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Crazy New Ideas

paulgraham.com

171–180 of 808 posts

Re: Crazy New Ideas

#172

Why are you all upvoting this shit? Just because Paul Graham wrote it, doesn't mean it's worth reading. Usually the opposite, in fact. You people need to lay off the PG cultism. Stop worshipping every word he writes just because you idolize his riches, or want to be him, or whatever.

You are being unfair, its not any better then most HN articles, fits here just fine if you ask me

Re: Crazy New Ideas

#173
post #11

In the realm of entrepreneurship, I think domain experts who also risk tons of their cash on crazy ideas should be looked at even closer. Y Combinator and Tesla were seen as stupid and crazy for a long time. Meanwhile I’ve seen a lot of domain expert entrepreneurs do really crazy things that lead nowhere when it’s VC money instead of theirs.

There are too many factors that'll decide whether it'll be success or not. I believe timings and luck are often overlooked. iPhone certainly not the first touch screen display, Microsoft did have one, I believe. However Apple's timing was perfect, there was increasing adaptation of wifi connectivity and 3g, making it able to browse anywhere. Of course smoother interface and beautiful design also contribute big. Among…

The point of this is to have a simple heuristic to look at when filtering what might be become big in the future. There is no way to measure luck.

Timing would be hard, but I could think of some general ideas (behavior changes when theres a pandemic, assuming certain trends will go forward, etc)

Re: Crazy New Ideas

#174
Seems like the privacy implications of this are not worth it for any serious company.

I was watching Rudy Giuliani yesterday on youtube, talk about how the FBI accessed and monitored his iCloud account for over a year. Which included his privileged lawyer/client information. If they can do that to a president's lawyer, while he's defending the president. They can do it to anyone.

Re: Crazy New Ideas

#175

The idea of using reasonable domain experts as a filter to implausible-sounding ideas seems obvious for hard-technology and scientific problems. But what about entrepreneurial ideas that provide a social service, such as Uber or Airbnb? Were the founders "domain experts"?

He has a different essay explaining the Stripe founders were not experts at all when they started. I think there's multiple paths to success and change

Re: Crazy New Ideas

#176
post #172

Why are you all upvoting this shit? Just because Paul Graham wrote it, doesn't mean it's worth reading. Usually the opposite, in fact. You people need to lay off the PG cultism. Stop worshipping every word he writes just because you idolize his riches, or want to be him, or whatever.

You are being unfair, its not any better then most HN articles, fits here just fine if you ask me

I agree that it fits here just fine (more than a lot of the crap that hits the front page) but I also agree with the OP that the “cultism” is annoying, not that I expect anything else given his association with the company that created HN.

Re: Crazy New Ideas

#177
>The reason is that everyone is too conservative.

Everyone isn't too conservative: veterans in a field are conservative because they have earned the war wounds they carry. Which is why you tend to see "disruptive apps" targeting younger people. They don't have the life experience to understand, at first glance, why an idea may be extremely dangerous.

I'm young enough to remember being that way myself: Who cares if someone gets my bank account info, what are they going to do, pay off my student loans? Spend the $25 I have in my checking account? Oh no!

I abhor people who throw around the idea that someone in tech being "conservative" is somehow wrong or bad. They're conservative because they know just how much is at risk for the folks who don't know any better.

Re: Crazy New Ideas

#178
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Mighty is a good idea, marketed to the wrong people. I mean, who wouldn't just upgrade their computer? New software is a cost, even if it's "free." I'm sure there's a niche, though. Like low-paid workers needing to do a lot on their crappy personal machines.

Do you think low paid workers are going buy a cheap laptop for 500$ and pay 30$ or 50$ per month for Mighty instead of just getting a more powerful Window laptop for like 1000$ or 1500$?

Is it just the price that's the problem? What if Might were $30 to $50 per year?

Re: Crazy New Ideas

#179

In case someone missed the story, Paul Graham is indirectly talking about the feedback received by Mighty App. And in this particular case, I don't think this is a valid defense. First, he clearly has too much skin in the game to be credibly neutral about it. Second, he avoids addressing the main critique about this "new tech". People are not claiming that it is a bad idea because it is infeasible or not valuable, bu…

Wasn't this a feature of Amazon's Silk browser? "The browser uses a split architecture where some of the processing is performed on Amazon's servers to improve webpage loading performance." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amazon_Silk

Silk, Puffin, Opera Mini, Opera Turbo, Maxthon - are all predecessors.

Re: Crazy New Ideas

#180
post #76

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Those are all excellent examples of the main reason why innovation can not be done in established businesses: the fear of cannibalizing the cash cow will stifle any real innovation.

Bell Labs is a counterexample to what you said. It developed the first transistor, photovoltaic cell, fiberiptic, lasers, cctv and some other things. Oh, and cellphones of course. Ditto Xerox Parc and modern user interfaces, ethernet and and laser printers.

Agreed, it wiuld be more accurate to say it is not possible in companies that are optimizing finances short-term. Bell invested a ton of money with the hope it would bring results long term. I have yet to see a company's board authorizing that now...
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