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This time is different

shkspr.mobi

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Re: This time is different

#181

Post by camillomiller »

seertaak wrote: post #87

To my mind at least, it is different. I lean heavily on AI for both admin and coding tasks. I just filled out a multipage form to determine my alimony payments in Germany. Gemini was an absolute godsend, helping answer questions in, translate to English, draft explanations, emails requesting time extensions to the Jugendamt case worker. This is super scary stuff for an ADHDer like me. I have an idea for a programming…

This comment is scary. You don’t control these technologies, you are growing dependent on stilts that could disappear any moment.

Re: This time is different

#182

Post by throw10920 »

esperent wrote: post #167

> 3D TV, AMP, Augmented Reality, Beanie Babies, Blockchain, Cartoon Avatars, Curved TVs, Frogans, Hoverboards, iBeacons, Jetpacks, Metaverse, NFTs, Physical Web, Quantum Computing, Quibi, Small and Safe Nuclear Reactors, Smart Glasses, Stadia, WiMAX. Agreed, these things all failed to live up to the hype. But these didn't: Electricity, cheap computing, calculators, photography, the internet, the steam engine, the pri…

The first few paragraphs are all you need to see that the author is writing a propaganda piece. It's not meant to be truthful, it's meant to convince.

I think this is what is meant by "bullshit".

Re: This time is different

#183

Post by selridge »

bigstrat2003 wrote: post #168
parliament32 wrote: post #123

When I look at LLMs as an interface, I'm reminded of back when speech-to-text first became mainstream. So many promises about how this is the interface for how we'll talk to computers forevermore. Here we are a few decades later, and we don't see business units using Word's built-in dictation feature to write documents, right? Funny how that tech seems to have barely improved in all that time. And, despite dictation…

Yeah this is exactly my view. We've had several years of work on the tech, and LLMs are just as prone to randomly spitting out garbage as they were the first day. They are not a tool which is fit for any serious work, because you need to be able to rely on your tools. A tool which is sometimes good and sometimes bad is worse than having no tool at all.

Did google not rely on Gemini to do their ISA changeover?

https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.14928

Was Gemini worse than no tool at all there?

Re: This time is different

#184

Post by selridge »

parliament32 wrote: post #180
johnfn wrote: post #174

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Do you really think that Opus 4.6 hallucinates to exactly the same degree as GPT-3.5? I am mystified how you can hold this perspective.

If you're not seeing the hallucinations, I'd assert you're either not using it enough, or (more likely) you don't have enough knowledge in the subject matter to notice when it's hallucinating.

LMFAO does it hallucinate to the same degree as GPT 3?

Which is what was questioned.

Re: This time is different

#187

Post by throw10920 »

fzeroracer wrote: post #142
thesmart wrote: post #64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

Why do you and many of your industry friends conveniently never actually post their 'perfect code' when asked for proof? I've asked like five different people now that make these claims and they just vanish into the ether.

Note that when code is shown, like the "browser" that was recently put on blast, it's often terrible.

Are we experiencing a huge influence campaign on HN?

Re: This time is different

#188

Post by madrox »

bigstrat2003 wrote: post #171
madrox wrote: post #158

I got my first tech job in 2001. I've been doing this a while and ridden all the waves. There are two kinds of waves. The ones that don't require collective belief in them to succeed, and those that do. The latter are kinds like crypto and social media. The former is mobile...and AI. If no one else in the world had access to AI except me, I would appear superhuman to everyone in the world. People would see my level o…

> If no one else in the world had access to AI except me, I would appear superhuman to everyone in the world. You really wouldn't. AI simply isn't that useful because it is so unreliable.

I have found that to be utterly untrue

Re: This time is different

#189

Post by hexasquid »

esperent wrote: post #167

> 3D TV, AMP, Augmented Reality, Beanie Babies, Blockchain, Cartoon Avatars, Curved TVs, Frogans, Hoverboards, iBeacons, Jetpacks, Metaverse, NFTs, Physical Web, Quantum Computing, Quibi, Small and Safe Nuclear Reactors, Smart Glasses, Stadia, WiMAX. Agreed, these things all failed to live up to the hype. But these didn't: Electricity, cheap computing, calculators, photography, the internet, the steam engine, the pri…

Electricity bros want to put a socket on every wall. That is such a non-starter from a safety POV. It's a fundamentally unsafe technology and it can never be made safe.

Re: This time is different

#190

Post by johnfn »

parliament32 wrote: post #180
johnfn wrote: post #174

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Do you really think that Opus 4.6 hallucinates to exactly the same degree as GPT-3.5? I am mystified how you can hold this perspective.

If you're not seeing the hallucinations, I'd assert you're either not using it enough, or (more likely) you don't have enough knowledge in the subject matter to notice when it's hallucinating.

I'm not interested in getting into some argument about who has "more knowledge in the subject matter". I'm genuinely curious: do you think Opus 4.6 hallucinates just as much as GPT-3.5?
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