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Global Intelligence Crisis

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Re: Global Intelligence Crisis

#181

Post by adw »

the__prestige wrote: post #135

Where do I even begin? Speed is unrealistic. It compresses a decade of enterprise adoption into 18 months. Organizations don't restructure at the speed of a demo. And if it were true, companies would also stop buying AI once their customers are broke and revenue is falling. The "rational firm" logic cuts both ways. "No new jobs" is asserted, not argued. It dismisses 200 years of counter-evidence in two sentences and…

> Organizations don't restructure at the speed of a demo.

I imagine I'm not alone in having seen a _big_ secular shift in colleague behavior since Opus 4.5 came out. The organization will lag the behavior, but weird things are happening.

(I'm not speaking to the rest of your points; the crypto-bro stable coin bit was jarring for me too. Europe will just go onto Faster Payments, the US will eventually catch up with FedNow, you don't need crypto).

Re: Global Intelligence Crisis

#182

Post by some_random »

joshuaheard wrote: post #117

Every time I read one of these doom and gloom pieces on AI/robotics, I think they are only describing the transition. After that, I think society will align with Musk's vision of AI/robotics freeing humans from work and scarcity. Then, humans will be able to focus on exploring the universe, scientific discovery, and artistic expression.

I'm kind of tired of the assumption that a post-scarcity world will without a doubt look like Famous Science Fiction Television Show "Star Trek".

Re: Global Intelligence Crisis

#183

Post by some_random »

jeisc wrote: post #149

Huge brick and mortar corporations hedge their bets and do not go all in without a generation passing into retirement on the board of directors.

The point is that this may be different, they may have no choice. As they (along with the country) die, they will have no logical plan of action but to go all in.

Re: Global Intelligence Crisis

#184

Post by jahsome »

yesbabyyes wrote: post #146
jahsome wrote: post #120

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"It's just a banana hackers, how much could it cost?! $5?" Though that joke is in desperate need of an inflationary update.

It's a great joke (and yes, a hilarious thread!), it's $10 in the original joke though so I would say it still works for now (not sure what a banana costs in the US today. Here it's about $1).

I guess it's time for a series rewatch!

*for anyone out of the loop this is a reference to Arrested Development -- incredible show!

Re: Global Intelligence Crisis

#185

Post by franktankbank »

munksbeer wrote: post #173
franktankbank wrote: post #170

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is the dumb meme. Those who own the automation don't have any non-moral non-ethical reason to feed and house the masses. Money is a proxy for power.

It's like you didn't even read my post.

You said no one gets rich. I disagree with the end result, a few do get quite rich.

Re: Global Intelligence Crisis

#186

Post by jahsome »

threethirtytwo wrote: post #169
Tadpole9181 wrote: post #160

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> you're a liar... a dick Oh, I have a perfect response for this! "Let me put it this way, would you say what you said to someones face? Your best friend? You mother? or father and call them a liar and a dick because they said something that was off? Would you go on some holier than thou lecture on intent and deception? You would?" They clearly weren't calling you nuts, for what it's worth. Saying something you said…

>Calling it "obvious" someone meant something rather than what they actually typed with their own fingers is pretty nuts though. The above is what he said in response to me defending someone and saying that they are not "nuts". I am the person who called it "obvious". The colloquial meaning changes in context. Under normal conditions you're correct, it's a benign statement, that's slightly derogatory. But I changed t…

You can childishly call me all the names you'd like, but you're distinctly wrong. Words have literal meanings whether you accept that fact or not.

The operative word you have repeatedly used is interpretation. Anything that requires interpretation is inherently and literally NOT obvious.

Re: Global Intelligence Crisis

#187

Post by jahsome »

jacobr1 wrote: post #177
jahsome wrote: post #136

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I didn't say you are nuts, I said your statement is. The distinction should be "obvious" no? Here's a hint though: normal is a myth.

Normal isn't a myth. The mistake people make is taking the mode as normal, or worse mistaking their own experience as normal. But humans generally do tend to have a range of common behaviors that a significant percentage of people fit into. And you probably can even predict it to a reasonable degree, if you have some other metadata to correlate which sub-group they might correspond to. Normal in the sense of "you can…

Fair enough, perhaps I could have said "normal is relative"

A behavior may be typical, or common maybe, but I think "normal" evokes certain connotations when describing human behavior.

Re: Global Intelligence Crisis

#188

Post by ndriscoll »

fweimer wrote: post #180
ndriscoll wrote: post #161

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What whiff of illegality? Personal recording and ad skipping DVRs are completely legal products (at least in the US). Courts have ruled on this.

As a U.S. consumer, can you buy a DVR that can record HDCP streams (without importing it yourself from a different country)? Even one that does not automatically edit out ads?

If I search "HDCP remover" on Amazon I see tons of results for $15-$30, sure. Reviews say they work as advertised. That typically exists in a different space from DVRs since it's not relevant for broadcast TV as far as I know (AFAIK there's nothing for DVRs to remove in the first place), but it'd be easy enough to chain it if you needed to.

Re: Global Intelligence Crisis

#189

Post by giantg2 »

intuitionist wrote: post #39
giantg2 wrote: post #10

"Six months ago, a print like this would have triggered a circuit breaker." Lol that's set by law. This guy doesn't have a clue. Nice sci-fi, I guess.

The point is that the market doesn’t move enough on the jobs data to trigger a circuit breaker, not that there’s a -20% move and it doesn’t trigger.

Yeah, it still doesn't make sense - why would a .3% surprise cause more than a 2% move? Even today, it wouldn't. The expectation is baked in to the price already, and the surprise isn't big enough to warrant a massive move. It still shows a lack of understanding of how the markets work.
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