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u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

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171–180 of 554 posts

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#171
post #141

Just out of curiosity, is GameStop legally allowed to issue a special dividend, which would further squeeze the remaining shorts?

Where would they get the money for a dividend and why would they care about the shorts at all??? The best thing they could do is sell new shares.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#172
post #25

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It says as much in the article. He literally just thought GME was undervalued on its merits. He had no intention of creating a squeeze or punishing Melvin.

The guy struck rich! Same with people who shorted crude last year when it went straight to -40. Billions were made.

I realize I need to do some basic reading on this stuff... but, when you say "made" does that really mean "changed hands"? Or is value/money somehow generated in these processes?

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#173

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The stock market has never done anything for me. I mean, it could, if you were to invest. > Shareholders making money out of my work is not exactly in my interests, nor is it in the interest of the majority of the world’s workers. So instead of, say, encouraging people to learn how to invest, and maybe even incentivizing firms to allocate shares to their employees, you'd rather just have the whole stock market burn…

Statistically, in a zero sum game, where all players are equally skilled and the winner of each transaction is determined at random. The more transaction made, the more the wealth accumulates. What this means is, that unless you are already one of the richest person on the stock markets, your most likely outcome is that you will loose money by participating. So—unless you are already rich—your optimal strategy is not…

The stock market--just like the economy--is not a zero-sum game. I don't know what to tell you. The S&P500 over the long term has consistently performed quite well, for many decades. Maybe if your picture of participating in the stock market involves day trading, sure, statistically the majority of people who try will break even or come out with a loss. But that's not what financial advisers recommend average people do! You should be doing a daily cost average by setting aside a small portion of your income to invest, ideally in a tax-advantaged IRA (or 401k if your employer offers one.)

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#174

Earlier quoted context omitted.

AMD in 2015. NVDIA same period. Literally all the positions of Citron that Andrew Left missed the mark with over an order of magnitude difference. Many tech companies.

Here's a quote from your guy DFV: "Well as a longer-term investor I have the benefit of heavily discounting daily moves. I care much more about the longer-term charts, and these have been fairly constructive for months now. Even today, after the typical quarterly sell-off, the longer-term chart still looks decent so there’s been nothing to panic over. Let’s see what the price does over the next few weeks. Of course c…

Simply saying 'fundamentals' allows one to nullify things they don't understand, like owning the rights to one of the biggest duopolies (x86 that without one becomes a monopoly).

The issue with tech, much like math, is that it often takes a while to figure out all the potential, case in point GPGPUs and Deep Learning revolution. The tech, the ideas, the internal code/models, the people (Jim Keller in AMD, and TSLA) are all catalysts that can't be quantified in the same way as traditional 'fundamentals' are treated.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#175

He posted his daily update today, he has not sold his shares through all of this chaos. Talk about "diamond hands". https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/l846a1/gme_...

How much does a successful youtuber/internet personality make? It seems like he might have even some economic incentive not to jump ship and risk losing social cache

It also seems like a good way to stave off lawsuits (valid or not) by keeping everyone on his side.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#176
post #110

On wsb u/deepfuckingvalue showed he still holds 50,000 shares and 500 deep ITM call options. He has secured a profit of $13.8 million dollars, and his remaining open position is valued at $45 million. I would caution people to not quickly fall into the "if he's still in, I'm still in" meme. He has secured a $14 million bag, regardless if the stock goes to zero he's already secured a life changing amount of money, he…

I wouldn’t be terribly surprised if some big players have carefully arranged to have large short interest but to be hedged against large upswings. This could be an expensive position to carry, but it could be quite profitable if people thought they were squeezing an unsqueezable short.

There is no free money. The IV on options like long calls to hedge a short is astronomical. Line numbers I've never seen.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#177

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's a compelling story with multiple, interesting and intertwining narratives. - An unprecedented and uncoordinated but sophisticated financial engineering play driven by an internet community. - There is a loose analogy to the terrorist attack on the Capitol, an internet community organizing to destroy existing institutions. - The ongoing class warfare that was highlighted by Occupy Wallstreet, 2008 crash and bailo…

Plus the story had somehow intertwined all these big named hedge funds, Melvin, Citadel, with real losses in the Billions (capital B), all being covered by every major news outlet and commented on by major politicians and celebrities. Life is strange. It’s a Cinderella story if you look at it from the pure narrative perspective. If anyone ever makes a documentary/movie about it, it should be a dark comedy - money is…

I watched Congresswoman Ocasio-Cortez's Twitch stream last night. She had on Alexis Ohanian, Alexis Goldstein, and TheStockGuy as guests to discuss the event and the current political/economic environment. Amazing to see this new model for the 'fireside chat' unfolding in real time.

Personally I'm looking forward to reading the Michael Lewis book.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#178

On wsb u/deepfuckingvalue showed he still holds 50,000 shares and 500 deep ITM call options. He has secured a profit of $13.8 million dollars, and his remaining open position is valued at $45 million. I would caution people to not quickly fall into the "if he's still in, I'm still in" meme. He has secured a $14 million bag, regardless if the stock goes to zero he's already secured a life changing amount of money, he…

> militant activism via buying stock as a means to sticking it to the man.

> beginning of another stock market crash

Hmm sounds like it's working then..

Going off of the resentment against the 'elites' in wsb comments to the tune of "I started broke and I'll go broke again but if the rich go broke..."

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#180
post #86

Earlier quoted context omitted.

GME is absolutely going to crash and everyone knows it. There was a mod post just today reminding everyone to be ready. The stock is worth $10-20 on it's merits and that's where it will land. We just don't know when. The chance of this as a contagion that brings down indexes seems very unlikely.

I think this whole episode might cause the next market sell-off: (1) fund degrossing as the initial driver - already happening (2) everyone is being reminded of 99/00 mania (3) uncertain regulatory environment surrounding trading (4) worries of systemic risks created by bubble GME going higher is likely to trigger it more than it dropping off right now

What is fund degrossing?
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