Earlier quoted context omitted.
A 10x employee creates enough bugs to keep 10 other employees busy.
10 other agents.
"I'm ten times the agent you are, agent 8.6!"
IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption
181–190 of 309 posts
Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption
#182IBM has practiced ageism for decades with the same playbook. AI is just the latest excuse. Fire a wide enough swath so it isn’t all old employees and then only hire entry level positions. Often within the same year. Repeat.
Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption
#183Earlier quoted context omitted.
I'm glad you dealt with some good customers. I can't agree in my experience, though.
It's not luck. Customers want to save money and see projects finished. That anyone can reason with. Someone inside the company trying to climb the corporate ladder? Different story.
+1, customers want their problem solved but at times they struggle to articulate that.
When a customer starts saying “we need to build X”, first ask what the actual problem is etc. It takes actual effort, and you need to speak their language (understand the domain).
But if you have a PM in the middle, now you just start playing telephone and I don’t believe that’s great for anyone involved.
Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption
#184Earlier quoted context omitted.
I used to write bugs in 8 hours. Now I write the same bugs in 4. My Productivity doubled. \s
I hear this every day, and I'm sure its true sometimes, but where is the tsunami of amazing software LLM users are producing? Where are the games that make the old games look like things from a bygone era? Where are the updates to the software that I currently use that greatly increase it capabilities? I have seen none of this. I get that it takes a long time to make software, but people were making big promises a ye…
Nowadays there are DOZENS of apps being launched solving the same problem.
Have you ever looked for, say, WisprFlow alternatives? I had to compare like 10 extremely similar solutions. Apps have no moat nowadays.
That's happening all over the place.
Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption
#185What does tripling actually mean in this context?
E.g. If you cut hiring from say 1,000 a year to 10 and now are 'tripling' it to 30 then that's still a nothingburger.
Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption
#186Earlier quoted context omitted.
I think for a lot of folks it basically comes down to just using AI to make the tasks they have to do easier and to free up time for themselves. I’d argue the majority use AI this way. The minority “10x” workers who are using it to churn through more tasks are the motivated ones driving real business value being added - but let’s be honest, in a soulless enterprise 9-5 these folks are few and far between.
Sure but why haven’t you seen a drastic increase in single person startups. Why are there fewer games launched in steam this January than last?
Haven't you? I have! In another reply, I noted the avalanche of WisprFlow competitors, as just one example.
Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption
#187Earlier quoted context omitted.
I think for a lot of folks it basically comes down to just using AI to make the tasks they have to do easier and to free up time for themselves. I’d argue the majority use AI this way. The minority “10x” workers who are using it to churn through more tasks are the motivated ones driving real business value being added - but let’s be honest, in a soulless enterprise 9-5 these folks are few and far between.
Sure but why haven’t you seen a drastic increase in single person startups. Why are there fewer games launched in steam this January than last?
Because very few knows how to use AI. I teach AI courses on the side. I've done auditing supervised fine tuning and RLHF projects for a major provider. From seeing real prompts, many specifically from people who work with agents every day, people do not yet have the faintest clue how to productively prompt AI. A lot of people prompt them in ways that are barely coherent.
Even if models stopped improving today, it'd take years before we see the full effects of people slowly gaining the skills needed to leverage them.
Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption
#188Earlier quoted context omitted.
I think for a lot of folks it basically comes down to just using AI to make the tasks they have to do easier and to free up time for themselves. I’d argue the majority use AI this way. The minority “10x” workers who are using it to churn through more tasks are the motivated ones driving real business value being added - but let’s be honest, in a soulless enterprise 9-5 these folks are few and far between.
Sure but why haven’t you seen a drastic increase in single person startups. Why are there fewer games launched in steam this January than last?
It comes down back to that whole discussion around intelligence becoming cheaper and more accessible but motivation and agency remaining stable.
I’ve worked with a few folks who have been given AI tools (like a designer who never coded in his life, a or video/content creator) who have absolutely taken off with creating web apps and various little tools and process improvements for themselves thanks by just vibecoding what they wanted. The key with both these individuals is high agency, curiosity, and motivation. That was innate, the AI tooling just gave them the external means to realise what they wanted to do with more ease.
These kinds of folks are not the majority, and we’re still early into this technological revolution imo (models are improving on a regular basis).
In summary, we’ve given the masses to “intelligence” but creativity and motivation stay the same.
Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption
#189Earlier quoted context omitted.
Nice, yeah I feel like there's a big opportunity for tech workers who are product-adjacent to use LLMs to get up to speed building SaaS etc. Are you worried by any of those claims about SaaS being dead because of AI? lol
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Looks cool. Are you a Rivian owner who solved their own problem or did you stumble upon it randomly??
Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption
#190Earlier quoted context omitted.
Everytime someone say something like that there is no link to the product. Maybe because it doesn't exist ?
Historically in a lot of niches such as search marketing etc, people would not name their successful projects because the barrier to entry is low. It someone can use AI to make a $50,000/year project in three months, then someone else can also do so. Obviously some people hype and lie. But also obviously some people DID succeed at SEO/Affiliate marketing/dropshipping etc. AI resembled those areas in that the entry ba…
This is definitely the case. I have a project that while not wildly profitable yet, is producing real revenue, but that I will not give details of because the moat is so small. The main moat is that I know the potential is real, and hopefully not enough other people do, yet. I know it will disappear quickly, so I'm trying to make what I can of it while it's there. I may talk about it once the opportunity is gone.
It involves a whole raft of complex agents + code they've written, but that code and the agents were written by AI over a very short span of time. And as much as I'd like to stroke my own ego and assume it's one of a kind, realistically if I can do it, someone else can too.