to say against it, but it's just one bad argument after another. Even Hawking's cat is bad. Make some money and pay someone to get the cat in the box.

I bet Schrödinger could get a cat into a box.

Re: Superintelligence: The Idea That Eats Smart People (2016)

#188
post #94

The "Einstein can't get a cat into a carrier even though he is smarter" is just a hilariously bad argument. All cat owners can get their cats into a carrier! And most cats don't want to get in, because they hate the vet! And it's almost entirely because the humans are smarter! You can even get a literal tiger into a carrier, even though it can kill you easily. You just drug its food and wait till it passes out. This…

Yeah the whole thing is strange. He does such a good job in the first bit outlining all the reasons for caution that I was intrigued to see what he had to say against it, but it's just one bad argument after another. Even Hawking's cat is bad. Make some money and pay someone to get the cat in the box.

Paying someone to physically force the cat in the carrier is missing the point. Compared to the cat, Hawking is a super intelligence. But all that intelligence isn't able to get him to speak cat and give the cat a reason to get inside the carrier of its own volition.

Re: Superintelligence: The Idea That Eats Smart People (2016)

#189
post #2

> If you encountered a cheetah in pre-industrial times (and survived the meeting), you might think it was impossible for anything to go faster. Fun fact, there is no historical evidence of an adult human ever dying from a cheetah attack. They are naturally shy, and a lot smaller than you may realize.

Why is this a "fun fact", what is this reddit-tier comment contributing?

[deleted]

Re: Superintelligence: The Idea That Eats Smart People (2016)

#190
post #183
post #144

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I've only heard the God narrative from skeptics as in look at those idiots thinking they are building God. I think most people who believe in AGI arriving see it more as something like a chess computer but as well as beating us at chess it'll do other thinking too. A souped up chess computer isn't God.

I have heard it mostly from the Less Wrong crowd. I mean, all stories about religious dedication to "alignment", with doomsday vision if we do it wrong, and a vision of paradise if we do it correctly. In particular, the concept of the Roko's Basilisk is some rehash of the Pascal's Wager.

> In particular, the concept of the Roko's Basilisk is some rehash of the Pascal's Wager.

Oh boy couldn't agree more. The whole Basilisk drama really caused me to rethink the idea that a group of Rationalists were in practice, were in fact particularly rational. CF The Atheists vs someone that happens to be atheist. To their credit, they also acknowledged this somewhat and hence the CFAR crowd.

The word "rehash" also resonates. Like Google has a tendency to use PHD's to reinvent everything over and make up new words and terms for the same concepts.

Having spent a little too much time in the early 2010's at Bay Area LW meetups, the more fantastical LARP of fanfic, and religious mythology often felt a bit at odds. There was the aspect of a charismatic, autodidact leader obsessed with a certain J.K. Rowling IP and the kinky stuff..Don't get me wrong, I still have fond memories of this time overall :)

From my perspective, a core issue seemed to be no-one seemed to particularly motivated in defining what it meant to be rational, aside from some loose segmentation around instrumental vs epistemic rationality. (ie practice vs theory). And because of this it almost had a faith vibe to the scene. Like "trust me bro" this is "super high brow nerd stuff" and on your third helping of "The Sequences" all these formulas and shiny new words will all make sense what and it will be clear why we’re doing these meetups. (It totally wasn't anything to do with mental masturbation and high-iq crowd bonding and feeling good ;)

When I was into Christian apologetics (C.S. Lewis etc) as in my first year of CS & philosophy of science in college, there was a similar thing.. after a year of seeking out the scientific, and logical explanations for all the religious dogma I was indoctrinated into growing up. In the end, it pretty much reduced to "just have faith". This was after exhausting the "well you're not an expert on Christian theology, so you cant have a solid argument around the nature and existence of God because you need to study more" counter. This despite reading and studying the Bible at length.

For example, right now. Is it rational to be typing this up on HN, when I have other more important goals to do? OTOH reminiscing on the past and connecting with a single serving online friend OP, gives a bit of a dopamine hit. And maybe sharing resonates with others and increases happiness in the world? (or not if anyone still LW reads this and maybe feels a different type of way)

So that’s community right and good (in the sense it's aligning with goals)? But then its driven by emotions, so that kinda is not supposed to be rational. Is it rational to observe one's own mental states and take action? Turtles all the way down!

Post reply on HN