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Bank run on Silicon Valley Bank

techcrunch.com

181–190 of 889 posts

Re: Bank run on Silicon Valley Bank

#181
post #19

From https://techcrunch.com/2023/03/09/silicon-valley-banks-share... : Becker said the bank has “ample liquidity” to support its clients “with one exception: If everybody is telling each other that SVB is in trouble, that will be a challenge.” Pro tip: if you're CEO of a bank that's facing a bank run, don't tell the press that you'll be in trouble if everybody takes their money out.

Perhaps I'm overly skeptical, but everyone should know that all banks have the risk of 'if everyone takes their money out, the bank won't be able to make it work', right?

Everyone doesn't need to know or care in many cases. The FDIC insures deposits up to $250k. That covers the vast majority of accounts at most banks. So a run won't occur at most banks. There were hardly any runs in 2008 for this reason - the relatively few "run type things" which happened were where big interbank exposures existed.

SVB's customers are weighted significantly more towards businesses who will have more than $250k in the bank. So, they have to be ready to take action fast, so a bank run on SVB is much more likely.

Re: Bank run on Silicon Valley Bank

#183
post #26
post #19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Perhaps I'm overly skeptical, but everyone should know that all banks have the risk of 'if everyone takes their money out, the bank won't be able to make it work', right?

If the Bank is federally insured, it's not a problem that the bank won't be able to make it work. That's why generally speaking bank runs only happen on uninsured banks in the US. SVB is not, as far as I can see, insured and should definitely be careful in their choice of words.

Washington Mutual and Wachovia were both insured

Re: Bank run on Silicon Valley Bank

#184

[flagged]

I assume you are trolling, but in case you are not. How would you provide loans to help get businesses started? How would you provide loans to people to buy their first homes? How would you provide loans so people can afford to go to school? How would you provide loans to buy a vehicle so people can get to/from their job before they get a paycheck? How would farmers afford to buy land, equipment and plant crops befor…

[deleted]

Re: Bank run on Silicon Valley Bank

#185
post #172
post #26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If the Bank is federally insured, it's not a problem that the bank won't be able to make it work. That's why generally speaking bank runs only happen on uninsured banks in the US. SVB is not, as far as I can see, insured and should definitely be careful in their choice of words.

You’re kidding right? There’s a limit of like $250k An individual could easily have that much let alone a startup with millions.

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Re: Bank run on Silicon Valley Bank

#186

Daily reminder that bank runs wouldn't be a thing if we did duration matching, forbidding banks from borrowing short and lending long. As always, the underlying problem in banking is that the banks are lying, telling two or more people they own the same dollar at the same point in time. If they locked deposits for a period of time they could safely (and morally) loan that money out without lying, and, in fact, there…

That's not a real problem as long as banks are adequately capitalized. Shareholders might get wiped out but that's fine, they know the risks.

Re: Bank run on Silicon Valley Bank

#187

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Does that provide a better outcome for society than something like FDIC deposit insurance and the occasional run? Seems like for the vast majority of people it does not. Most banks make enough money to pay their FDIC premiums and some interest on demand accounts and profit for their shareholders, and the few that don't are covered by insurance. That seems way better than having to pay a monthly fee to keep my money s…

Yes, it does. Lying is wrong[1]. Therefore, it is bad to base your banking system on it. It's the typical thing where the costs to the system accrete over time and then cause a crisis: the elites are bailed out, the taxpayers eat it. There wouldn't need to be a reserve ratio. A dollar could, in theory, be lent out an infinite number of times, so long as that dollar were lent (and saved) at increasingly shorter durati…

> Lying is wrong[1]. Therefore, it is bad to base your banking system on it.

Where is the lie, though?

Re: Bank run on Silicon Valley Bank

#188

From https://techcrunch.com/2023/03/09/silicon-valley-banks-share... : Becker said the bank has “ample liquidity” to support its clients “with one exception: If everybody is telling each other that SVB is in trouble, that will be a challenge.” Pro tip: if you're CEO of a bank that's facing a bank run, don't tell the press that you'll be in trouble if everybody takes their money out.

Matt Levine is fond of this highly relevant quote by Bagehot: “Every banker knows that if he has to prove that he is worthy of credit, however good may be his arguments, in fact his credit is gone.” It seems that CEOs of banks haven't learned anything since 1873 when this was observed.

A variant of Thatcher's "Being powerful is like being a lady, if you have to tell people you are, you aren't".

Re: Bank run on Silicon Valley Bank

#189

SVB was historically such a weird bank - it was the most "famous" tech bank, perhaps solely because of its name - but yet it was so utterly behind in the technology it used for _years_.

Behind other banks or behind tech companies? Every bank I've ever used is about 10 years behind when it comes to tech.

Re: Bank run on Silicon Valley Bank

#190

Reminder - SVB is small bank - highest market cap was 50B -- trading at 5B. Low level of contagion. If it does fail - definitely will be felt by start ups with cash at the bank.

I think you're probably right, but "Low level of contagion" sounds exactly like what we heard in 2007.
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