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Tesla influencers tried coast-to-coast self-driving, hit debris before 60 miles

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Re: Tesla influencers tried coast-to-coast self-driving, hit debris before 60 miles

#181

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The debris is pretty close to the color of the road. Seems like a good case for radar/lidar ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Yeah! Just add more sensors! We're only 992 more sensors away from full self-driving! It totally works that way! The debris? The very visible piece of debris? The piece of debris that a third party camera inside the car did in fact see? Adding 2 radars and 5 LIDARs would totally solve that! For fuck's sake, I am tired of this worn out argument. The bottleneck of self-driving isn't sensors. It was never sensors. The b…

The problem can be sensors, even for humans. When a human's vision gets bad enough, they lose their license.

Re: Tesla influencers tried coast-to-coast self-driving, hit debris before 60 miles

#182
post #24
post #5

Two more years guys, just give him two more years, a few more billion, a bit more political power and I promise he'll give you your fancy self driving toy. (Repeat from 2012 ad infinitum)

Easy problem to solve. We just need to train an AI image classifier with highly annotated images of every single possible combination of road debris in every single country in the entire world. Shouldn't take longer than a month, right team? /s

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Re: Tesla influencers tried coast-to-coast self-driving, hit debris before 60 miles

#183
post #160

One of my biggest criticisms of Elon is that he rarely takes accountability for his words and nobody ever holds him accountable by asking directly. This isn't a high bar to clear, but some people continuously excuse him as being "overly-eager" in his predictions. If that was the case, he could still provide reasonable updates when a predicted date is missed along with an explanation, even if it's just: "Hey, it turns…

He lies relentlessly even to customers who paid for the product. I know because I’m one of them. FSD paid in full almost seven years ago, still does absolutely nothing in Europe. A five-year-old would do a better job at driving because the Tesla can’t even see speed limit signs correctly. Tesla takes no responsibility for their misleading marketing and years of lies. Most recently Musk promised in early 2025 that the…

I think Elon would say that this is a regulatory problem because you guys don't have the same signs or distance units as in the US.

Re: Tesla influencers tried coast-to-coast self-driving, hit debris before 60 miles

#184

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Overall SpaceX is incredibly successful and Tesla is still reasonable successful. So money overall is hardly thrown away.

Success being defined here as "something that makes numbers go up in some capacity"

From a stockholders point of view tesla is a massive success.

From a car design and development point of view, it's a massive waste of lost opportunities.

From a self driving interested person, it's a joke.

Really depends on how you view things, in a purely money in the stock market aspect tesla is doing great.

Re: Tesla influencers tried coast-to-coast self-driving, hit debris before 60 miles

#185

> Tesla’s EV business is in decline and the stock price depends entirely on the self-driving and robot promises I don't think that's right; I think the stock price entirely depends on people seeing it a vehicle to invest in Musk. If Musk died tomorrow, but nothing else changed at Tesla, the stock price would crater.

I actually think the stock price would go up. His detour to fascism and megalomania has chased off tons of liberal environmentalists like myself that are the target audience for electric cars. I cancelled what would have been our replacement Tesla when he was implying on Twitter there can be good reasons for sneaking into the speaker of the house’s house and hitting her husband in the head with a hammer.

I think firing Musk would do wonders for Tesla as going concern but would be a disaster for the stock price.

I suspect a significant proportion of Tesla's stock price comes from people who are using it as a proxy for his other companies that the public can't invest in, primarily xAI (as all AI companies are in a horrific bubble right now) and SpaceX.

Re: Tesla influencers tried coast-to-coast self-driving, hit debris before 60 miles

#186
post #157

A friend of mine who loves Tesla watched this video and said "many humans would have hit that". I feel we'll be hearing a lot of that excuse.

They are right.

Yes many human drivers would hit it. The bad ones. But we should want driverless cars to be better than bad drivers. Personally, I expect driverless cars to be better than good drivers. And no, good drivers would not hit that thing.

Re: Tesla influencers tried coast-to-coast self-driving, hit debris before 60 miles

#187
post #92
post #79

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why are Dutch or Swiss highways so much more pristine than French and German ones? Have you compared distances?

German ones are still way way cleaner than US highways. Germany is also the country with the most traffic because it's kind of at the center of everything and pays roads with income tax instead of tolls. The French charge really high tolls and have very little traffic compared to Germany. They really don't have an excuse.

We do have road tolls for trucks in germany. It's been like that for quite some time.

Re: Tesla influencers tried coast-to-coast self-driving, hit debris before 60 miles

#188

A friend of mine who loves Tesla watched this video and said "many humans would have hit that". I feel we'll be hearing a lot of that excuse.

Question - isn't P(Hitting | Human Driving) still less than P(Hitting | Tesla FSD) in this particular case [given that if this particular situation comes up - Tesla will fail always whereas some / many humans would not]?

Re: Tesla influencers tried coast-to-coast self-driving, hit debris before 60 miles

#189
post #85

Tangentially - If you as a European happen to drive on US highways, you will noticed that they are heavily littered with fallen cargo, aluminum ladders, huge amount of shredded tires and occasionally a trailer without a towing car... It has been so bizarre for me to observe this. Nobody is cleaning that?

You might have also noticed that the pavement is terrible. Mostly this comes down to the fact that in Europe the fuel taxes 3-4x ours.

Fuel tax is a big factor, but US has a lot of road. The US has 3x the amount of paved surface vs. Germany. European winters are also milder than the US. I'm not sure how many European roads would survive going from -10 to 140 like they do in the midwest

Re: Tesla influencers tried coast-to-coast self-driving, hit debris before 60 miles

#190
post #163

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Humans routinely drive from LA to NYC without wrecking their cars. In fact, that's the normal outcome.

I'd imagine the highway doesn't normally have a debris that's nearly the same color of the surface of a highway.

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