Earlier quoted context omitted.
I agree with you generally and consider stock-picking to be gambling. But retail traders can use the markets to make bets on overall economic growth. Buying a stake in hundreds or thousands of public companies is a clear bet, and you actually do own something in a legal sense. With crypto trading, it's unclear what your bet is -- other than the continuation of the Ponzi scheme. You don't own anything, and the coin ha…
I agree; cryptocurrencies are a scam. But in general they're not Ponzis, with some exceptions e.g. the situation the parent poster describes where VC investors get "early coins" which are sold to later buyers.
Why I have zero faith in crypto venture capitalists
181–190 of 242 posts
Re: Why I have zero faith in crypto venture capitalists
#182Earlier quoted context omitted.
In theory, a crypto project could provide value (not money, they're different things) to its users. For instance, there are experiments with distributed games where assets are NFTs. In theory, this provides the basis for independent games sharing unique assets among themselves. In practice, nobody's doing this (even those game devs who are minting assets as NFTs are keeping the assets to one game, making the whole ex…
There is still no value over a trusted third party, keeping all this in a central database. These games you are talking about just agree on this third party and that's it. And they already do that. The third party is states backing traditional banking systems.
There is value - with a trusted third party, you are "trusting" that the third party will stick around, won't block you, and won't arbitrarily change the rules on you.
Re: Why I have zero faith in crypto venture capitalists
#183Earlier quoted context omitted.
They literally threw the country into a recession? Also, the average person isn't writing mortgages. A better example might be the average investor in a company. The average investor loses everything if a company goes under. Some creditors might get paid, and if they're lucky some 'preferred stock' holders might get something. But the average person (common stock) loses everything they put in.. I'm not really seeing…
>I'm not really seeing much of a difference ? There is risk in everything...If you can't afford to lose, then don't bet? The difference is that intrinsic value provides a floor for potential losses and therefore reduces risk. If you can't understand why a worst case scenario of losing 20% of your investment is better than a worst case scenario of losing 100% of your investment, then I don't think you and I are going…
And you specifically go out of your way to pretend you didn't see it/understand it? Yeah - 'constructive' doesn't seem to be likely
Re: Why I have zero faith in crypto venture capitalists
#184Earlier quoted context omitted.
I think making promises and taking money from people based on promises you very likely can't fulfill is enough to label something as a scam, and that seems to be the case with all of the points mentioned above.
Is this also true of all startups that take funding and then fail? That would be one reasonable definition of "scam" I think, but personally I think it is more useful to have different terminology for speculative high risk ventures that make a good faith effort but fail vs. malicious schemes designed only to take money and run. I think there are lots of both things in this cryptocurrency space, but I think it's reduc…
Re: Why I have zero faith in crypto venture capitalists
#185Earlier quoted context omitted.
> smart contracts can only replicate a small subset of financial products Why?
One of the reasons is that many financial contracts have provisions to seize assets under certain circumstances. This is not possible with DeFi because DeFi is built around "unconfiscatable" digital assets.
Re: Why I have zero faith in crypto venture capitalists
#186Earlier quoted context omitted.
Don't go and claim the vast majority of top projects are essentially scams, that's just spreading false information.
Name any major project and I can tell you why it's a scam. Bitcoin: Uses the electricity of a country to process 2 transactions per second. Layer 2 solutions such as Lightning Network have some significant drawbacks which make them unpractical and vulnerable to multiple attacks. They've been trying and talking it up for years - No results. Ethereum: Doesn't scale. The entire ecosystem (including all ERC20 tokens) tog…
Re: Why I have zero faith in crypto venture capitalists
#187Earlier quoted context omitted.
I think it's arguable what real investments are. How "real" is the stock price of Gamestop? Aren't most prices just driven by imaginary narratives? Investors rarely care about dividends. There are also DeFi projects that are based what you call "real investments" such as stablecoins, synthetic assets for stocks and commodities, etc. When the backing/staking mechanism for these works as intended, they are just as real…
> Investors rarely care about dividends. This one statement reveals that you have zero idea what you’re talking about and are just presenting yourself as knowledgeable. Why do that?
Re: Why I have zero faith in crypto venture capitalists
#188Earlier quoted context omitted.
Cash is instant. Venmo is instant. You can pay for goods with a credit card and know it was approved instantly. In the very rare case you need to make a domestic wire transfer, yes it's currently slow, but that's not a technological problem, it's a political/institutional one. Plenty of countries have instant bank transfers as well. AND -- instant bank transfers should be coming to the US in 2023, when FedACH is supp…
Venmo isn't instant in the same way that USDC is though. When a USDC transaction settles, I know the money is mine, when a venmo transfer settles, or an ach transfer settles, there is an opportunity for the money to be clawed back for quite a bit of time [0]. We can argue if this is a good or a bad feature, but it does mean that the transfer really isn't instant as I don't have guarantees behind the money being mine.…
Clawbacks are an entirely different matter.
And while yes, the absence of clawbacks means your money is then "yours", it also means that if you're hacked or defrauded, there's no way to recover funds because it's now "theirs".
For people who aren't engaged in illegal activity, the ability for banks and courts to retrieve illegally (or even accidentally) transferred funds is widely seen as a feature. Most people prefer the legal system to be able to ultimately determine who owns money (or real estate or shares of a company), instead of something anonymous and irreversible. After all, enforcement of property and contracts is the main reason government even exists, if you're a libertarian -- which means restoring property in case of theft and fraud and breach. (If you're a regular liberal or conservative, then it's one of the main reasons.) Are you suggesting it's beneficial for cryptocurrencies to be outside the realm of property rights and the legal system?
Your concerns about your funds being "yours" are really only worth worrying about if you live in a failed/anarchic/warlord/etc state... which fortunately isn't the case for most HN'ers, or most people generally.
Re: Why I have zero faith in crypto venture capitalists
#189Earlier quoted context omitted.
One of the reasons is that many financial contracts have provisions to seize assets under certain circumstances. This is not possible with DeFi because DeFi is built around "unconfiscatable" digital assets.
I believe it is possible to write in provisions for some actor or set of actors to seize assets in a smart contract. This doesn't seem common either because of immaturity or just culture, but I don't think it is impossible.
Re: Why I have zero faith in crypto venture capitalists
#190People have a deeply rooted fear of inflation, they are afraid of being diluted in their societal standing. They also have a strong preference for deflation which allows them to do work once and then see their past work appreciate in value.
Enter Bitcoin.
Bitcoin wins because it's giving to the market what existing players (meaning governments) won't do: a deflationary currency.
Governments won't give people a deflationary currency because they project what is going to happen with a deflationary currency and they don't like the total chaos which would mean for the country, but the real world doesn't work that way, the population wants to try and see for themselves what are these outcomes, and if they are less taxing than inflation.