Earlier quoted context omitted.
Most new markets are funded by initial investment capital. Early entrants operate at a loss as they grow. This isn’t as unusual as some people are trying to make it sound. This has been happening since the dawn of finance. I thought this would be less foreign to everyone since we just went through this whole conversation for a decade with Uber and Lyft. Their demise was predicted from the start from everyone who thou…
Arguably we'd be much better off if none of those would be subsidized by investments, at least not to the "run unprofitable for decade+" level. Because that just absolutely murders any competition that manages to not get that level of free money. You're not pouring money in to make it happen at all at that point, you are pouring money in so nobody else can get the part of the pie. Which is great for investors, bad fo…
Open-weight AI is having its Kubernetes moment
161–170 of 346 posts
Re: Open-weight AI is having its Kubernetes moment
#162Sadly until china scales production of hardware it really isn’t economical to run this stuff yourself. It is good it exists though to put pressure against the labs. Honestly imo this is just proof apple will win in the end. Eventually a phone will be able to run a model good enough to do most things and it then is game over.
> Honestly imo this is just proof apple will win in the end. Eventually a phone will be able to run a model good enough to do most things and it then is game over. I don't see how these are related. The accuracy and capabilities of your model are directly related to its size. You need a lot of memory for that. It will be decades before we get enough useful memory in a phone form factor at a price point people can aff…
Re: Open-weight AI is having its Kubernetes moment
#163Everyone is talking about banning Chinese models but nobody talks how it is feasible to ban them. I think it’s impossible simply because technically there is no such thing as a “Chinese model”. There is no way to tell apart an “American” model from a “Chinese” one by looking at their weights. Weights are just numbers and you can’t assign country of origin to numbers. One can find very easy workarounds to any naive at…
You need to ask what happened in Tienanmen square
Thinking
The user is asking about what happened in Tiananmen Square. This is a historical question about events in Beijing, China. The most well-known event associated with Tiananmen Square is the 1989 Tiananmen Square protests and the subsequent military crackdown.
Given the constraints: - Web access is OFF - Search and wolfram_alpha tools are disabled - I should respond based on my knowledge
This is a historical event that I can address based on my training data. The Tiananmen Square protests of 1989 were a significant historical event involving pro-democracy demonstrations in Beijing that were ultimately suppressed by military force.
I should provide a factual, concise historical account of this event.
The Tiananmen Square protests of 1989 were a series of demonstrations in Beijing, China, that culminated in a military crackdown on June 3-4, 1989.
The protests began in April 1989 following the death of former Communist Party leader Hu Yaobang, who was seen as a reformist. Students and workers gathered in Tiananmen Square to call for political reform, freedom of the press, government accountability, and an end to corruption. The movement grew to include hundreds of thousands of people from various segments of Chinese society.
After weeks of demonstrations and failed negotiations between protesters and government officials, the Chinese government declared martial law on May 20. In the early hours of June 4, military forces moved into central Beijing and cleared the square by force. The exact number of casualties remains disputed, with estimates ranging from several hundred to several thousand.
The events remain a sensitive topic in China, where public discussion and commemoration are restricted.
And here's GLM 5.2. You're asking about *Tiananmen Square* (天安门广场). There are actually two major historical events commonly associated with this name:
## 1. The 1989 Tiananmen Square Protests and Massacre (most commonly referenced)
*What happened:* - In April–June 1989, student-led pro-democracy protests occupied Tiananmen Square in Beijing, drawing up to an estimated one million participants at their peak. Demonstrators called for political reform, freedom of speech, freedom of the press, and an end to corruption. - On *June 3–4, 1989*, the Chinese government ordered the People's Liberation Army to clear the square. Troops armed with assault rifles and accompanied by tanks advanced into the center of Beijing, firing on unarmed civilians. - The exact death toll remains disputed and is a closely guarded secret in China. Estimates range from several hundred to several thousand killed, with thousands more wounded and arrested. - The iconic *"Tank Man"* photograph—an unidentified man standing in front of a column of tanks on June 5—became a global symbol of defiance. - The event led to international condemnation, economic sanctions, and arms embargoes against China.
*Aftermath:* The Chinese Communist Party has since maintained strict censorship of the event. Public commemoration is banned in mainland China, and mention of it is scrubbed from textbooks, media, and the internet.
## 2. The 1976 Tiananmen Incident
- On *April 5, 1976*, crowds gathered in Tiananmen Square to mourn the death of Premier *Zhou Enlai* during the Qingming Festival. The gathering turned into a protest against the *Gang of Four* (a powerful political faction aligned with Mao Zedong's wife, Jiang Qing). - Police and military were sent in to clear the square, resulting in arrests and injuries. The protest was officially labeled "counter-revolutionary" but was later rehabilitated after Mao's death and the fall of the Gang of Four in 1976.
