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Andrew Yang and Pete Buttigieg Have Blown Up on Twitter, and in Betting Markets

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Re: Andrew Yang and Pete Buttigieg Have Blown Up on Twitter, and in Betting Markets

#171

White and male means Buttigieg is going to have a major problem in the primaries. Asian and male is almost as bad. Unless the Democrats suddenly decide to stop playing identity politics they're going to choose someone based on gender/race (female/not white).

He's gay though so he checks the box.

Does he? Dunno, there seems to be enough gay white males in positions of authority in the US that I didn't think that would count towards his diversity status.

Re: Andrew Yang and Pete Buttigieg Have Blown Up on Twitter, and in Betting Markets

#172
post #87

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Citizens would be the shareholders

In what way does that meaningfully differ from the way a democracy is supposed to be run? Shareholders are treated as "voters" in a democratic organization, where 1 share = 1 vote.

Despite the common wisdom governments tend to care a lot about citizens bitching. A friend used to work as a lawyer for a state utility board. They sit and listen to rants by 75 year old cat ladies and then consider how to mollify them.

Re: Andrew Yang and Pete Buttigieg Have Blown Up on Twitter, and in Betting Markets

#173

White and male means Buttigieg is going to have a major problem in the primaries. Asian and male is almost as bad. Unless the Democrats suddenly decide to stop playing identity politics they're going to choose someone based on gender/race (female/not white).

Biden and Sanders are currently leading in polls, so I’m not sure where you’re getting this from.

Re: Andrew Yang and Pete Buttigieg Have Blown Up on Twitter, and in Betting Markets

#174
post #87

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Citizens would be the shareholders

In what way does that meaningfully differ from the way a democracy is supposed to be run? Shareholders are treated as "voters" in a democratic organization, where 1 share = 1 vote.

So who gets the majority of shares in the country? Should it be the executives, or the funders? Maybe we should have a 1 vote per tax-dollar system.

Re: Andrew Yang and Pete Buttigieg Have Blown Up on Twitter, and in Betting Markets

#175

White and male means Buttigieg is going to have a major problem in the primaries. Asian and male is almost as bad. Unless the Democrats suddenly decide to stop playing identity politics they're going to choose someone based on gender/race (female/not white).

Biden and Sanders are currently leading in polls, so I’m not sure where you’re getting this from.

But neither is actually going to be chosen by the DNC (is Biden even running?). Just wait until the primaries start and the media attacks ramp up.

Re: Andrew Yang and Pete Buttigieg Have Blown Up on Twitter, and in Betting Markets

#176

I don't know if this applies to BetChecker, but PredictIt is heavily handicapped by an $850 max bet. Without the freedom for real amounts of money to come in and exploit mispriced bets, it's practically a straw poll of PredictIt users. The PredictIt user base has some obvious demographic biases that warp the odds.

Some of Bovada's odds are currently:

Trump: +175

Biden: +650

Beto: +900

Yang: +2200

Buttigieg: +2800

Warren: +3000

Klobuchar/Booker: +3300

Hillary: +10000

The Rock: +12500

Jeb: +15000

(payout for a $100 bet)

Re: Andrew Yang and Pete Buttigieg Have Blown Up on Twitter, and in Betting Markets

#177
post #87

Earlier quoted context omitted.

In what way does that meaningfully differ from the way a democracy is supposed to be run? Shareholders are treated as "voters" in a democratic organization, where 1 share = 1 vote.

So who gets the majority of shares in the country? Should it be the executives, or the funders? Maybe we should have a 1 vote per tax-dollar system.

Wait, I thought the way this whole "shares and CEO's" thing was supposed to work is that Moldbug would get to decide that, and everything would work just fine afterwards.

Re: Andrew Yang and Pete Buttigieg Have Blown Up on Twitter, and in Betting Markets

#178

I've been following how Buttigieg's rise has been manufactured by 1-2 insiders. Mainly David Axelrod. He did a SXSW town hall. I watched Tulsi Gabbard (disclosure, I volunteer for her a bit) first and then tried to watch Mayor Pete, as he is called. He basically bombed the first 20 min. The period that any viewers would try to give the candidate any chance to better understand them. He was just a bit too nervous, he…

How does his ride compare with yang’s? I am wondering how yang got the momentum that he did

Viral earworms such as this: https://youtu.be/MTkhrosH8xw

Re: Andrew Yang and Pete Buttigieg Have Blown Up on Twitter, and in Betting Markets

#179

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Biden and Sanders are currently leading in polls, so I’m not sure where you’re getting this from.

But neither is actually going to be chosen by the DNC (is Biden even running?). Just wait until the primaries start and the media attacks ramp up.

Anything could happen, but given that white males are currently getting a combined ~64% in polls, it's pretty silly to say that running as a white male is a 'major problem'.

Re: Andrew Yang and Pete Buttigieg Have Blown Up on Twitter, and in Betting Markets

#180

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Citizens would be the shareholders

> shareholders Shareholders have zero say in how modern corporations are run.

Why? Can't the vote? There is even such a thing as activist shareholders.
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