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Meta Myths

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171–180 of 210 posts

Re: Meta Myths

#171

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As long as Zuck is in charge, yes.

This. The problem with Meta is that nobody can confront Zuck and remind him that this is really a bad idea RoI wise. Zuck is unhinged and makes the decisions as he pleases even at the company of this scale.

That's what they said about libra, about marketplace, about...

Re: Meta Myths

#172
post #148

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"Is [Metaverse] going to be a leap in humanity at the scale of the Apollo program?" That is, IMO, the key question behind this entire discussion. Zuck certainly thinks so. I'm sure a lot of people at Meta and outside think so as well. And their detractors obviously don't. There isn't going to be any consensus on whether Meta is spending too much money or not because ultimately it is a referendum on the concept of VR/…

The All-In hosts gave a reasonable comment: Meta may well get a leap in humanity, but it should at least show incremental progress to the investors given such a huge quarterly investment.

Why? Meta is controlled by someone who is completely unanswerable to his investors. What incentive does he have to show any progress?

Re: Meta Myths

#173

Earlier quoted context omitted.

yeah, it's a bit weird that Marques Brownlee recently gave a better presentation on Meta/Metaverse than what Zuckerberg cooked up. But I think that's the intent. Because when you lay out Meta's strategy so naked, like Marques did, then you realize that no one is going to buy into it. You need early adopters and those are the ones that are going to sniff out that you're actually building a dystopian privacy-invading S…

I don't think the "metaverse" needs to succeed as much as the hardware does. A set of AR glasses that aren't bulky or sci-fi enables a huge amount of brand new functionality, on maybe even more than smartphones did. In that case, if Meta has the best option on the market, it doesn't need to write the killer app, someone else can do it, just like the App Store enabled iPhone developers to do. I'm less optimistic on th…

Good point about someone elses killer app - but if this is the case then Meta need to focus on SDK / dev evangelism - the way source engine made steam as a platform. They seem more focused on building their own application.

Re: Meta Myths

#174
post #120

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It appears you’re redefining the word “metaverse” to mean social media. That’s not the same metaverse that everyone else is talking about, which involves putting on VR goggles and zoning out from the real world. VR and social media are absolutely not the same thing. One takes over your sensory inputs and 100% of your attention. The other you can do on your phone at the same time as other things.

>The other you can do on your phone at the same time as other things. So far! If you work in VR, and meet in VR, why would you need a phone?

No post body was provided.

Re: Meta Myths

#175

I quiet quite Facebook about a year ago. This wasn't intentional or purposeful, the platform was just no longer serving content that I found interesting. My browers is still logged in though and I see ads by Facebook while browsing other sites. Am I still considered a DAU? If so, is Facebook the new DoubleClick?

"Daily Active Users (DAUs). We define a daily active user as a registered and logged-in Facebook user who visited Facebook through our website or a mobile device, or used our Messenger application (and is also a registered Facebook user), on a given day. We view DAUs, and DAUs as a percentage of MAUs, as measures of user engagement on Facebook." So, no.

No post body was provided.

Re: Meta Myths

#176
post #123

The All-In Podcast had a chart ( https://youtu.be/A-bIpJdaCnM?t=2126 ) that compared the Meta's investment on VR with the investment that changed human history in the past, all inflation adjusted. It's pretty interesting. iPhone: $3.6B, Tesla: $25B, Boeing: $32B, Apollo: $253B. And Meta's Reality Lab: $4B a quarter !

What has Tesla changed? All it did was show a market for non-garbage electric cars. Other more established companies are running laps around it now. How much of that $25B went to the ever-retreating promises of self-driving?

1900 car companies were started in the US. There are only 2 that have never gone bankrupt: Ford and Tesla.

Re: Meta Myths

#177
post #37

I always wondered if it was a mistake for Facebook to try to rapidly casualise VR after acquiring Oculus. If they spent even a small fraction of their metaverse billions developing high-end, niche products (flight/mech sims etc.) then they could cultivate a loyal base of affluent users. It probably wouldn't be profitable by itself, but it would grow their user base and act as a nice showcase of what VR is capable of.…

> If they spent even a small fraction of their metaverse billions developing high-end, niche products (flight/mech sims etc.) then they could cultivate a loyal base of affluent users.

They've actually already cultivated these affluent users almost by accident (they aren't interested in gaming, but they are interested in fitness). But these users tend to be older even if they are richer...it isn't a demographic that Facebook was going for.

Re: Meta Myths

#178
post #33

Interesting article. People really want Meta to fail because the "metaverse" is one of the dumbest pivots of an established company of all time. Since the pivot and rename happened a year ago, the metaverse has probably bombed -- and I say probably only because nobody can define exactly what it is, still , beyond people having VR meetings with odd pseudo-Mii avatars -- and the investors convinced that Zuckerberg was…

The metaverse is not bombing. It’s simply not tied to one platform. Between TikTok, Roblox, Minecraft, call of duty (and other triple A multiplayer games), we’re already there. Meta can’t win this one. Same way that no single game publisher can dominate video games. Even the hardware, fine meta becomes the first “Nintendo”. So what? The PlayStations and Xbox’s will come. No one will let Meta have a monopoly.

I think the best case scenario here is something like the iPhone, yes the Androids did come, but they took a long time to catch up (some would say they still haven't), and owning the platform is very lucrative.

It's about being the first one to reach mass market, and holding onto that position as long as possible.

Re: Meta Myths

#179

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This. The problem with Meta is that nobody can confront Zuck and remind him that this is really a bad idea RoI wise. Zuck is unhinged and makes the decisions as he pleases even at the company of this scale.

That's what they said about libra, about marketplace, about...

Libra was killed externally by regulators. It is a solid idea, however. FB marketplace is a big thing is some markets.

Re: Meta Myths

#180

The All-In Podcast had a chart ( https://youtu.be/A-bIpJdaCnM?t=2126 ) that compared the Meta's investment on VR with the investment that changed human history in the past, all inflation adjusted. It's pretty interesting. iPhone: $3.6B, Tesla: $25B, Boeing: $32B, Apollo: $253B. And Meta's Reality Lab: $4B a quarter !

I can't comment on how that 4B/quarter is being spent. However the Quest 2 has been the biggest success in VR to date. Why couldn't some of those billions have been spent on getting a Quest 3 ready for sale for Fall/Xmas 2022? It would be like Apple not releasing new iPhones level of missed opportunity. Or perhaps it's a huge selfish gamble thinking, let's get our product perfected before everyone realizes how big th…

Blows my mind that just as everyone was crazy to return to normal life, Meta was like, hey wouldn’t it be great if we could do more of that?
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