Earlier quoted context omitted.
The census bureau was original granted an extension that has been rolled back. It's not being cut "unusually" short, but the pandemic drastically impacted the census bureau's ability to do their work, and we are giving them less extra time than they say they need.
What government agency has ever said they need less time or less money ? So giving them less than they say they need is the normal state of affairs for government agencies. The only difference is that now the aggrieved bureaucrats have a receptive audience in credulous journalists who are always ready to write a story about how the current administration is "ending democracy" if they don't do exactly what the bureauc…
The 2020 census is being ‘sabotaged,’ says leading U.S. statistician
171–180 of 194 posts
Re: The 2020 census is being ‘sabotaged,’ says leading U.S. statistician
#172Earlier quoted context omitted.
Based on polling data, 3/4th if Americans support Roe vs Wade. However, both parties are trying to get elected so they pick a set of options that gives them a significant chance to be elected. Why such unpopular options can make the cut is people don’t care about issues equally. When a significant minority care a lot about one issue they get patched together with other such groups and you can get elected even if most…
Seems like Roe vs Wade is Closer to 60/40, but regardless, that’s a pretty loaded question. What does overturn mean? Complete ban on abortion? Replace with something else? When asked if pro-choice/pro-life, Americans are pretty evenly split.[1] So as per the OP’s comment, which issues are so strongly supported that only party clearly supports them? Gun control? No. Welfare reform? No. Higher spending? No. I’m genuine…
60% think gun laws should be more strict, 11% think they should be less strict.
Welfare reform and lower spending are not strictly Republican platforms. Reform isn’t a specific policy decision. Also, Republican administrations have seen some of the largest spending increases. Being a believer in small government, free markets, and zero debt I don’t have a clear party favorite.
EX: I firmly believe there should be zero subsides for any industry, as such rebates for installing solar is a bad idea. Flat carbon tax and let the market decide, if “clean” coal can win then it wins.
Re: The 2020 census is being ‘sabotaged,’ says leading U.S. statistician
#173Earlier quoted context omitted.
I can imagine neutral, nonpolitical commentary on the census process, but that's not what Santos is offering. He says that the census wouldn't have been fair even if the count had been extended, due to factors such as "the public policy climate" and "toxic immigrant policies".
Santos does not offer neutral commentary, but he claims to offer objective commentary: it is objectively possible that public policy and immigrant policies will negatively affect the census. You can't discount that possibility and ignore the arguments made in favor of that possibility (read the article!) just because you don't like someone's politics.
Re: The 2020 census is being ‘sabotaged,’ says leading U.S. statistician
#174Earlier quoted context omitted.
The constitution specifically says the census is a count of all "free Persons", not only citizens. Obviously SCOTUS will weigh in now, but I think it's important to realize the actual wording of what the census is.
Your interpretation would imply they intended non-citizen native Americans to be counted in the Census.
So, they could ask to be counted, but there is no mandate to count them.
Re: The 2020 census is being ‘sabotaged,’ says leading U.S. statistician
#175Earlier quoted context omitted.
If there wasn’t a constitutional question there wouldn’t be an upcoming Supreme Court case about it. And let’s be real - I find it pretty unlikely the constitution and 14th Amendment were written with massive amounts of illegal aliens being in the country in mind. Should we count tourists from other countries as well?
The Constitution was, however, written with massive amounts of slaves being in the country in mind. And even they were counted as three fifths of a person. Should illegal immigrants be counted as less?
Re: The 2020 census is being ‘sabotaged,’ says leading U.S. statistician
#176Earlier quoted context omitted.
It seems obvious to me the census is intended to count everyone living there, legally or otherwise. So tourists wouldn’t count.
It’s not so clear. Tourists are free people, and it might make sense to count them if we are trying to allocate resources to serve all free people (which tourists are). If you don’t count tourists, why would you count migrants who are supposedly going back to their home country? Maybe tourists who are here for 6 months would be analogous.
Re: The 2020 census is being ‘sabotaged,’ says leading U.S. statistician
#177Earlier quoted context omitted.
I don't understand the Democratic side here either. There's a question of citizenship, but census data is used to determine allocation of electoral college votes. The electoral college system being something that I support but that Democrats keep trying to undermine. Yeah if you come here undocumented, or illegally, there's pretty natural consequences. I don't think anyone should ignore that. And they seem to want un…
I agree. It would be much better if both sides were at least honest. for example, the Democrats could say "we understand some electoral college votes will be indirectly allocated to illegal immigrants, we also understand that because liberal states have more illegal immigrants it will help the left more than the right, but that's the price to pay for counting every actual US citizen." The republicans could say, 'we w…
It might impact gerrymandering efforts, which gets even more complicated and again without a clear winner unless you have a preliminary version of the data to work with.
Honestly, I dislike what’s being done due to optics more than politics.
Re: The 2020 census is being ‘sabotaged,’ says leading U.S. statistician
#178Earlier quoted context omitted.
The Republican party had no reason to hold confirmation hearings for Merrick Garland - the votes did not exist to confirm him. The role of the Senate is to provide advice and consent - there was no consent so there was no reason to do it. This year is different - Republicans hold the majority of the Senate and the White House. This nominee has the votes.
Believe it or not, the Senate used to actually follow the law as written and advice and consent , and not simply reject out of hand because the nominating president was of the opposing political party. 13 Supreme Court Justices have been confirmed by a Senate controlled by the opposing party since 1945. All of these were under a Republican President and confirmed by a Democratic Senate. The last Justice to fail to be…
Re: The 2020 census is being ‘sabotaged,’ says leading U.S. statistician
#179Earlier quoted context omitted.
Republican presidents placed 11 supreme court justices in a row, from Nixon through GH Bush. Clinton placed two, and republicans have been whining about needing to fix the liberal supreme court ever since. GW Bush placed two, Obama placed two, and it looks like Trump will place three. You are quoting someone, but I want to add on that "legislate from the bench" is a phrase that is invoked when the speaker doesn't agr…
It's not about having a "liberal" justice or a "conservative" justice. It's about having a court that does what is supposed to do - _interpret_ the law, not create it. Republican Presidents have been very bad at choosing justices that do this as well, David Souter being probably the worst example.
Re: The 2020 census is being ‘sabotaged,’ says leading U.S. statistician
#180> This means [it eliminated] literally a third of the time allocated for the Census Bureau to knock on doors, to try to enumerate the hard-to-count individuals, which happen to be African Americans, Latinx populations, immigrants, people in heavily transitory situations, tribal lands, some Asians. Random question but why would some races have more trouble than others responding to the census? Is it more to do with po…
Q: Do you have any sense for how many people might have been counted had the census efforts continued to Oct. 31? > It’s not going to be much. If you’re hard to count, you’re hard to count. The people who are hardest to count, the ones we worry most about in terms of undercount, are the same folks whose families don’t have food at night or don’t have a job. They’re worried about getting tossed out because they can’t…
Because that changes how I think of this. If you've undercounted LA county population by 1,000 that's a completely different beast than 100,000.