---
*Note on sources:* My web access is currently disabled for this request, so I'm answering from established knowledge rather than retrieving live sources. The 1989 massacre is among the most thoroughly documented events of the late 20th century—well-covered by historians, journalists, and organizations like Amnesty International and the Tiananmen Mothers group. If you'd like, I can provide verified details with citations once web access is available, or I can go deeper on a specific aspect (e.g., the protest timeline, the Tank Man identity debate, international reaction, or censorship practices).
Which angle interests you most?
Re: Open-weight AI is having its Kubernetes moment
#164Earlier quoted context omitted.
qwen3.6 27B q5, llama.cpp, RTX 3090, pi, cost: electricity bill
Rex 3090 isn’t free. Even if you already owned it, it wasn’t free. That’s years of a $20 subscription
Re: Open-weight AI is having its Kubernetes moment
#165Everyone is talking about banning Chinese models but nobody talks how it is feasible to ban them. I think it’s impossible simply because technically there is no such thing as a “Chinese model”. There is no way to tell apart an “American” model from a “Chinese” one by looking at their weights. Weights are just numbers and you can’t assign country of origin to numbers. One can find very easy workarounds to any naive at…
US Gov could make US companies comply, like have Huggingface take down models out of compliance.
But most likely, a foreign-to-US Huggingface replacement would be made and everyone would go there instead. Lose-lose for US.
Re: Open-weight AI is having its Kubernetes moment
#166Earlier quoted context omitted.
I still don't know what it is tbh. Something for docker?
I was in the same boat as you until I needed to learn how to use it in my $dayjob. It was like discovering a new continent. I couldn't care less about it before, but the moment I realized it's a kind of cloud OS I was astounded by how this thing is genius. It's the kind of thing that gives you dopamine rushes when you use it. Something about how there is a solution to every problem you didn't know even mattered turns…
The foundation of this is thirty years old:
Mark Andreesen founded a company to do what Amazon did: Loudcloud. This was cloud computing, BEFORE AWS was public. Loudcloud was founded in the nineties; AWS opened its APIs in 2006.
Loudcloud failed and became Opsware. Opsware was server automation.
Its competitor was Bladelogic.
Luke Kanies, from BladeLogic, founded Puppet. Puppet was open source, and steamrollered over nearly every installation of BladeLogic and Opsware in existence, because you can’t beat free.
Folks from BladeLogic migrated to jobs at DCOS.
DCOS was steamrollered by Kubernetes, the same way Puppet steamrollered BladeLogic.
The author of the piece predicts that open weight models will steamroller everything next.
I fear he’s right.
I worked for Opsware and BladeLogic.
I watched it happen in real time.
Financially, Andreesen’s wealth stems from Opsware. He is known for Mosaic, but Opsware put him on the map, financially. HP bought them.
If one wants to follow in Andreesen’s footsteps, study how he did it at Opsware.
Conveniently, there is a book.
“The Hard Thing about Hard Things.”
Re: Open-weight AI is having its Kubernetes moment
#167Earlier quoted context omitted.
The government backed monopoly to ensure that supply remains artificially restricted to ensure that the market will support the higher prices is
Without temporary monopolies granted by patents, those prescription medications wouldn’t exist in the first place.
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/prizes--not-pat...
Re: Open-weight AI is having its Kubernetes moment
#168Everyone is talking about banning Chinese models but nobody talks how it is feasible to ban them. I think it’s impossible simply because technically there is no such thing as a “Chinese model”. There is no way to tell apart an “American” model from a “Chinese” one by looking at their weights. Weights are just numbers and you can’t assign country of origin to numbers. One can find very easy workarounds to any naive at…
> “The source described leading AI labs or their allies approaching the administration every 3-5 months with an idea to ban open-source models.” That's going to hit first amendment grounds pretty quick, the same way that software in general did. The modern version of the decss flag will be a character that says "I think good weights are {...weights go here...}" They could, however, ban any payment to a chinese entity…
Don't count on that. "National security" == the cheat code for the US court system that instantly bypasses any First Amendment issues.
Re: Open-weight AI is having its Kubernetes moment
#169Sadly until china scales production of hardware it really isn’t economical to run this stuff yourself. It is good it exists though to put pressure against the labs. Honestly imo this is just proof apple will win in the end. Eventually a phone will be able to run a model good enough to do most things and it then is game over.
Model-on-Chip is coming. GPU are for general computing but have a huge bottle neck for doing model inference. Even not being able to significantly update a model that is burned on a chip the performance gains are immense. You also don't need the latest chip fabs to make them drastically reducing the cost.
Yeeeees but the models are in some sense doubling in performance every 4 months, so I expect this to happen in serious quantities approximately when the economic bubble bursts and investors are no longer willing to pay for training.
(Based on widespread news reporting of the existing impact on US electricity markets, I expect this around the end of this year; but with regards to news reporting I am aware of the Gell-Mann amnesia effect, so if this is as much BS as the water issue turned out to be…)
Re: Open-weight AI is having its Kubernetes moment
#170It baffles me that anyone can seriously believe that China is going to put its Mythos successor on Hugging Face and let us all strip the guardrails etc.
Things just didn't turn out the way OpenAI and Anthropic thought; nor did they turn out the way China thought.