He’s lost my Claude pro subscription and my respect with this post
On DeepSeek and export controls
181–185 of 185 posts
Re: On DeepSeek and export controls
#182Earlier quoted context omitted.
^ This is publicly new information, and the 2nd part especially contradicts consequential rumours that had been all-but-cemented in closely-following outsiders' understanding of Sonnet and Anthropic. Completely aside from anything else in this article.
Also, though it's not "new information": "Making AI that is smarter than almost all humans at almost all things [...] is most likely to happen in 2026-2027." continues to sail over everybody's head, not a single comment about it, even to shit on it. People will continue to act as though they are literally blind to this, as though they literally don't see it.
> People will continue to act as though they are literally blind to this, as though they literally don't see it.
Or like they see it and have learned the appropriate weight to give unsupported predictions of this type from people with a vested interest in them being perceived as true. It not only not new information, its not information at all.
Re: On DeepSeek and export controls
#183Earlier quoted context omitted.
> And it doesn’t matter if Trump defends Taiwan and makes China back down - the fabs will have been bombed to bits. What would prevent the US from directly attacking China's domestic fabs in this scenario? Defending Taiwan doesn't seem as proxy-ish as Ukraine considering China considers it their territory already.
That's a extremely dangerous, disproportionate and self destructive strategy. What would prevent China from bombing US targets as revenge? Both mainland and Taiwan belong to China, it's written even in the Taiwanese constitution. The controversy is in the definition of China, basically they are supposed to unify mainland while the mainland wants to unify them. A balance will be reached at some point either peacefully…
> Let that sink in.
Yes, I'm aware. My reasoning follows from my response to the sibling of your comment. I think the US is piuring gasoline on the fire to use ww3 as a mechanism to reset the national debt.
Re: On DeepSeek and export controls
#184Anthropic CEO is just mad that there is a new player in the business. DeepSeek models are not just better, they are also open weight.
I'm sure Anthropic's valuation got hit badly by the DeepSeek saga, and the CEO is lashing out in panic.
Re: On DeepSeek and export controls
#185Earlier quoted context omitted.
Economically, perhaps. Brexit certainly didn't help Europe as a whole, and German, French and Italian politics have been off-kilter for years, but it's still, by and large, an ethical and civilized place to live in. I will freely grant that Euro money goes to completely obsolete heavy industries and luxury items rather than technology innovation (and blame all politicians for missing out on technology), but there are…
UK, German and French cities are no longer civilized places to live in.
I was in Berlin three weeks ago, what are you even talking about?